Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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🇫🇷🇦🇪- During live-fire trials in Abu Dhabi, a French Army Leclerc main battle tank assigned to the 5th Cuirassier Regiment successfully shot down a drone using a 120mm OEFC F1 canister round. The achievement was confirmed on May 20th by the French military governor of Strasbourg and commander of the 2nd Armored Brigade.
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🇺🇸- According to the Eglin AFB website, an incident at Eglin Air Force Base today at approximately 2pm EST resulted in injuries to two personnel.

➡️ Damage was confined to the High Explosive Research and Development Facility, and the cause of the incident remains under investigation.
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🇺🇸🇹🇼- Acting Secretary of Navy Hung Cao confirmed to senators today during a Senate Appropriations Defense Subcommittee hearing that arms shipments to Taiwan have been halted.

➡️ "Right now we're doing a pause in order to make sure we have the munitions we need for Epic Fury, which we have plenty," Hung Cao told Senator Mitch McConnell.

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🇨🇩🦠 - The Ebola outbreak in eastern Congo is feared to be much bigger than reported - WHO.

➡️ 671 cases reported and 160 suspected deaths.

➡️ The virus spreads through contact with bodily fluid such as vomit, blood, feces or semen. This strain of Ebola is highly contagious and is estimated to have the fatality rate of ~30%

➡️ Symptoms include fever, vomiting, diarrhea, muscle pain and at times internal and external bleeding. Incubation period is 2 to 21 days.

➡️ Risk of a global pandemic is reportedly low for now. However, the region neighboring eastern Congo, including Uganda and South Sudan is considered high risk.

➡️ If you traveled to central Africa recently and experience the aforementioned symptoms, please self-quarantine and seek medical help.

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🇺🇸🌟- Lockheed Martin has begun construction on a new 87,000 square foot production facility in Troy, Alabama, dedicated to Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) interceptors and laying infrastructure for future Next Generation Interceptor work.

➡️ A single THAAD battery costs approximately $800 million, with individual interceptors priced at around $11 million each, making it one of the most capable and expensive air defense systems in the US arsenal.

➡️ The investment reflects a broader industry effort to address critically thin Western missile defense stockpiles, a problem brought into sharp focus by the Iran war, which consumed vast quantities of interceptors and precision munitions at a rate that exposed the structural limits of US production capacity.

➡️ Lockheed Martin has committed more than $9 billion in internal investment through 2030, funding upgrades or construction at more than 20 facilities across the country.

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🇪🇺🇮🇷- The EU Council has expanded its sanctions framework against Iran to now include individuals and entities involved in "actions threatening freedom of navigation" in West Asia, particularly in the Strait of Hormuz.

➡️ Under the expanded framework, the EU can now impose travel bans, freeze assets, and prohibit EU citizens and companies from making funds or economic resources available to listed individuals and entities.

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Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
🇮🇷⚡️ — Iran's IRGC Navy says 35 vessels, including oil tankers, container ships, and other commercial ships, have safely transited the Strait of Hormuz under coordination and security provided by IRGC naval forces in the past 24 hours.
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🇺🇸🇮🇷- Shield AI has been selected to integrate its Hivemind autonomous flight software into the US-made LUCAS One-Way Attack (OWA) drone.

➡️ LUCAS is essentially a reverse-engineered copy of Iran's own Shahed-136 kamikaze drone and will, with Hivemind integrated, be capable of operating intelligently in coordinated swarms in degraded and contested environments with minimal human control.

➡️ The software enables LUCAS drones to execute advanced maneuvers, fly in unpredictable patterns and trajectories, and evade obstacles and ground-based air defenses. Notably, Operation Epic Fury marked the combat debut of the LUCAS drone.
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Geopolitics Watch
🇮🇱🌍🇵🇸- According to the Israeli Foreign Ministry, all activists from the Sumud Flotilla have been deported from Israel: All foreign activists from the PR flotilla have been deported from Israel. Israel will not permit any breach of the lawful naval blockade…
🇮🇱🌍🇵🇸- Images and footage of some of the Global Sumud Flotilla activists who were "detained" by the IDF 3 days ago after arriving in Turkey yesterday. One well-known Brazilian activist who was part of the flotilla, Thiago Ávila, has said that even some participants were raped by IDF soldiers.

