Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- According to Ynet, Donald Trump is set to hold a series of high-level discussions on Iran upon returning to Washington from China on Friday, with several options on the table, which include either continuing negotiations toward a temporary agreement, renewing "Project Freedom" in the Strait of Hormuz, or resuming military action ranging from a targeted strike to a full-scale offensive.

โžก๏ธ Israel does not know what Trump will decide, but its political leadership has ordered the IDF to prepare for the possibility of renewed fighting as early as this coming weekend. IDF representatives have also been meeting with U.S. Central Command to build a joint target bank in the event hostilities resume.

โžก๏ธ If the U.S. does resume strikes, Israel will seek a "green light" from Trump to resume attacks on Beirut.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ- Donald Trump says that Xi Jinping calling the U.S. a declining nation was "100% correct"; he also said Iran is militarily decimated and it is "to be continued":
When President Xi very elegantly referred to the United States as perhaps being a declining nation, he was referring to the tremendous damage we suffered during the four years of Sleepy Joe Biden and the Biden Administration, and on that score, he was 100% correct. Our Country suffered immeasurably with open borders, high taxes, transgender for everybody, men in womenโ€™s sports, DEI, horrible trade deals, rampant crime, and so much more!

President Xi was not referring to the incredible rise that the United States has displayed to the world during the 16 spectacular months of the Trump Administration, which includes all-time high stock markets and 401Kโ€™s, military victory and thriving relationship in Venezuela, the military decimation of Iran (to be continued!) โ€” Strongest military on earth by far, economic powerhouse again, with a record 18 trillion dollars being invested into the United States by others, best U.S. job market in history, with more people working in the United States right now than ever before, ending country destroying DEI, and so many other things that it would be impossible to readily list. In fact, President Xi congratulated me on so many tremendous successes in such a short period of time.

Two years ago, we were, in fact, a Nation in decline. On that, I fully agree with President Xi! But now, the United States is the hottest Nation anywhere in the world, and hopefully our relationship with China will be stronger and better than ever before!
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๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ- Spanish Prime Minister Pedro Sรกnchez praises Barcelona FC winger Lamine Yamal for his support for Palestine while celebrating after Barcelona won the LaLiga:
Those who consider waving the flag of a State to be "inciting hatred" have either lost their judgment or been blinded by their own ignominy.

Lamine has only expressed the solidarity with Palestine felt by millions of Spaniards. Another reason to be proud of him.


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ’Š- A law enforcement aviation crew from the U.S. Coast Guard Helicopter Interdiction Tactical Squadron (HITRON) intercepted a "suspected drug-smuggling vessel" approximately 80 miles west of Cartagena, Colombia, on May 8th.

โžก๏ธ The seized contraband, amounting to more than 6,000 pounds of illicit narcotics valued at nearly $45.8 million USD, was offloaded at Port Everglades, Florida today.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡บ - A US delegation, led by CIA director John Ratcliffe, is heading to Havana for talks with its counterpart in the Cuban Ministry of Interior.

This round of discussion comes as Cuba admitted it has ran out of oil. The last oil delivery was by a small Russian tanker 6 weeks ago and blackouts are returning.

The US State Department is dangling $100 million of economic aid in front of Cuba's leadership, conditional on โ€œmeaningful reforms to Cubaโ€™s communist systemโ€.

Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel responded on Twitter:
If there is truly a willingness on the part of the United States government to provide aid โ€ฆ it will encounter no obstacles or ingratitude from Cuba.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐ŸโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€” Representative Thomas Massie (R-KY) has introduced a bill in Congress requiring AIPAC to be registered as a foreign agent.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ช โ€” The U.S. Department of State announced that, in late April, Venezuela transported more than 7340 kilograms of highly enriched uranium from the RV-1 nuclear reactor, located in Altos Mirandinos, Miranda State, to the Savannah River Site used to store nuclear materials in South Carolina, USA. The HEU was transported via a British ship, and the IAEA observed the process and provided technical support.

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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡บ โ€” Blackouts across Havana and the eastern part of Cuba for the past several hours due to Cuba running out of fuel due to the U.S. blockade. The blackouts in at least eastern Cuba will be indefinite.
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๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ - Beijing is set to host Russian President Vladimir Putin on May 20, immediately after the Trump-Xi summit.

This would be President Putin's first trip abroad this year.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธโ€“ Israeli National Security Minister Ben Gvir:

We have a plan for settlement in Lebanon, and we also have plans to encourage the migration of residents of Gaza and the West Bank. The lines of Areas A, B, and C must be erased; the entire land is ours.
๏ปฟ
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ- Donald Trump has officially left China and is making his way back to the United States.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- According to Al-Jazeera's Ali Hashem, a well informed source on the Iran/US negotiations has revealed that the Iranian negotiating team has been issued five conditions that must be met before any discussions on the nuclear file can begin. These conditionsโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- According to Al-Jazeera's Ali Hashem, the United States has rejected Iran's conditions in their entirety:
A well-informed Iranian source has told me that Tehran has officially received the American response to Iranโ€™s proposal, and Washington has rejected Iranโ€™s conditions in their entirety.

Iranian negotiating team included five conditions that must be met before entering into talks on the nuclear file:
1.Ending the war on all fronts
2.Lifting all sanctions
3.Releasing frozen assets
4.Compensating for war damages and losses
5.Recognition of Iranโ€™s sovereign right over the Strait of Hormuz
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- A USAF Boeing KC-46A has squawked 7700 (General Emergency) over central Israel. It should land at Ben Gurion Intl. Airport shortly.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- A USAF Boeing KC-46A has squawked 7700 (General Emergency) over central Israel. It should land at Ben Gurion Intl. Airport shortly.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- The aircraft landed safely at Ben Gurion International Airport and is currently undergoing inspection. The emergency was declared following a hydraulics failure, a potentially serious issue in which the hydraulic fluid system, responsible for powering critical flight controls such as landing gear, brakes, flaps, and steering, loses pressure or fails entirely.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- The USS Boxer (LHD-4), is currently in the western Pacific near Guam, en route to Western Asia as part of Operation Epic Fury while carrying ~2,500 Marines from the 11th MEU, it departed San Diego in mid-March. โžก๏ธ It provides amphibious assault capabilitiesโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- US Marines from the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit (MEU) conducted counter-small unmanned aircraft systems (C-sUAS) training aboard the Wasp-class amphibious assault ship USS Boxer (LHD 4) in the Indian Ocean yesterday. They are currently on their way to West Asia to assist with operations regarding Iran.

Equipment used in the images:
M4 Carbine with a Smash 2000L sight used to counter drones; a handheld signal jammer, also used to counter small drones; and an M1014 shotgun.


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โ€” ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ/๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท The Strait of Hormuz is closed, a recession is coming; what about crypto?

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