Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Donald Trump on Benjamin Netanyahu:
I'm right now at 99% in Israel. I could run for Prime Minister. So maybe after I do this, I'll go to Israel and run for Prime Minister. I had a poll this morning, I'm 99%. So, that's good. But, uh, no, he's a wartime Prime Minister, and I just don't think they treat him well. I think they have a President over there that treats him very poorly


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Donald Trump on Benjamin Netanyahu: I'm right now at 99% in Israel. I could run for Prime Minister. So maybe after I do this, I'll go to Israel and run for Prime Minister. I had a poll this morning, I'm 99%. So, that's good. But, uh, no, he's a wartimeโ€ฆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Reporter:
What have you said to Prime Minister Netanyahu about Iran and how long to hold off on strikes?
Donald Trump:
He's fine, he'll do whatever I want him to do. He's very, very good man. He'll do whatever I want him to do and he's aโ€”he's a great guy. To me, he's a great guy. Don't forget, he was a wartime Prime Minister, and he's not treated right in Israel.


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#BREAKING
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- The IRGC has published footage of the targeting of an oil tanker in the strait of hormuz using โ€œRAAD-3โ€ Loitering Drone earlier today.

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#BREAKING
๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - The commander of the IDFโ€™s โ€œ401st (Iron Track)โ€ Armoured Brigade, Meir Biderman, was โ€œseriouslyโ€ wounded after an FPV drone struck a building he and 8 other IDF troops were in, including a Major, in southern Lebanonโ€™s โ€˜Deblโ€™.

The FPV drone managed to slip through the safety nettingโ€™s surrounding the building the unit was fortifying in.

Note that Biderman is the replacement commander for the Brigade, following the
killing of Ihsan Dakse by the AlQassam Brigades on October, 2024.

Hezbollah is yet to announce responsibility
.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- For the first time in 296 days (9.7 months), Saudi Arabian Foreign Minister Faisal bin Farhan has posted on X thanking Donald Trump for "giving diplomacy a chance":
The Kingdom of Saudi Arabia highly appreciates the US President Donald Trump's decision to give diplomacy a chance to reach an acceptable agreement to end the war, restore the security and freedom of maritime navigation in the Strait of Hormuz to its state prior to February 28th, 2026, and address all points of contention in a way that serves the security and stability of the region.

Saudi Arabia also highly appreciates the ongoing mediation efforts carried out by Pakistan in this regard. Saudi Arabia looks forward to Iran siezing the opportunity to avoid the dangerous implications of escalation, and urgently responding to the efforts to advance the negotiations leading up to a comprehensive agreement to achieve lasting peace in the region and the world.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- Footage shows dozens of U.S. Air Force refueling aircraft currently stationed at Ben Gurion Airport, Tel Aviv, Israel. Footage was recorded today.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ-Israeli security minister Itamar Ben Gvir has posted a video of the "detained" flotilla activists currently being held in Israel. The post is captioned:
This is how we welcome supporters of terrorism
Welcome to Israel


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๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท- The French aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle, along with its strike group, has departed Djibouti and, after crossing the Gulf of Aden, is now operating in the Arabian Sea, where it is standing by in anticipation of a possible mission to "restore freedomโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ท- The French aircraft carrier Charles De Gaulle is currently operating approximately 140km off the coast of Dhalkut, Oman.

๐Ÿ“Coordinates:
15ยฐ42'29.5"N 54ยฐ01'06.6"E


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Earlier today in the Gulf of Oman, U.S. Marines from the 31st Marine Expeditionary Unit boarded the M/T Celestial Sea, an Iranian-flagged commercial oil tanker suspected of attempting to breach the U.S. blockade by heading toward an Iranian port.

โžก๏ธ Following a search of the vessel, American forces directed the crew to alter course before releasing the ship. Marines boarded the vessel via SH-60 Seahawk helicopters, which originally took off from the USS Tripoli (LHA-7), where the 31st MEU is currently deployed aboard.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- According to Kan News, an Israeli source indicates that Donald Trump is leaning toward supporting a military strike on Iran but is leaving a narrow window open for negotiations.

โžก๏ธ Gulf states are, meanwhile, working intensively behind the scenes to prevent a return to hostilities, fearing their energy infrastructure would bear the brunt of any Iranian retaliation.

โžก๏ธ Israel had believed an attack on Iran was imminent yesterday, only to be caught off guard by a postponement notice from Trump.