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🇮🇷- Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf, head of the Iranian negotiation team and the Speaker of Parliament, has appointed Esmaeil Baqaei, spokesperson of the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, as the official spokesperson of the negotiation team.
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Geopolitics Watch
🇮🇷🇵🇰- According to a senior source cited by Al-Arabiya, Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir will not be traveling to Iran tonight, despite having been scheduled to do so.
🇮🇷🇵🇰🇺🇸- According to Al-Arabiya, Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir is now en route to Tehran, where he is expected to serve as a messenger between the United States and Iran.

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🇮🇷🇵🇰🇺🇸- According to Al-Arabiya, Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir is now en route to Tehran, where he is expected to serve as a messenger between the United States and Iran. @GeoPWatch
🇵🇰🇮🇷🇺🇸- Asim Munir seems to be traveling with a delegation of up to 35 people, as 2 Pakistani government aircraft have departed Islamabad, Pakistan, and are on the way to Tehran.
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Geopolitics Watch
🇺🇸🇺🇸- U.S. Central Command has released an image taken by U.S. Marines from the 31st MEU aboard an MH-60R Seahawk helicopter looking towards the USS Tripoli (LHA-7). ➡️ CENTCOM claims to have redirected 94 commercial vessels and disabled 4 since April 13th.
🇺🇸🇺🇸- U.S. Central Command has released an image of a U.S. Navy sailor aboard the USS Comstock (LSD 45) looking towards a commercial oil tanker in the Arabian Sea.

➡️ CENTCOM claims to have redirected 97 commercial vessels and disabled 4 since April 13th.

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🇮🇷🇵🇰🇺🇸- According to Al-Arabiya, Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir is now en route to Tehran, where he is expected to serve as a messenger between the United States and Iran. @GeoPWatch
🇶🇦🇮🇷🇺🇸🇵🇰- According to Reuters, a Qatari negotiating delegation has also arrived in Tehran today, coordinating with the U.S. in an effort to advance negotiations toward a deal to end the war and resolve outstanding issues.

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🇮🇷🇵🇰🇺🇸- According to Al-Arabiya, Pakistani Army Chief Asim Munir is now en route to Tehran, where he is expected to serve as a messenger between the United States and Iran. @GeoPWatch
🇮🇷🇺🇸🇵🇰🇶🇦- According to Axios, Pakistani Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir is traveling to Tehran in an effort to finalize a deal under which the U.S. and Iran would agree to end the war and launch broader negotiations.

➡️ A Pakistani security source said mediators are working to conclude a letter of intent that would include an agreement to end the war and establish principles for a subsequent 30-day negotiation period covering a broader deal, including Iran's nuclear program.

➡️ A source close to Donald Trump stated that he has grown increasingly frustrated over recent days and has raised the possibility of launching a final major military operation, after which he could declare victory and end the war.

➡️ A U.S. official briefed on the diplomatic efforts described the negotiations as "agonizing," adding that drafts are "going back and forth every day" without meaningful progress.

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🇺🇸🇺🇸🇮🇷- Reporter:
Have you made progress today, sir, with the allies on getting the Strait of Hormuz fully back up and running?
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio:
No, that would be pretty ambitious to be able to open the straits at this meeting here today, but I can tell you that what I hope there is, this is what I hope for and this is the point I made is, we all would love to see an agreement with Iran in which the straits are open and they abandon their nuclear ambitions and so forth, uh their nuclear weapons ambitions.

That's what we'd all hope for, and that's what we're going to continue to work on, and that's what work is ongoing even as I speak to you now in that regard.

But, we also have to have a plan B, and plan B is what if Iran refuses to open the straits? What if Iran decides, 'We refuse to open the straits, we're going to own the straits, and we're going to charge tolls for it.'? Okay, at that point, something has to be done about it. And I would argue that there are countries represented here today that are more deeply impacted by this than even the United States is.


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🇺🇸🇺🇸- Marco Rubio:
Some countries in the region provided us logistical options that we wouldn't otherwise have. And when some of those bases are denied to you during a a a conflict that we're involved in, uh then you question whether that value still is. So, that's going to have to be discussed. There's no doubt about it

.I think there's also going to have to be some focus on how, a year after the meeting at The Hague, how much progress has been made in terms of the increased contributions. There are some countries that have doubled their defense spending over the last few years, then there are others that are still lagging

.In the end, the goal is to have a NATO that is strong, and the stronger our NATO allies are, the stronger NATO is going to be.


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