Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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🇺🇸🇺🇸- Trojan Footprint 2026, the largest U.S. Special Operations Forces-led exercise in Europe, commenced on May 12th, bringing together approximately 1,000 U.S. service members and 2,000 Special Operations Forces from 23 NATO allies and partner nations across 10 countries over 10 days.

➡️ The exercise is designed to test the alliance's readiness to counter hybrid threats, including sabotage, cyberattacks, and infiltration, with the unnamed adversary widely understood to be Russia. Participating nations include Bulgaria, Croatia, Estonia, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, North Macedonia, Poland, and Romania, alongside British, Swiss, and Georgian forces.

➡️ Notable activities include a joint US-Greek special forces operation off the coast of Greece involving parachute drops into the sea and a simulated assault on an enemy base, as well as land and maritime operations in Georgia under the sub-exercise "Black Sea Gateway 2026."

➡️ The exercise integrates all branches of the U.S. military with allied nations, focusing on interoperability, hybrid threat response, and SOF integration with conventional forces.

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#BREAKING
⚡️🇱🇧🇱🇧❌🇮🇱 - Following successive FPV attacks on the IDF's "226th (Nesher)" Brigade headquarters in southern Lebanon's Bayada, the IDF withdrew from the building on the 11th of May, leaving behind their flag.

Hezbollah published a video displaying all the FPV attacks done to the building, alongside the downing of the flag using an FPV drone on the 17th of May.
📝 The video states:
Bayada does not welcome you.


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🇷🇺- Images and footage of the Su-57D were released today by Rostec, Russia's state-owned defence and industrial conglomerate, offering the first public look at the new two-seat variant.

➡️ The Sukhoi Design Bureau has developed the aircraft, with the released imagery showing an enlarged cockpit section and a longer canopy. The concept of a two-seat Su-57 was previously explored under the joint Russian-Indian Fifth Generation Fighter Aircraft (FGFA) program in the 2010s, under which Russia's United Aircraft Corporation and India's Hindustan Aeronautics Limited (HAL) signed an agreement for joint development and production.

➡️ It is Russia's first aircraft designed with stealth technology and incorporates supermaneuverability, supercruise, integrated avionics, and a large payload capacity. The US has indicated it will become nuclear-capable via a forthcoming missile similar to the Kinzhal. The aircraft is intended to succeed the MiG-29 and Su-27 in Russian service and has been marketed for export.

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🇺🇸 — Contrary to circulating reports, there is no evidence of greater-than-normal turnout for demographics supportive of Ed Gallrein or Thomas Massie in the KY-04 primary, and insufficient data exists to make such claims.

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🇺🇸🇺🇸- U.S. Central Command has released footage of the enforcement of the U.S. blockade against Iran; it shows a U.S. Navy MH-60 Seahawk helicopter deploying flares to warn a commercial vessel and two U.S. Marine Corps AH-1Z Viper attack helicopters patrolling the waters of the Arabian Sea.

➡️ CENTCOM claims to have redirected 89 commercial vessels and disabled 4 since April 13th.

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⁉️❌🇦🇪- The United Arab Emirates has announced that during the past 48 hours, air defenses have successfully detected and engaged 6 hostile drones. ➡️ They claim the drones originated from Iraqi territory and that number includes the drones that attacked the…
🇧🇭🤝🇦🇪- Bahrain's UN envoy Jamal Fares Alrowaiei condemned the attack on the UAE's Barakah Nuclear Power Plant at a UN Security Council meeting, describing it as a "serious and unjustified escalation" and a violation of the UN Charter.

➡️ Alrowaiei stressed that Bahrain, the UAE, and their Gulf neighbors have faced repeated attacks throughout the conflict, adding that the escalatory nature of these strikes reflects a deliberate approach aimed at undermining regional stability and confidence in the security of the region.

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🇺🇸- Donald Trump has posted on his X account for the first time in 78 days (2.5 months), just to attack Thomas Massie:
Horrible Congressman Thomas Massie put out an old Endorsement, from many years ago, of him by me long before I found out that he was the Worst Congressman in the History of our Country. I endorsed Ed Gallrein, a true American Patriot, which Massie knows full well, so the statement that he put out is fraudulent, just like HE is fraudulent. WITHDRAW YOUR FAKE STATEMENT, MASSIE, RIGHT NOW! President DONALD J. TRUMP


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🇺🇸🤝🇺🇸- Today, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff General Dan Caine met with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte during the Military Committee Chiefs of Defense session at NATO Headquarters in Brussels, Belgium.

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🇺🇸🤝🇸🇾- Syrian President Abu Mohammad al-Julani posted a picture of some fragrance Donald Trump gifted him:
Some meetings leave an impression; ours apparently left a fragrance.
Thank you, Mr. President Donald Trump, for your generosity and for topping up this precious gift. May the spirit of that meeting continue to shape a stronger relationship between Syria and the United States.


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🇮🇷❌🇺🇸- Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi posted on X:
Months after initiation of war on Iran, US Congress acknowledges loss of dozens of aircraft worth billions.

Our powerful Armed Forces are confirmed as 1st to strike down a touted F-35.

With lessons learned and knowledge we gained, return to war will feature many more surprises.


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#NEW
⚡️🇱🇧🇱🇧❌🇮🇱 - Heavy clashes currently ongoing in southern Lebanon's 'Haddatha' following the advancement attempt of an IDF force, and the destruction of a "Merkava" tank using RPG fire by Hezbollah.

The IDF is attempting to evacuate it's causalities.

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🇺🇸🇺🇸- Footage of the USS George H.W. Bush (CVN 77) conducting flight operations on May 12th. The footage shows two U.S. Navy F/A-18F Super Hornets from Strike Fighter Squadron (VFA) 103, also known as the "Jolly Rogers," landing on the carrier. Notably, there are at least two parked F/A-18F Super Hornets equipped with at least 1 GBU-54 LJDAM each.

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❗️🇺🇸 - The sixth attempt to rein in the war in Iran has been defeated in the US Senate. Theoretically, Congress authorization is required to continue the war in beyond a 60-day limit set by the War Powers Act. The measure, which would have mandated the US…
🇺🇸- After eight attempts, the U.S. Senate has finally advanced a War Powers Resolution limiting military activities in Iran, passing it by a vote of 50-47. Four Republicans voted in favor: Susan Collins, Bill Cassidy, Lisa Murkowski, and Rand Paul, while Democrat John Fetterman broke with his party to vote against.

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🇺🇸- After eight attempts, the U.S. Senate has finally advanced a War Powers Resolution limiting military activities in Iran, passing it by a vote of 50-47. Four Republicans voted in favor: Susan Collins, Bill Cassidy, Lisa Murkowski, and Rand Paul, while Democrat…
🇺🇸- The resolution will now proceed to a full Senate vote. If it passes there, it moves to the House of Representatives, where it would need to pass as well.

➡️ If both chambers pass it, it then goes to Donald Trump, who would almost certainly veto it given his position on the Iran conflict.

➡️ To override a presidential veto, both the Senate and the House would need a two-thirds majority, a very high bar that would require a significant number of Republicans to break with Trump, which is considered unlikely given the current political climate.

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🇺🇸🇺🇸- Polls have officially closed in Kentucky, with results for the highly anticipated Massie vs. Gallrein race, widely considered the most closely watched contest in the country, expected to begin coming in shortly; a complete result is expected within the next few hours.

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