Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ๐ŸŒŸ- Russia and Belarus are conducting a large-scale nuclear forces exercise involving more than 64,000 personnel and over 7,800 units of military equipment, including more than 200 missile launchers, 140 aircraft, 73 surface ships, and 13 submarinesโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ โ€” Russian Ministry of Defense has published footage of all three parts of the Russian nuclear triad conducting nuclear exercises.

Among the footage includes:
โžก๏ธ One Tu-95MS strategic bomber capable of carrying the nuclear Kh-102 cruise missile conducting a flight, and one MiG-31K attack aircraft armed with a nuclear-capable Kh-47M2 Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missile conducting a flight
โžก๏ธ One Russian Navy Admiral Gorshkov-class frigate launching a nuclear-capable 3M22 Zircon hypersonic cruise missile at the Chizha test range in Nenets Autonomous Okrug, coastal northern Russia
โžก๏ธ One RS-24 Yars nuclear intercontinental ballistic missile launched from the Plesetek Cosmodrone in northwestern Russia

Also included is Belarusian forces launching an 9K720 Iskander-M ballistic missile.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” MQ-25A "Stingray" unmanned aerial refueling aircraft soon to be in service with the U.S. Navy has been moved to Schedule C, meaning that it has been approved for production.

The primary use for the MQ-25A will be to free up the F/A-18E/F "Super Hornet" fighter jets for increased strike missions, as under the current system, some F/A-18s are required to refuel their fellow F/A-18s. Once the MQ-25A enters service, this will no longer be necessary.

The first MQ-25A aircrafts could enter service this year, however production delays could mean it will enter service in 2027.
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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐ŸŒŸ- The first Boeing E-7 Wedgetail Airborne Early Warning (AEW) Mk1 aircraft destined for the RAF has arrived at RAF Lossiemouth today, following its departure from STS Aviation Services at Birmingham Airport.

โžก๏ธ Registered as "WT001," the aircraft is now continuing its test and evaluation phase at its future Main Operating Base, with testing split between MOD Boscombe Down and RAF Lossiemouth.

โžก๏ธ Once the Test and Evaluation phase is complete, WT001 will be formally handed over to the RAF and operated by 8 Squadron. It will serve alongside the RAF's nine Poseidon maritime patrol aircraft, both of which are based on the Boeing 737 Next Generation airframe, allowing for operational synergies between the two fleets.

โžก๏ธ The Wedgetail is the Royal Air Force's next-generation airborne early warning and control platform, providing long-range surveillance, battle management, and command and control for air and joint operations. The aircraft is already in service with the Royal Australian, South Korean, and Turkish air forces.
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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ฎ- HMS Anson (S123) has left Gibraltar after more than 7 days at port; it will now continue its deployment, suspectedly to West Asia.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- The U.S. Treasury Department has announced sanctions against nine Lebanon-based individuals for allegedly obstructing the peace process in Lebanon and impeding the disarmament of Hezbollah.

โžก๏ธ Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that "Hezbollah is a terrorist organization and must be fully disarmed," adding that the Treasury will continue targeting officials who have "infiltrated the Lebanese government" and are "enabling Hezbollah to obstruct lasting peace."
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๐ŸŒŸ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ- According to Reuters, Syrian President Abu Mohammad al-Julani is set to attend the upcoming G7 Summit in Evian-les-Bains, southeastern France, scheduled for June 15-17, amid Syria's ongoing economic crisis.

โžก๏ธ Three sources familiar with the matter confirmed his attendance, with the invitation hand-delivered to Syrian Finance Minister Yisr Barnieh during financial talks in Paris earlier this week. The G7 brings together the leaders of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, the UK, and the US annually.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐ŸŒŸ- L3Harris Technologies unveiled the OA-1K Skyraider II light attack aircraft at SOF Week 2026 in Tampa, designed to support U.S. Special Operations Forces in high-risk conflicts from remote and contested environments.

โžก๏ธ The aircraft directly answers U.S. Air Force Special Operations Command's (AFSOC) requirement for agile, flexible strike platforms capable of delivering close air support, precision strikes, and intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance (ISR) missions from austere airstrips close to the battlefield.

โžก๏ธ The aircraft's Pratt & Whitney PT6A-67F turboprop engine, which generates about 1,600 shaft horsepower, allows it to cruise at over 210 knots for more than six hours, giving special forces operating in remote areas a continuous overwatch.

โžก๏ธ The aircraft's ability to be swiftly disassembled and reassembled, enabling it to be transported by cargo aircraft and swiftly redeployed, was a key feature that was highlighted at SOF Week.
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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- An F-35B Lightning II flight test aircraft conducted its first developmental test flight carrying four "SPEAR 3" missiles at the Pax River F-35 Integrated Test Force, Naval Air Station Patuxent River, Maryland, on January 20th.

โžก๏ธ The test marks a significant milestone in the integration of the UK's next-generation precision strike weapon onto the aircraft.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท โ€” Washington Post, citing a Department of War assessment they viewed, reports that the U.S. used far more strategic interceptors to defend Israel than Israel themselves did to defend their own country during the Iran War.

U.S. armed forces fired more than 200 THAAD interceptors and 100 SM-3/SM-6 interceptors in service with the ship-based Aegis Missile Defense System, totaling above 300, to defend Israel.

IDF fired 90 David's Sling interceptors and less than 100 Arrow-2/Arrow-3 interceptors, totaling less than 190.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท โ€” Brazilian Senator Flรกvio Bolsonaro, son of ex-president Jair Bolsonaro and currently running for President under Jair's political party, has been invited to the White House to meet President Trump to discuss American-Brazilian partnership should he win Brazil's presidential election on 4 October, 2026.

Topics to be discussed include removing American tariffs on Brazil, American partnerships in confronting Brazilian organized crime, and allowing further American procurement of Brazilian natural resources.
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โ€” ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ/๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iranian source close to the negotiating team:

1. The exchange of texts has not yet reached a final draft concept.

2. The U.S. insistence on nuclear negotiations has dragged the talks to a deadlock.

3. Meanwhile, U.S. threats have angered Iran, and Tehran shows little desire to continue negotiations.

4. The possibility of conflict starting exists at any moment.

@Middle_East_Spectator
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐ŸŒŸ- A U.S. Marine Corps UH-1Y Venom helicopter assigned to Marine Light Attack Helicopter Squadron 169, Marine Aircraft Group 39, 3rd Marine Aircraft Wing, conducted a drone aviation integration test near the Quackenbush training area at Marine Corps Air Ground Combat Center, TwentyNine Palms, California, on May 13th.

โžก๏ธ The exercise trained Marines to adapt to enemy unmanned aircraft systems (sUAS) by emphasizing battlefield awareness, disciplined maneuvers, and an understanding of how drone systems will shape future ground operations.

โžก๏ธ The Venom's altitude gave the relay operator a direct line-of-sight radio link to the drone that a ground operator would have lost at much shorter distances, effectively extending the drone's operational range by using the helicopter as an elevated antenna and command node, from which the drone was guided to its target.
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