Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ- Additional media of the incident. No reports of injuries as of yet.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ- Gunfire has been heard at the scene; reports of injuries are now coming in, but the exact number is unknown.

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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ- Gunfire has been heard at the scene; reports of injuries are now coming in, but the exact number is unknown. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡พ- The preliminary toll from the car bomb explosion at the armament management centre in Damascus stands at 1 dead and 4 injured.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- U.S. Central Command has released a compilation of images that include U.S. Marine Corps AH-1Z Viper attack helicopters and U.S. Navy MH-60 Seahawk helicopters. โžก๏ธ CENTCOM claims to have redirected 85 commercial vessels and disabled 4 since April 13th.โ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- U.S. Central Command claims to have redirected 88 commercial vessels and disabled 4 since April 13th.

โžก๏ธ The images above are of a U.S. Air Force B-1B Lancer taking off from RAF Fairford in the UK on May 7th.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€” Michael Flynn Jr, reposted by Representative Thomas Massie:
Win or lose tomorrow for Thomas Massie the Israel lobby is only going to become more despisedโ€ฆ

Theyโ€™ve over-extended themselves and made their influence in our political system incredibly visibleโ€ฆ

Pray for victory tomorrow for Massie to maaaaybe give them a wake up call our elections canโ€™t be boughtโ€ฆ


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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€” An Israel-based OSINT account claims that air defenses are being deployed to sites throughout Jerusalem.

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โ‰๏ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช- The United Arab Emirates has announced that during the past 48 hours, air defenses have successfully detected and engaged 6 hostile drones.

โžก๏ธ They claim the drones originated from Iraqi territory and that number includes the drones that attacked the Barakah Nuclear Power Plant in Al-Dhafra.
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Forwarded from /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (FRANCISCVS)
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๐Ÿ“ข ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Thomas Massie:

Just in case I lose, they gave me the number to call to concede โ€” the area code is Tel Aviv.

๐Ÿ“Ž Clash Report
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡บ- Speaking from the White House ballroom construction site, Donald Trump revealed he was "an hour away" from ordering strikes on Iran if the West Asian leaders didn't call him, stating that Iranian officials were aware the US was on the verge of acting.

โžก๏ธ Trump gave Iran "two or three days. Maybe Friday, Saturday, or Sunday, maybe early next week" to engage in negotiations, warning that another strike may still be necessary and that a decision would come "very soon."

โžก๏ธ Despite claiming Iran is "begging to make a deal," Trump expressed uncertainty over next steps and dismissed suggestions the war is unpopular. Separately, he expressed optimism about reaching a diplomatic agreement with Cuba.

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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - Beijing is set to host Russian President Vladimir Putin on May 20, immediately after the Trump-Xi summit. This would be President Putin's first trip abroad this year. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ- Russian President Vladimir Putin has arrived in Beijing, China.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌโŒ๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ- Yesterday, U.S. Africa Command, in coordination with the Nigerian government, conducted additional strikes against ISWAP in northeastern Nigeria.

โžก๏ธ Intelligence confirmed the targets were ISWAP terrorists, with assessments still ongoing. No US or Nigerian forces were harmed. AFRICOM reaffirmed its commitment to working alongside partners to counter shared security threats.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐ŸŒ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌโŒ๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ- Yesterday, U.S. Africa Command, in coordination with the Nigerian government, conducted additional strikes against ISWAP in northeastern Nigeria. โžก๏ธ Intelligence confirmed the targets were ISWAP terrorists, with assessments still ongoing. Noโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐ŸŒโŒ๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ- According to the Nigerian Armed Forces HQ, joint strikes conducted in coordination with U.S. AFRICOM have eliminated 175 ISWAP terrorists as of today.

โžก๏ธ Senior figures killed include Abd-al Wahhab, Abu Musa al-Mangawi, and Abu al-Muthanna al-Muhajir. The strikes also destroyed ISWAP checkpoints, weapons caches, logistical hubs, and financial networks. Joint operations are set to continue.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah published footage of the targeting of an IDF "Merkava IV" Tank Turret munition-bin using an FPV drone in southern Lebanon's 'Bayada' on the 16th of May.

