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Geopolitics Watch

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Open-source intelligence news media focusing on worldwide conflicts and geopolitics.

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Geopolitics Watch

69.2K subscribers

Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇷❌🇺🇸🇮🇱- According to the New York Times citing classified US intelligence estimates, despite the US/Israeli air campaign, intelligence assessments indicate Iran has retained significant missile capabilities. Of the 33 missile sites along the Strait of Hormuz, 30 have been restored to operational status, with only three remaining completely inaccessible.

➡️ Iran still fields around 70% of its pre-war mobile launchers and has retained approximately 70% of its overall missile stockpile, comprising both ballistic and cruise missiles. Nationwide, Iran has regained access to roughly 90% of its underground missile storage and launch facilities, now assessed as partially or fully operational.

➡️ The assessments are particularly concerning given the threat these sites pose to US warships and oil tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz, with many sites capable of deploying mobile launchers or firing directly from existing launchpads.

➡️ Meanwhile, the US expended enormous quantities of munitions during the conflict, including approximately 1,100 long-range stealth cruise missiles, over 1,000 Tomahawk missiles, and more than 1,300 Patriot interceptor missiles.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇺🇸🇺🇸- Images released by U.S. Central Command show F/A-18 Super Hornets and EA-18G Growlers launching from the flight deck of the USS Abraham Lincoln (CVN 72) as the carrier operates in the Arabian Sea.

Images were taken on May 9th.

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3.19K viewsSana'a 🌿, edited 22:05

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Geopolitics Watch

IDF "HMMWV" Mobile Communications System using 2 FPV drones, destroying it and setting it ablaze at 17:30 in southern Lebanon's 'Bayada'.

Media is too big

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⚡️🇱🇧🇱🇧❌🇮🇱 - Hezbollah has published footage of previously announced operation targeting an IDF "HMMWV" mobile communications system using an FPV drone in southern Lebanon's 'Bayada' on the 9th of May.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇺🇸🇺🇸- A U.S. Air Force Boeing E-3B Sentry AWACS (serial 75-0556) is currently conducting active operations over the Persian Gulf.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇮🇱 - Hezbollah has published footage of previously announced operation targeting an IDF "HMMWV" mobile communications system using an FPV drone in southern Lebanon's 'Bayada' on the 9th of May. @GeoPWatch

⚡️🇱🇧🇱🇧❌🇮🇱 - Despite our lack of posts, Hezbollah in the past week has accelerated it's attacks, which mostly include daily FPV drone strikes and artillery shelling, alongside occasional ATGM & Quadcopter drone attacks, enough to be considered pre-ceasefire levels.

Just today, Hezbollah announced 26 operations carried out in southern Lebanon, 21 operations on the 11th of May, 24 on the 10th, 22 on the 9th, and 26 on the 8th.

The FPV attacks are undeniably effective and causing causalities & losses amongst the IDF's ranks. Hezbollah drone operators learning-curve is improving sharply.

This intensity status of the battlefield has been maintained with the IDF incapable of carrying out any major ground advancements or airstrikes across the country, essentially the 2024 scenario but reversed.

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Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

Despite our lack of posts

Catching mad strays wtf

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3.59K viewsDes Moines, edited 22:30

Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

Catching mad strays wtf

Strictly regarding the Hezb announcement context if that needed any clearing.

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3.49K viewspercy, edited 22:37

Geopolitics Watch

Geopolitics Watch

🇻🇪 — President Trump has pushed Canada and Greenland aside. He's now telling Fox News that he wants to make Venezuela the United States' 51st state. @GeoPWatch

🇺🇸❌🇻🇪- Donald Trump once again shows that he wants to make Venezuela the United States' 51st state.

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🇺🇸- Donald Trump mimics the WW1 "I Want You for U.S. Army" poster by James Montgomery Flagg, better known as 'Uncle Sam'.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇺🇸🇺🇸- Satellite imagery from May 11th shows what seems to be the USS Canberra (LCS-30) enforcing the U.S. naval blockade on Iran.

➡️ The USS Canberra carries three standoff mine countermeasure assets: an MH-60S Seahawk helicopter for airborne mine detection and neutralization, a Common Unmanned Surface Vehicle (CUSV) towing the AN/AQS-20 sonar to hunt seabed mines, and a Remote Minehunting System (RMS) semi-submersible drone.

📍 Coordinates:

23°27'48.6"N 60°35'42.1"E

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Geopolitics Watch

🇺🇸

— U.S. senior director for counterterrorism Sebastian Gorka, as part of an interview where he explains confronting "left-wing terrorists, narcoterrorists, and Islamic terrorists", lets it slip that Nick Fuentes and Tucker Carlson are on his radar, claiming that the two aren't conservatives and "laud Sharia law".

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Geopolitics Watch

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— Earlier, a USAF T-38 "Talon II" fighter/bomber trainer crashed in Lamar, Mississippi. Both pilots safely ejected before crash.

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🇺🇸

— President Trump outright states that he is not considering the American people's financial situation when conducting negotiations with Iran. The only thing that matters is that Iran can't have a nuclear weapon.

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🇺🇸

— President Trump announces he is doubling the size of the White House ballroom. A reporter points out this would double the cost. President Trump crashes out.

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Geopolitics Watch

🇺🇸

🇨🇳

— President Trump announces that twelve CEOs are traveling to China, and Trump will arrive with the goal of further opening up American businesses to the Chinese market. The most notable CEOs in attendance are Jensen Huang, Sanjay Mehrota, and Cristiano Amon, as their three companies (Nvidia's chips and Micron & Qualcomm's semiconductors) are the center of the Sino-American technology war, with heavy export restrictions locking all three to the American market, making it possible that loosening export controls is on the table.

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🇱🇧

❌

🇮🇱

— Drone alert at Avivim, northeastern Israel along the Israeli-Lebanese border.

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🇺🇸

— Congressional Budget Office has released a report claiming that the "Golden Dome for America" quad-layered missile defense system could cost $1.2T dollars over the course of 20 years, far above President Trump's estimate of $175B. 60% of the cost would be on the space-based interceptor section; the Golden Dome plan envisions thousands of satellites orbiting the Earth launching interceptors to confront hostile missiles.

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