Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ - Ahead of his high stake visit to Beijing, President Trump signals his openness to use arm sales to Taiwan as a bargaining chip, breaking decades of precedents.

President Xi would like us not to, and Iโ€™ll have that discussion. Thatโ€™s one of the many things Iโ€™ll be talking about.


Washington has always supported Taiwan de facto independence and has never entertained Chinese interference in its security tie with Taiwan. However, as President Trump comes to China with a long list of demands and little to offer, Taipei has entered the menu.

With a depleted weapon stockpile from the wars in Iran and Ukraine, arm sales to Taiwan will likely be severely delayed regardless.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Serbia and NATO are conducting their first ever joint military exercise this week and next at the "Jug" base and "Borovac" training ground near Bujanovac, southern Serbia, running until May 23rd.

โžก๏ธ The exercise, called "NATO-Serbia," is being conducted by NATO's Joint Force Command Naples and Serbia's Land Forces Command. Approximately 600 personnel from Serbia, Turkey, Italy, and Romania are participating, along with observers and planners from a number of other countries.

โžก๏ธ Led by Colonel Branislav Stevanoviฤ‡, the two week exercise focuses on peace support operations, including base security, checkpoint operations, crowd control, and urban combat scenarios.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ - Ahead of his high stake visit to Beijing, President Trump signals his openness to use arm sales to Taiwan as a bargaining chip, breaking decades of precedents. President Xi would like us not to, and Iโ€™ll have that discussion. Thatโ€™s one of the manyโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ- Donald Trump's visit to Beijing, China, scheduled in Beijing time: [Click to Expand]
Wednesday, May 13th
- Air Force One arrives in Beijing in the evening with Donald Trump and his delegation.

Thursday, May 14th
- 10:00 AM: Welcome ceremony with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
- 10:15 AM: Bilateral meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping.
- Afternoon: Joint visit to the Temple of Heaven, accompanied by FLOTUS Melania Trump.
- 6:00 PM: Grand state banquet hosted by Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Friday, May 15th
- 11:40 AM: Bilateral talks and informal discussions between Trump and Xi Jinping.
- 12:15 PM: Donald Trump has lunch with President Xi Jinping.
- Afternoon: Donald Trump and his delegation depart Beijing, China.


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๐Ÿ‡ฌ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ทHMS Dragon is currently operating in the Southern Red Sea after passing through the Suez Canal earlier this week.

โžก๏ธ In order to prepare for regional operations, the ship's crew sharpened their awareness through live firing exercises in realistic, high-threat conditions at a NATO facility off the coast of Crete, where extensive weapons and sensor testing was completed prior to the deployment.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ- Donald Trump's visit to Beijing, China, scheduled in Beijing time: [Click to Expand]Wednesday, May 13th - Air Force One arrives in Beijing in the evening with Donald Trump and his delegation. Thursday, May 14th - 10:00 AM: Welcome ceremony withโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ- Donald Trump and his delegation have arrived in Beijing, China.
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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ - Shots were fired at the Philippine Senate, where Senator Bato dela Rosa, a prominent figure in former President Duterte's drug war, is currently under "protective custody" to avoid an arrest warrant from the International Criminal Court (ICC).

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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ - Shots were fired at the Philippine Senate, where Senator Bato dela Rosa, a prominent figure in former President Duterte's drug war, is currently under "protective custody" to avoid an arrest warrant from the International Criminal Court (ICC). @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญMore than ten military personnel in camouflage uniforms had arrived at the Senate building before the gunfire, according to Reuters journalists at the scene. Some of them were carrying assault rifles, as seen in the videos.

โžก๏ธ At the same time, Senator Ronald dela Rosa warned on Facebook that he was going to be arrested and urged followers to organize in order to stop him from being transferred to the ICC.

โžก๏ธ "I am appealing to you; I hope you can help me. Do not allow another Filipino to be brought to The Hague," he said in a video posted from his Senate office.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ›ข- The UAE has begun installing wire mesh and cage-like protective structures around oil storage facilities as part of efforts to defend against Iranian drones.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณToday, Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi left Tehran for New Delhi, India, to attend the meeting of the BRICS foreign ministers.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- U.S. Central Command has released an image of a U.S. Air Force F-35A fighter jet patrolling over the Gulf of Oman/Arabian Sea, armed with two AIM-9X Sidewinder air-to-air missiles.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Unconfirmed reports of an explosion in Shiraz, Fars Province, Iran.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ€” American forces begin preparation to return to Baghdad.

Technical and logistical preparations have begun for the return of American forces to Baghdad as part of joint operations to resume their duties in "combating terrorism and protecting the people of Iraq."
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- Unconfirmed reports of an explosion in Shiraz, Fars Province, Iran. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท- According to reports, there was no connection between the explosion and an attack on Iran. Iran is not being attacked.

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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐ŸŒŸ๐Ÿšซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- The Commander of Middle Euphrates Operations within the Popular Mobilization Forces Commission, Major General Ali Al-Hamdani, stated in an official release received by the INA that "a military operation named 'Imposing Sovereignty' commenced todayโ€ฆ
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐ŸŒŸโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑAs part of an ongoing inspection and surveillance plan that covers an area of about 40,000 square kilometers in coordination with provincial security agencies, the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) are carrying out extensive security operations deep in the western desert of Najaf for the second day in a row.

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