The operation was not previously announced.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- According to Kan News, Israel is preparing for the possibility of a renewed U.S. attack on Iran, with discussions ongoing in both the Israeli defence establishment and the White House.

โžก๏ธ An American security source told Kan News that joint US-Israeli preparations for a resumption of hostilities have been completed, with Trump expected to make a decision "very soon." The source stressed that "the United States and Israel are fully coordinated, neither side will be surprised when the decision is made to resume the war."

โžก๏ธ Israeli security preparedness is currently at its most advanced stage since the ceasefire last month, with defensive measures also being put in place amid fears that Trump's statements could trigger a "miscalculation" by Iran and prompt it to strike first.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” United States Congressional Research Service has issued a report claiming to be the total amount of US military aircrafts destroyed & damaged by Iran during the Iran War.

Destroyed:
24x MQ-9A "Reaper" UCAVs shot down by Iranian air defenses throughout the American-Israeli bombing campaign
4x F-15E "Strike Eagle" fighter jets; three shot down by Kuwaiti friendly fire on March 2, one shot down by Iranian air defenses on April 3
2x MC-130J "Commando II" special operations transport aircrafts, destroyed on the ground amidst the operation to rescue a stranded F-15E WSO on April 3
1x A-10C "Thundercat II" attack aircraft, shot down by Iranian air defenses on April 3
1x KC-135R/T "Stratotanker" aerial refueling aircraft, crashed due to an alleged friendly collision incident
1x MQ-4C "Triton", crashed in a "mishap" into the Persian Gulf on April 9. This "mishap" was almost certainly the work of Iranian air defenses.

Damaged:
6x KC-135R/T "Stratotanker" aerial refueling aircrafts; one damaged by an alleged aerial collision incident on March 12, and five damaged by an Iranian missile strike against Prince Sultan Air Base on March 14.
1x E-3G "Sentry" AWACS aircraft, "damaged" by a combined Iranian missile & drone strike against Prince Sultan Air Base on March 27.
1x F-35A "Lightning II" stealth fighter jet, struck by Iranian air defenses on March 19
1x HH-60W "Jolly Green II" CSAR helicopter, damaged by Iranian small-arms fire on April 3
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๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐ŸŒโŒ๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ- According to the Nigerian Armed Forces HQ, joint strikes conducted in coordination with U.S. AFRICOM have eliminated 175 ISWAP terrorists as of today. โžก๏ธ Senior figures killed include Abd-al Wahhab, Abu Musa al-Mangawi, and Abu al-Muthanna alโ€ฆ
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๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐ŸŒโŒ๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ- The Nigerian Armed Forces HQ has released additional footage of Joint Nigerian/U.S. operations in Northeastern Nigeria against ISWAP terrorists.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” United States Congressional Research Service has issued a report claiming to be the total amount of US military aircrafts destroyed & damaged by Iran during the Iran War. Destroyed: 24x MQ-9A "Reaper" UCAVs shot down by Iranian air defenses throughoutโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” The "damaged" E-3G in question. This alone raises serious questions.

Several aircrafts are also missing, including an additional damaged E-3G, one damaged KC-46A "Pegasus" aerial refueling aircraft, one more shot down MQ-9A "Reaper" UCAV, and several additional damaged/destroyed helicopters.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Trojan Footprint 2026, the largest U.S. Special Operations Forces-led exercise in Europe, commenced on May 12th, bringing together approximately 1,000 U.S. service members and 2,000 Special Operations Forces from 23 NATO allies and partner nations across 10 countries over 10 days.

โžก๏ธ The exercise is designed to test the alliance's readiness to counter hybrid threats, including sabotage, cyberattacks, and infiltration, with the unnamed adversary widely understood to be Russia. Participating nations include Bulgaria, Croatia, Estonia, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania, North Macedonia, Poland, and Romania, alongside British, Swiss, and Georgian forces.

โžก๏ธ Notable activities include a joint US-Greek special forces operation off the coast of Greece involving parachute drops into the sea and a simulated assault on an enemy base, as well as land and maritime operations in Georgia under the sub-exercise "Black Sea Gateway 2026."

โžก๏ธ The exercise integrates all branches of the U.S. military with allied nations, focusing on interoperability, hybrid threat response, and SOF integration with conventional forces.

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