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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- As part of his two-day official visit to Tehran, Pakistani Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi met with Iranian Speaker of Parliament Mohammad-Bagher Qalibaf today. @GeoPWatch
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ- Pakistani Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi has returned to Tehran for a second visit in 3 days, meeting with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian, Iranian Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni, and, notably, Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Chief General Ahmad Vahidi, to discuss a fresh U.S. proposal aimed at ending the conflict.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- According to Axios, Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held a lengthy and reportedly "difficult" phone call yesterday, during which the two leaders disagreed on the way forward with Iran.

โžก๏ธ Trump informed Netanyahu that mediators were working on a "letter of intent" for both the U.S. and Iran to sign, formally ending the war and launching a 30-day negotiation period covering Iran's nuclear program and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

โžก๏ธ One source described Netanyahu as having his "hair on fire" after the call, with Israel's ambassador to Washington reportedly informing U.S. lawmakers of Netanyahu's concerns, though the embassy denied this characterization.

โžก๏ธ Netanyahu is also said to be planning a visit to Washington in the coming weeks for a face-to-face meeting with Trump.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Representative Thomas Massie (R-KY):
I lost the election but we started a revolution. Keep the flame of LIBERTY burning my friends! I will continue to put People and Principles before Party. America First! ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡บ- A Florida grand jury has indicted 94-year-old former Cuban leader Raรบl Castro, brother of Fidel Castro, on charges of conspiracy to kill US nationals, murder, and additional offenses, according to Acting Attorney General Blanche.

โžก๏ธ The indictment relates to Castro's alleged role in the 1996 shootdown of two civilian aircraft over the Florida Straits, which killed two Americans. Blanche described the planes as "humanitarian flights for the rescue and protection of those fleeing oppression."

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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Cuban President Miguel Dรญaz-Canel in response to Raรบl Castro's indictment:
The purported accusation against Army General Raรบl Castro Ruz, just announced by the U.S. government, only reveals the arrogance and frustration that the representatives of the empire feel toward the unyielding resolve of the Cuban Revolution and the unity and moral strength of its leadership.

This is a political maneuver, devoid of any legal foundation, aimed solely at padding the fabricated dossier they use to justify the folly of a military aggression against Cuba.

The U.S. lies and distorts the events surrounding the downing of the planes belonging to the narco-terrorist organization Brothers to the Rescue in 1996.

It knows full wellโ€”given the abundance of documentary evidenceโ€”that no imprudent action was taken nor was international law violated, as U.S. military forces have indeed been doing with their coldly calculated and openly publicized extrajudicial executions against civilian vessels in the Caribbean and the Pacific.

On February 24, 1996, Cuba acted in legitimate self-defense within its jurisdictional waters, following repeated and dangerous violations of our airspace by notorious terroristsโ€”a fact of which the U.S. administration at the time was alerted on more than a dozen occasions, yet it ignored the warnings and allowed those violations to continue.

The ethical stature and humanistic spirit of his legacy demolish any infamy that might be attempted against Army General Raรบl Castro. As a guerrilla commander and as a statesman, he earned the love of his people, along with the respect and admiration of other leaders in the region and the world. Those values are his greatest defense and a moral shield against this ridiculous attempt to diminish his stature as a hero.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- According to Axios, Donald Trump and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu held a lengthy and reportedly "difficult" phone call yesterday, during which the two leaders disagreed on the way forward with Iran. โžก๏ธ Trump informed Netanyahu thatโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- According to Tasnim, a source close to the Iranian negotiation team revealed that following Iran's submission of a 14-point proposal three days ago, the U.S. has since sent a new text to Iran via the Pakistani mediator.

โžก๏ธ Iran is currently reviewing the proposal and has yet to respond. Pakistan's mediator currently in Tehran, most likely the Pakistani Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi, is working to narrow the gaps between the two sides, though nothing has been finalized.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- According to Israel Hayom, a fierce internal debate erupted in the White House over Iran, with Donald Trump ultimately choosing to allow talks to continue.

โžก๏ธ Defense Secretary Hegseth and Secretary of State Rubio pushed for military pressure and tighter sanctions, while Vice President Vance, Steve Witkoff, and Jared Kushner argued Iran's latest proposal showed enough flexibility to pursue a preliminary deal.

โžก๏ธ Vance went further, calling for an end to the campaign entirely and a refocus on domestic issues, surprising those present. Trump criticised Vance and the envoys for allowing Iran to stall.

โžก๏ธ Externally, Netanyahu and UAE President Mohammed bin Zayed backed a tough line, while Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman and Qatari Emir Tamim bin Hamad al-Thani urged against renewed hostilities.

โžก๏ธ In a late-night call with Netanyahu, Trump opted to await Iran's response following Pakistan's interior minister's meetings with senior IRGC officials. Lebanon was also briefly discussed, with a Hezbollah agreement assessed as unlikely.
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