Geopolitics Watch

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– Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has been named Iran's special envoy for relations with China, according to the Tasnim News Agency.

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🇮🇷❌🇦🇪- Barakah Nuclear Power Plant in Al Dhafra has been attacked by a drone. The drone impacted the electrical generator outside the inner perimeter of the plant, no injuries have been reported yet.

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- According to Fars News' sources, the U.S. has outlined five main conditions in its response to Iran's proposals: no payment of compensation or damages by the US, the withdrawal and transfer of 400 kilograms of uranium from Iran to the US, the activation of only one Iranian nuclear facility, no release of even 25% of Iran's frozen assets, and making any cessation of hostilities on all fronts conditional on the continuation of negotiations.

➡️ Iran, on the other hand, has established five prerequisites that must be fulfilled before any talks can start: the recognition of Iran's sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz, the lifting of all sanctions, the release of Iranian funds that have been frozen, compensation for war damages, and an end to the war on all fronts, especially in Lebanon.

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– Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will hold a restricted security meeting tonight amid heightened defense readiness. The session focuses on preparing for a possible escalation in hostilities with Iran. Senior ministers and defense chiefs are expected to attend.

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🇺🇸🇺🇸- Images of a U.S. Air Force KC-135R Stratotanker from the Kansas Air National Guard's 190th Air Refueling Wing, also known as the "Kansas Coyotes," refueling two U.S. Air Force F-35 Lightning II stealth fighter jets above the United Arab Emirates on May 11th. The jets are armed with 2x AIM-9X air-to-air missiles.

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🇮🇷— Reports claim Israel covertly set up a military position deep in western Iraq before the conflict with Iran, allegedly with prior U.S. awareness. According to the claims, the location was intended to support Israeli special operations units and emergency…

🇮🇱🇺🇸❌🇮🇶🇮🇷- A second covert Israeli base has been discovered operating in Iraq's western desert, according to senior Iraqi and regional officials cited by the New York Times, following the Wall Street Journal's earlier reporting of the first.

➡️ At least one of the bases is believed to have been operational for well over a year, with Israeli forces thought to have begun preparations as far back as late 2024, and at least one was used during a 12-day war against Iran in June 2025.

➡️ The second base came to light following the killing of Bedouin shepherd Awad al-Shammari, 29, on March 3rd, after he stumbled upon one of the sites and contacted Iraqi military authorities. Witnesses say a helicopter pursued and fired upon his truck until it came to a halt in the sand.

➡️ The images above are of Mr. Al-Shammari's truck, which was found along with his body by the Popular Mobilization Forces a few days ago.

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🇮🇷- A second covert Israeli base has been discovered operating in Iraq's western desert, according to senior Iraqi and regional officials cited by the New York Times, following the Wall Street Journal's earlier reporting of the first. ➡️ At least…

🇮🇱🇺🇸❌🇮🇶🇮🇷- The United States forced Iraq to shut down its radars during both the short-lived war last year and the current conflict, seemingly to protect U.S. aircraft, which contributed to Israel's ability to operate covertly in Iraq for so long.

➡️ As a result, Iraq was largely dependent on U.S. forces to identify any illegal activity, which served as cover for the Israeli presence. When determining that it could safely conduct covert operations on Iraqi territory, Israel took this U.S. influence over Iraqi security into consideration, according to regional officials.

➡️ Israel is alleged to have used the exposed bases for personnel medical care, refueling, and air support.

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– Pope Leo XIV performed six-seven.

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🇺🇸🇺🇸- Footage of the aerial refueling operations above the UAE on May 11th, which involved a U.S. Air Force KC-135R Stratotanker from the Kansas Air National Guard's 190th Air Refueling Wing, also known as the "Kansas Coyotes," and two U.S. Air Force F-35 Lightning II stealth fighter jets armed with 2x AIM-9X air-to-air missiles.

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🇨🇺 - A US delegation, led by CIA director John Ratcliffe, is heading to Havana for talks with its counterpart in the Cuban Ministry of Interior. This round of discussion comes as Cuba admitted it has ran out of oil. The last oil delivery was by a small…

🇨🇺❌🇺🇸- According to classified intelligence shared with Axios, Cuba has acquired more than 300 drones and has begun internally discussing plans to potentially use them against the U.S. base at Guantanamo Bay, American naval vessels, and possibly Key West, Florida.

➡️ Since 2023, the variously capable drones have been purchased from Iran and Russia and are kept in key locations throughout the island. Cuban officials have asked Russia for more drones and military hardware in the last month.

➡️ U.S. officials also note the presence of Iranian military advisers in Havana, as well as Russian and Chinese signals intelligence facilities on the island.

➡️ Up to 5,000 Cuban soldiers are estimated to have fought for Russia in Ukraine, with Russia paying approximately $25,000 per soldier deployed. Some of those soldiers are believed to have briefed Cuban military leaders on the effectiveness of drone warfare.

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– US House Speaker Mike Johnson announced to Fox News that "Operation Epic Fury" has officially come to an end. According to Johnson, US efforts are now pivoting toward a new project focused on reopening the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz.

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🇦🇪- UAE MoD announces it's air defenses engaged 3 drones that entered the country from the western border today, where two were successfully intercepted while the third struck an electrical generator outside the inner perimeter of the Barakah Nuclear Power Plant in the Al Dhafra area.

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🇺🇸- U.S. Central Command has released an image of a U.S. Navy MH-60 Seahawk observing two vessels in the Arabian Sea, enforcing the naval blockade on Iran. ➡️ CENTCOM claims to have redirected 78 commercial ships and disabled 4 since April 13th. @GeoPWatch

🇺🇸🇺🇸- U.S. Central Command has released an image of a U.S. Navy sailor on the bridge of the USS Tripoli (LHA 7) in the Arabian Sea.

➡️ CENTCOM claims to have redirected 81 commercial vessels and disabled 4 since April 13th.

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🇵🇰- Pakistani Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi arrived in Iran for a two day visit as part of Islamabad's ongoing mediation efforts. He was received upon arrival by Iranian Interior Minister Eskandar Momeni. ➡️ Following the welcoming ceremony, the two ministers…

🇵🇰🤝🇮🇷- As part of his two-day official visit to Tehran, Pakistani Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi met with Iranian Speaker of Parliament Mohammad-Bagher Qalibaf today.

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