Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ’Š- A law enforcement aviation crew from the U.S. Coast Guard Helicopter Interdiction Tactical Squadron (HITRON) intercepted a "suspected drug-smuggling vessel" approximately 80 miles west of Cartagena, Colombia, on May 8th. โžก๏ธ The seized contraband, amountingโ€ฆ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ’Š- The crew of Coast Guard Cutter Tahoma (WMEC 908) offloaded 8,185 pounds of seized narcotics valued at approximately $61.6 million at Port Everglades on May 14th.

โžก๏ธ The Tahoma is a 270-foot medium-endurance cutter stationed at Naval Station Newport, Rhode Island, operating under the U.S. Coast Guard Atlantic Area Command.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- According to officials cited by the New York Times, the US and Israel are engaged in their most intense preparations since the ceasefire took effect, with military action against Iran potentially resuming as early as next week.

โžก๏ธ Options under consideration include more aggressive bombing of Iranian military and infrastructure targets as well as a special operations ground mission to secure highly enriched uranium at the Isfahan nuclear site.

โžก๏ธ Several hundred special operations forces arrived in the region in March specifically to give Trump that option, though officials acknowledge such a mission would require thousands of additional support troops forming a security perimeter, carrying significant risk of casualties.

โžก๏ธ Officials privately acknowledge that achieving a decisive victory would be challenging, noting that Iran has since regained access to most of its missile sites, launchers, and underground facilities, according to US intelligence assessments.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Despite our lack of posts, Hezbollah in the past week has accelerated it's attacks, which mostly include daily FPV drone strikes and artillery shelling, alongside occasional ATGM & Quadcopter drone attacks, enough to be considered pre-ceasefireโ€ฆ
#NEW
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah carried out at least 29 operations in southern Lebanon just today, the highest since the start of the said-ceasefire.

Of the 29 attacks, 9 were MLRS barrages and 8 Kamikaze Drone Swarm on IDF Infantry and Armor, 2 FPV Drone attacks on Infantry, 3 FPV attacks on "D9" Bulldozers, 2 FPV attacks on "NAMER" APC's, 2 FPV attacks on "Merkava" tanks and 1 FPV drone attack on an IDF site. Moreover, an IAF Helicopter was engaged using a SAM, and a Kamikaze drone swarm was launched on Kiryat Shmona.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ- Donald Trump has officially left China and is making his way back to the United States. @GeoPWatch
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Donald Trump has landed in Washington D.C.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” A U.S. Navy F/A-18F "Super Hornet" fighter jet belonging to Air Test and Evaluation Squadron 31 has been photographed equipped with one AIM-260A Joint Advanced Tactical Missile at Eglin Air Force Base.

The AIM-260A JATM is intended to succeed the AIM-120 AMRAAM as the next beyond-range air-to-air missile for US fighter jets. The AIM-260A's operational range is at least 200km, more than double than both the AIM-120 variants currently in service, and is being built as a response to advancements in beyond-range air-to-air missiles by Russia and China.

Most information on the AIM-260A, other than the range increase, is classified.


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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ทHMS Dragon is currently operating in the Southern Red Sea after passing through the Suez Canal earlier this week. โžก๏ธ In order to prepare for regional operations, the ship's crew sharpened their awareness through live firing exercises in realistic, highโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง- RAF Typhoon and F-35B Lightning II aircraft have flown up to 1,300 miles from RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus and provided more than 50 hours of continuous defensive cover during long-range Defensive Counter Air (DCA) patrols over HMS Dragon in the Red Sea.

โžก๏ธ Crews from IX (Bomber) Squadron and 617 Squadron flew six waves of fighter missions in mixed fourth- and fifth-generation formations, ensuring continuous coverage over the Royal Navy Destroyer.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” A new poll released by Big Data Polling shows Thomas Massie slightly leading in the Kentucky-04 representative primary by 50.6% against Ed Gallrein.

The poll features a notable age gap. Massie leads at 81.5% of Generation Z, 68.6% of millennials, and 53% of Generation X. Gallrein leads boomers/silent generation by 62%.
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#EXCLUSIVE
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Images of a U.S. Air Force F-16C Fighting Falcon refueling from a KC-135T stratotanker in service with the Michigan Air National Guard's 127th Aerial Refueling Group above the Palm Jumeirah in Dubai, UAE, on May 11th.

โžก๏ธ The aircraft is equipped with 2x AIM-120 AMRAAMs, 2x AIM-9X AAMs, 2x GBU-38 JDAMs, 330-gallon fuel tanks, and 2x "AGR20" APKWS.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Representative Massie's primary opponent Ed Gallrein declared that President Trump is playing 5D chess.

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โ—๏ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ผ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ - President Trump, following the summit with Chinese President Xi Jinping, discourages Taiwan from declaring independence and says the US is not looking for wars over Taiwan in an interview with Fox News.

Referring to Taiwan, Trump said "Iโ€™m not looking to have somebody go independent", adding that โ€œAnd, you know, weโ€™re supposed to travel 9,500 miles to fight a war. Iโ€™m not looking for that. I want them to cool down. I want China to cool downโ€

The President remains ambiguous about arms sale to Taiwan and urges both China and Taiwan to settle for the status quo.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌโŒ๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ โ€” President Trump announces that Abu-Bilal al-Minuki, a senior leader of the Islamic State's activities in west Africa and believed second-in-command of the Islamic State, was assassinated in a joint American-Nigerian operation. No further details were given.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌโŒ๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ โ€” President Trump announces that Abu-Bilal al-Minuki, a senior leader of the Islamic State's activities in west Africa and believed second-in-command of the Islamic State, was assassinated in a joint American-Nigerian operation. No further detailsโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌโŒ๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ โ€” This may have been a ground operation by US special forces in collaboration with Nigeria. Earlier, a C-146A "Wolfhound" special operations transport aircraft operated by Air Force Special Operations Command was spotted flying above Nigeria. In addition, the irregular wording by President Trump implies this was not a regular assassination strike conducted by bombs/missiles.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌโŒ๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ โ€” This may have been a ground operation by US special forces in collaboration with Nigeria. Earlier, a C-146A "Wolfhound" special operations transport aircraft operated by Air Force Special Operations Command was spotted flying above Nigeria. Inโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿดโ€โ˜ ๏ธ โ€” Proof of a C-146A "Wolfhound" special operations transport aircraft flying above Nigeria earlier. It was operating above southern Nigeria flying north before it disabled its transponder.
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