Geopolitics Watch
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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Images released by U.S. Central Command show F/A-18 Super Hornets and EA-18G Growlers launching from the flight deck of the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) as the carrier operates in the Arabian Sea.

Images were taken on May 9th.


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๐Ÿคฎ20โค8๐Ÿ’ฉ6๐Ÿคฉ5โšก1
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IDF "HMMWV" Mobile Communications System using 2 FPV drones, destroying it and setting it ablaze at 17:30 in southern Lebanon's 'Bayada'.
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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah has published footage of previously announced operation targeting an IDF "HMMWV" mobile communications system using an FPV drone in southern Lebanon's 'Bayada' on the 9th of May.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- A U.S. Air Force Boeing E-3B Sentry AWACS (serial 75-0556) is currently conducting active operations over the Persian Gulf.

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โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Hezbollah has published footage of previously announced operation targeting an IDF "HMMWV" mobile communications system using an FPV drone in southern Lebanon's 'Bayada' on the 9th of May. @GeoPWatch
โšก๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ - Despite our lack of posts, Hezbollah in the past week has accelerated it's attacks, which mostly include daily FPV drone strikes and artillery shelling, alongside occasional ATGM & Quadcopter drone attacks, enough to be considered pre-ceasefire levels.

Just today, Hezbollah announced 26 operations carried out in southern Lebanon, 21 operations on the 11th of May, 24 on the 10th, 22 on the 9th, and 26 on the 8th.

The FPV attacks are undeniably effective and causing causalities & losses amongst the IDF's ranks. Hezbollah drone operators learning-curve is improving sharply.

This intensity status of the battlefield has been maintained with the IDF incapable of carrying out any major ground advancements or airstrikes across the country, essentially the 2024 scenario but reversed.


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1โค42๐Ÿ”ฅ11๐Ÿ‘6๐Ÿ˜1๐Ÿคฎ1
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Despite our lack of posts
Catching mad strays wtf
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Catching mad strays wtf
Strictly regarding the Hezb announcement context if that needed any clearing.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ช โ€” President Trump has pushed Canada and Greenland aside. He's now telling Fox News that he wants to make Venezuela the United States' 51st state. @GeoPWatch
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ช- Donald Trump once again shows that he wants to make Venezuela the United States' 51st state.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Donald Trump mimics the WW1 "I Want You for U.S. Army" poster by James Montgomery Flagg, better known as 'Uncle Sam'.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Satellite imagery from May 11th shows what seems to be the USS Canberra (LCS-30) enforcing the U.S. naval blockade on Iran.

โžก๏ธ The USS Canberra carries three standoff mine countermeasure assets: an MH-60S Seahawk helicopter for airborne mine detection and neutralization, a Common Unmanned Surface Vehicle (CUSV) towing the AN/AQS-20 sonar to hunt seabed mines, and a Remote Minehunting System (RMS) semi-submersible drone.

๐Ÿ“ Coordinates:
23ยฐ27'48.6"N 60ยฐ35'42.1"E


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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” U.S. senior director for counterterrorism Sebastian Gorka, as part of an interview where he explains confronting "left-wing terrorists, narcoterrorists, and Islamic terrorists", lets it slip that Nick Fuentes and Tucker Carlson are on his radar, claiming that the two aren't conservatives and "laud Sharia law".

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Earlier, a USAF T-38 "Talon II" fighter/bomber trainer crashed in Lamar, Mississippi. Both pilots safely ejected before crash.

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๐Ÿคฃ19๐Ÿ‘5๐Ÿ‘€4๐Ÿพ3โค1๐Ÿคฏ1
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” President Trump outright states that he is not considering the American people's financial situation when conducting negotiations with Iran. The only thing that matters is that Iran can't have a nuclear weapon.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” President Trump announces he is doubling the size of the White House ballroom. A reporter points out this would double the cost. President Trump crashes out.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ โ€” President Trump announces that twelve CEOs are traveling to China, and Trump will arrive with the goal of further opening up American businesses to the Chinese market. The most notable CEOs in attendance are Jensen Huang, Sanjay Mehrota, and Cristiano Amon, as their three companies (Nvidia's chips and Micron & Qualcomm's semiconductors) are the center of the Sino-American technology war, with heavy export restrictions locking all three to the American market, making it possible that loosening export controls is on the table.

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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€” Drone alert at Avivim, northeastern Israel along the Israeli-Lebanese border.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” Congressional Budget Office has released a report claiming that the "Golden Dome for America" quad-layered missile defense system could cost $1.2T dollars over the course of 20 years, far above President Trump's estimate of $175B. 60% of the cost would be on the space-based interceptor section; the Golden Dome plan envisions thousands of satellites orbiting the Earth launching interceptors to confront hostile missiles.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ˆ - US inflation spikes to 3.3% year on year, a two-year high. The 0.9% spike in CPI month on month is led by a 30.7% increase in the price of fuel oil due to the war in Iran.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธโ†—๏ธ - The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) accelerates to 3.8% year on year, highest since May 2023.

The index climbed 0.6% month on month, driven by a 3.8% increase in energy price. The US energy market is still being cushioned by drawdown from the SPR and refined product inventories. Energy price is expected to increase further if the Hormuz crisis is not resolved in the coming weeks.

The inflationary pressure is broad based, with core inflation also spiking to 2.8% year on year.

The mounting inflation may derail President Trump's plan to cut the interest rates and boost the slowing US economy. The US 10-year yield climbed 50 basis points since the beginning of the War in Iran.

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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ“ž๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ - Ahead of his high stake visit to Beijing, President Trump signals his openness to use arm sales to Taiwan as a bargaining chip, breaking decades of precedents.

President Xi would like us not to, and Iโ€™ll have that discussion. Thatโ€™s one of the many things Iโ€™ll be talking about.


Washington has always supported Taiwan de facto independence and has never entertained Chinese interference in its security tie with Taiwan. However, as President Trump comes to China with a long list of demands and little to offer, Taipei has entered the menu.

With a depleted weapon stockpile from the wars in Iran and Ukraine, arm sales to Taiwan will likely be severely delayed regardless.

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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿค๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ- Serbia and NATO are conducting their first ever joint military exercise this week and next at the "Jug" base and "Borovac" training ground near Bujanovac, southern Serbia, running until May 23rd.

โžก๏ธ The exercise, called "NATO-Serbia," is being conducted by NATO's Joint Force Command Naples and Serbia's Land Forces Command. Approximately 600 personnel from Serbia, Turkey, Italy, and Romania are participating, along with observers and planners from a number of other countries.

โžก๏ธ Led by Colonel Branislav Stevanoviฤ‡, the two week exercise focuses on peace support operations, including base security, checkpoint operations, crowd control, and urban combat scenarios.

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