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Geopolitics Watch

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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch

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Geopolitics Watch

🇺🇸🇺🇸- Satellite imagery from May 11th shows what seems to be the USS Canberra (LCS-30) enforcing the U.S. naval blockade on Iran.

➡️ The USS Canberra carries three standoff mine countermeasure assets: an MH-60S Seahawk helicopter for airborne mine detection and neutralization, a Common Unmanned Surface Vehicle (CUSV) towing the AN/AQS-20 sonar to hunt seabed mines, and a Remote Minehunting System (RMS) semi-submersible drone.

📍 Coordinates:

23°27'48.6"N 60°35'42.1"E

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4.55K viewsSana'a 🌿, edited 01:24

Geopolitics Watch

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— U.S. senior director for counterterrorism Sebastian Gorka, as part of an interview where he explains confronting "left-wing terrorists, narcoterrorists, and Islamic terrorists", lets it slip that Nick Fuentes and Tucker Carlson are on his radar, claiming that the two aren't conservatives and "laud Sharia law".

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— Earlier, a USAF T-38 "Talon II" fighter/bomber trainer crashed in Lamar, Mississippi. Both pilots safely ejected before crash.

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— President Trump outright states that he is not considering the American people's financial situation when conducting negotiations with Iran. The only thing that matters is that Iran can't have a nuclear weapon.

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— President Trump announces he is doubling the size of the White House ballroom. A reporter points out this would double the cost. President Trump crashes out.

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Geopolitics Watch

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— President Trump announces that twelve CEOs are traveling to China, and Trump will arrive with the goal of further opening up American businesses to the Chinese market. The most notable CEOs in attendance are Jensen Huang, Sanjay Mehrota, and Cristiano Amon, as their three companies (Nvidia's chips and Micron & Qualcomm's semiconductors) are the center of the Sino-American technology war, with heavy export restrictions locking all three to the American market, making it possible that loosening export controls is on the table.

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3.81K viewsDes Moines, edited 04:56

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— Drone alert at Avivim, northeastern Israel along the Israeli-Lebanese border.

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— Congressional Budget Office has released a report claiming that the "Golden Dome for America" quad-layered missile defense system could cost $1.2T dollars over the course of 20 years, far above President Trump's estimate of $175B. 60% of the cost would be on the space-based interceptor section; the Golden Dome plan envisions thousands of satellites orbiting the Earth launching interceptors to confront hostile missiles.

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4.05K viewsDes Moines, edited 05:14

Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

📈 - US inflation spikes to 3.3% year on year, a two-year high. The 0.9% spike in CPI month on month is led by a 30.7% increase in the price of fuel oil due to the war in Iran.

🇺🇸↗️ - The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) accelerates to 3.8% year on year, highest since May 2023.

The index climbed 0.6% month on month, driven by a 3.8% increase in energy price. The US energy market is still being cushioned by drawdown from the SPR and refined product inventories. Energy price is expected to increase further if the Hormuz crisis is not resolved in the coming weeks.

The inflationary pressure is broad based, with core inflation also spiking to 2.8% year on year.

The mounting inflation may derail President Trump's plan to cut the interest rates and boost the slowing US economy. The US 10-year yield climbed 50 basis points since the beginning of the War in Iran.

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9.95K viewsAmman, edited 05:56

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🇺🇸📞🇨🇳 - Ahead of his high stake visit to Beijing, President Trump signals his openness to use arm sales to Taiwan as a bargaining chip, breaking decades of precedents.

President Xi would like us not to, and I’ll have that discussion. That’s one of the many things I’ll be talking about.

Washington has always supported Taiwan de facto independence and has never entertained Chinese interference in its security tie with Taiwan. However, as President Trump comes to China with a long list of demands and little to offer, Taipei has entered the menu.

With a depleted weapon stockpile from the wars in Iran and Ukraine, arm sales to Taiwan will likely be severely delayed regardless.

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5.01K viewsAmman, edited 06:34

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🇷🇸🤝🇺🇸- Serbia and NATO are conducting their first ever joint military exercise this week and next at the "Jug" base and "Borovac" training ground near Bujanovac, southern Serbia, running until May 23rd.

➡️ The exercise, called "NATO-Serbia," is being conducted by NATO's Joint Force Command Naples and Serbia's Land Forces Command. Approximately 600 personnel from Serbia, Turkey, Italy, and Romania are participating, along with observers and planners from a number of other countries.

➡️ Led by Colonel Branislav Stevanović, the two week exercise focuses on peace support operations, including base security, checkpoint operations, crowd control, and urban combat scenarios.

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4.22K viewsSana'a 🌿, edited 11:18

Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇨🇳 - Ahead of his high stake visit to Beijing, President Trump signals his openness to use arm sales to Taiwan as a bargaining chip, breaking decades of precedents. President Xi would like us not to, and I’ll have that discussion. That’s one of the many…

🇺🇸🤝🇨🇳- Donald Trump's visit to Beijing, China, scheduled in Beijing time: [Click to Expand]

Wednesday, May 13th
- Air Force One arrives in Beijing in the evening with Donald Trump and his delegation.

Thursday, May 14th
- 10:00 AM: Welcome ceremony with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
- 10:15 AM: Bilateral meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping.
- Afternoon: Joint visit to the Temple of Heaven, accompanied by FLOTUS Melania Trump.
- 6:00 PM: Grand state banquet hosted by Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Friday, May 15th
- 11:40 AM: Bilateral talks and informal discussions between Trump and Xi Jinping.
- 12:15 PM: Donald Trump has lunch with President Xi Jinping.
- Afternoon: Donald Trump and his delegation depart Beijing, China.

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3.54K viewsSana'a 🌿, edited 11:36

Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇬🇧🇫🇷HMS Dragon is currently operating in the Southern Red Sea after passing through the Suez Canal earlier this week.

➡️ In order to prepare for regional operations, the ship's crew sharpened their awareness through live firing exercises in realistic, high-threat conditions at a NATO facility off the coast of Crete, where extensive weapons and sensor testing was completed prior to the deployment.

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇨🇳- Donald Trump's visit to Beijing, China, scheduled in Beijing time: [Click to Expand]Wednesday, May 13th - Air Force One arrives in Beijing in the evening with Donald Trump and his delegation. Thursday, May 14th - 10:00 AM: Welcome ceremony with…

🇺🇸🤝🇨🇳- Donald Trump and his delegation have arrived in Beijing, China.

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🇵🇭 - Shots were fired at the Philippine Senate, where Senator Bato dela Rosa, a prominent figure in former President Duterte's drug war, is currently under "protective custody" to avoid an arrest warrant from the International Criminal Court (ICC).

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