Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch
🌟🇧🇬🇮🇱- In case anyone cares, Bulgaria has won the 2026 Eurovision, with Israel coming in second.

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5.1K viewsSana'a 🌿, edited  
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🇮🇱- Israeli media has stated that the incident was a controlled explosion carried out inside a civilian factory, with no injuries or damage reported, though this has not been officially confirmed. Unusually, no prior warning was issued to local residents,…
🇮🇱- The explosion at the Tomer facility in Beit Shemesh was possibly not a controlled detonation but rather the result of an incident involving the accidental combustion of a sodium perchlorate storage facility, used in the production of rocket motors for surface-to-air missiles.

➡️ The improper storage of sodium perchlorate and explosive materials may have caused the incident, as there are such chemicals present in the facility.

➡️ The blast may also have destroyed a substantial stockpile of interceptor missiles, as the storage facility is located adjacent to an area where interceptors for one of the IDF's two Arrow-3 interceptor missile batteries are believed to be stored.

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🇮🇱🇺🇸 — TrackAIPAC reports the amount spent by Zionist political action committees to aid Ed Gallrein in his efforts to primary Thomas Massie have surpassed $15M.

Just today, the Republican Jewish Coalition filed another $470K in spending to support Ed Gallrein. Yesterday, the AIPAC-affiliated United Democracy Project filed $959K in spending against Massie.
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🇺🇸 — Yesterday, Representative Lauren Boebert (R-CO) endorsed Thomas Massie in the Kentucky-04 primary, while also declaring she still supports President Trump.

In response, President Trump called her "weak-minded" and endorsed a Republican primary challenge against her.

Lauren Boebert is once of Trump's most fanatical supporters, having promoted the Clinton body count theory and claimed in 2021 that Trump had declassified documents in the final days of his presidency that exposed corruption throughout the U.S. legislature that would cause mass resignations and have the Republican Party take back the House and Senate before the 2022 elections.

Boebert was also one of the three Republican representatives to force a vote on releasing the Epstein files, alongside Massie and now-resigned Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene.
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🇺🇸🇳🇬❌🏴‍☠️- U.S. Africa Command has released footage of the strike that killed the second-in-command of the Islamic State, Abu-Bilal al-Minuki, in Northeastern Nigeria. @GeoPWatch
🇺🇸🇳🇬❌🏴‍☠️ — New York Times, citing three U.S. officials, reports that two dozen American and Nigerian special forces soldiers, including members of the U.S. Navy Naval Special Warfare Development Group [better known as SEAL Team Six] conducted a helicopter-borne ground operation at two islands in Lake Chad, far-northeastern Nigeria bordering Chad & Cameroon, attempting to capture Abu-Bilal al-Minuki.

The American-Nigerian special forces fought al-Minuki and around three dozen Islamic State West Africa Province fighters for almost three hours with the goal of capturing al-Minuki before they realized he wasn't going to surrender. Subsequently, the US conducted an airstrike killing him.

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🇺🇸🇳🇬❌🏴‍☠️- U.S. Africa Command has released footage of the strike that killed the second-in-command of the Islamic State, Abu-Bilal al-Minuki, in Northeastern Nigeria. @GeoPWatch
🇺🇸🇳🇬❌🏴‍☠️ — Given the helicopter-borne special forces ground elements involved, it is likely this airstrike assassinating Abu-Bilal al-Minuki was conducted by a MH-60M DAP "Black Hawk" helicopter. These helicopters are operated exclusively by the U.S. Army 160th Special Operations Aviation Regiment for transporting US military special forces, including DEVGRU.

The Black Hawk's DAP [Direct Action Penetrator] fired its M230 30mm chain gun at the area, then launched one AGM-114 "Hellfire" missile before firing more chain gun rounds.

The footage was captured by a MQ-9A "Reaper" drone conducting ISR.
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🇮🇷🇨🇳– Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has been named Iran's special envoy for relations with China, according to the Tasnim News Agency.

