Geopolitics Watch

🇺🇸🤝🇮🇷- Reporter:

Is there a deadline?

Donald Trump:

Never a deadline, it'll happen but never a deadline.

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🇷🇺🇷🇺❌🏳️🏴- Yesterday, helicopters from the Russian Africa Corps conducted a logistical mission to the settlement of Anéfis, situated in the Kidal Region of northeastern Mali.

➡️ The operation focused on the delivery of essential food supplies and ammunition to reinforce personnel stationed in the area.

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🏴❌🇹🇩- On the evening of Monday, May 4th, Boko Haram launched a significant assault on the Barka Tolorom military base in the Lake Chad region.

➡️ According to official reports from the Chadian military, the attack resulted in the deaths of 25 soldiers and left 46 others wounded.

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🇮🇷🌟❌☀️- Footage shows Iranian drone attacks on Iranian Kurdish opposition groups near Erbil, northern Iraq.

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🇮🇷🌟❌☀️- Additional footage from Erbil province, Iraq.

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🇮🇷🌟❌☀️🇺🇸- Fighter jets are currently flying over Erbil Province to intercept incoming Iranian drones.

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🇺🇸- Fighter jets are currently flying over Erbil Province to intercept incoming Iranian drones.

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🇮🇷🌟❌☀️🇺🇸- A fighter jet has intercepted at least 1 Iranian drone. The attacks are ongoing.

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🇺🇸- Iranian Speaker of Parliament, Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf, posted on X:

Operation Trust Me Bro failed. Now back to routine with Operation Fauxios.

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🇰🇵❌🇰🇷- North Korea (DPRK) has officially amended its constitution to remove all references of unification with the South, signaling a shift toward a more hostile policy.

➡️ The new amendment formally includes a territorial clause for the first time and explicitly places control of the country's nuclear forces under Kim Jong Un as head of the State Affairs Commission.

➡️ By codifying its status as a nuclear weapons state and abandoning the goal of peaceful reunification, it has significantly reduced the potential for future diplomatic engagement between the two nations.

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🇱🇧❌🇮🇱- Drone alerts have been activated in Kiryat Shmona, northern Israel.

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— Hezbollah announced responsibility for 17 operations against Israel yesterday, May 6, 2026, as operations continue at an increasing pace in response to IDF ceasefire violations.

Notably, Hezbollah did not declare any operation to be in retaliation to the airstrikes conducted against Dahye, specifically claiming operations in retaliation for ceasefire violations in southern Lebanon only. Hezbollah's response will likely be at some point in the next 24 hours.

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— U.S. Department of State has sent a memo warning employees not to use confidential information to bet on prediction markets.

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🇺🇸- An informed source told Tasnim, Iran has not yet responded to the latest American proposal, which reportedly contains "unacceptable" clauses. ➡️ The source dismissed recent US media reports of a near agreement as propaganda intended to justify a retreat…

🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- According to Politico, a senior Gulf Arab official involved in the peace talks noted that while Trump is eager to end the war, negotiations are stalled because neither side is willing to grant the other a "face saving" exit.

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🇮🇱- Drone alerts have been activated in Kiryat Shmona, northern Israel.

🇮🇱❌🇱🇧- The IDF says it intercepted a "suspicious aerial target" launched from Lebanon toward Israeli territory. Sirens were triggered due to the threat of falling debris, the military confirmed the target was intercepted before crossing the border.

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🇺🇸❌🇮🇷- Al-Jazeera's Kimberly Halkett says "there are signs and signals of something imminent":

It appears that Trump has fallen into a familiar pattern, like when he threatened to wipe out an entire civilisation.

This pattern has become somewhat recognisable: Escalating publicly, create hard deadlines, and then threaten overwhelming force, at the same time leaving an open window for diplomacy.

The reason that Trump may be trying to do this is because he has, as we know, as of about 24 hours ago, paused what is known as Project Freedom, and that was the US escorting ships through the Strait of Hormuz.

He says the reason for doing so is to give diplomacy a window of opportunity, and so that does reinforce the point that there are signs and signals of something imminent.

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🛢 - The Trump administration is again suspected of insider trading and market manipulation with the latest move in crude oil. A $760 million bet that oil would go down was placed 20 minutes before Trump's announcement that the Strait of Hormuz was open.…

🇺🇸❌🛢 - Another oil short bet, this time amounting to $920 million was placed 70 minutes before the Axios article reporting that the US and Iran were close to a “memorandum of understanding” to end the conflict.

Brent crude dropped over 10% before recovering and trading above $100 a barrel by the session close.

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🇺🇸- According to the New York Times, a federal judge has unsealed a suicide note reportedly written by Jeffrey Epstein, which had been kept secret for years.

➡️ The note was originally discovered by Epstein’s cellmate, Nicholas Tartaglione, inside a graphic novel in July 2019, shortly after what was reported as a previous suicide attempt. It states:

They investigated me for months — FOUND NOTHING!!!

So 16 year old charges resulted.

It is a treat to be able to choose ones time to say goodbye.

Watcha want me to do — Bust out cryin!!

NO FUN — NOT WORTH IT!!

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🏴❌🇲🇱🇲🇱- JNIM has released a statement regarding the control over 2 Malian militia Headquarters:

Full control has been established over two headquarters belonging to militias loyal to the Malian army in Gomasagou and Kerkouri in the Mopti region this evening.

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🇸🇦❌🇺🇸- NBC News citing two unidentified US officials says, the abrupt pause in Project Freedom was triggered by Saudi Arabia suspending the US military’s access to its airspace and the Prince Sultan Airbase.

➡️ The officials noted that the Saudi government was angered by President Trump’s sudden announcement of the operation on Truth Social without prior consultation.

➡️ Without access to Saudi facilities and corridors, the US was unable to effectively fly the aircraft needed to protect ships in the Strait of Hormuz.

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🇮🇷❌🇮🇱- Unconfirmed reports of Iranian air defences shooting down a hostile drone over western Tehran following explosions. Mutiple reports suggest the drone could belong to the Israeli Air Force but everything is highly speculative. This incident reportedly took place approximately 1 hour and 30 minutes ago.

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