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🇮🇷❌🇦🇪- Barakah Nuclear Power Plant in Al Dhafra has been attacked by a drone. The drone impacted the electrical generator outside the inner perimeter of the plant, no injuries have been reported yet.

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- According to Fars News' sources, the U.S. has outlined five main conditions in its response to Iran's proposals: no payment of compensation or damages by the US, the withdrawal and transfer of 400 kilograms of uranium from Iran to the US, the activation of only one Iranian nuclear facility, no release of even 25% of Iran's frozen assets, and making any cessation of hostilities on all fronts conditional on the continuation of negotiations.

➡️ Iran, on the other hand, has established five prerequisites that must be fulfilled before any talks can start: the recognition of Iran's sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz, the lifting of all sanctions, the release of Iranian funds that have been frozen, compensation for war damages, and an end to the war on all fronts, especially in Lebanon.

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🇮🇱❌🇮🇷– Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will hold a restricted security meeting tonight amid heightened defense readiness. The session focuses on preparing for a possible escalation in hostilities with Iran. Senior ministers and defense chiefs are expected to attend.

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🇺🇸🇺🇸- Images of a U.S. Air Force KC-135R Stratotanker from the Kansas Air National Guard's 190th Air Refueling Wing, also known as the "Kansas Coyotes," refueling two U.S. Air Force F-35 Lightning II stealth fighter jets above the United Arab Emirates on May 11th. The jets are armed with 2x AIM-9X air-to-air missiles.

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🇮🇱🚫🇮🇷— Reports claim Israel covertly set up a military position deep in western Iraq before the conflict with Iran, allegedly with prior U.S. awareness. According to the claims, the location was intended to support Israeli special operations units and emergency…
🇮🇱🇺🇸❌🇮🇶🇮🇷- A second covert Israeli base has been discovered operating in Iraq's western desert, according to senior Iraqi and regional officials cited by the New York Times, following the Wall Street Journal's earlier reporting of the first.

➡️ At least one of the bases is believed to have been operational for well over a year, with Israeli forces thought to have begun preparations as far back as late 2024, and at least one was used during a 12-day war against Iran in June 2025.

➡️ The second base came to light following the killing of Bedouin shepherd Awad al-Shammari, 29, on March 3rd, after he stumbled upon one of the sites and contacted Iraqi military authorities. Witnesses say a helicopter pursued and fired upon his truck until it came to a halt in the sand.

➡️ The images above are of Mr. Al-Shammari's truck, which was found along with his body by the Popular Mobilization Forces a few days ago.

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🇮🇱🇺🇸❌🇮🇶🇮🇷- A second covert Israeli base has been discovered operating in Iraq's western desert, according to senior Iraqi and regional officials cited by the New York Times, following the Wall Street Journal's earlier reporting of the first. ➡️ At least…
🇮🇱🇺🇸❌🇮🇶🇮🇷- The United States forced Iraq to shut down its radars during both the short-lived war last year and the current conflict, seemingly to protect U.S. aircraft, which contributed to Israel's ability to operate covertly in Iraq for so long.

➡️ As a result, Iraq was largely dependent on U.S. forces to identify any illegal activity, which served as cover for the Israeli presence. When determining that it could safely conduct covert operations on Iraqi territory, Israel took this U.S. influence over Iraqi security into consideration, according to regional officials.

➡️ Israel is alleged to have used the exposed bases for personnel medical care, refueling, and air support.

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🇻🇦– Pope Leo XIV performed six-seven.

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🇺🇸🇺🇸- Footage of the aerial refueling operations above the UAE on May 11th, which involved a U.S. Air Force KC-135R Stratotanker from the Kansas Air National Guard's 190th Air Refueling Wing, also known as the "Kansas Coyotes," and two U.S. Air Force F-35 Lightning II stealth fighter jets armed with 2x AIM-9X air-to-air missiles.

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