So, it appears that the next large-scale, combined missile and drone attack will either take place on the morning of new years', or January 2, with missiles likely targeting between 1am and 8am Kyiv time.

This attack will include strategic bombers, as well as other types of missiles.

- 2 Tu-95MS redeployed from Engels-2 Airbase, Saratov Oblast, to Belaya Airbase, Irkutsk Oblast. They were both equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Engels-2 Airbase.

- 2 Tu-95MS redeployed from Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast, to Belaya Airbase. They have since been equipped with Kh-101 missiles.

- 1 Tu-95MS redeployed from Belaya Airbase to Engels-2 Airbase after being equipped with Kh-101 missiles.

- 5 Tu-95MS remain at Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast. They are equipped/being equipped with Kh-101 missiles.

- 1-2 Tu-160 strategic bombers at Ukrainka Airbase are equipped with Kh-101 missiles.

- 2 Tu-22m3 strategic bombers redeployed from Diaghilev Airbase, Ryazan Oblast, to Olenya Airbase. It's unclear if they are equipped with Kh-32 cruise missiles.

- 3-4 Tu-22m3 bombers are equipped with Kh-32 missiles at Engels-2 Airbase.

- At least 4 MiG-31K fighters are equipped with Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles at Savasleika Airbase, Nizhny Novgorod Oblast.

- Iskander-M ballistic missiles and possibly Iskander-K cruise missiles were delivered to OTRK installations near Taganrog (Rostov Oblast), Kursk City, and other areas.

- Statuses of the Black Sea Fleet and missile carriers in the Caspian Sea are unknown, but it's likely that at least one of the two will be used in the next attack.

- An unprecedented accumulation of Geran-2 and Gerbera drones remains at all major launch sites near Ukraine.

🇨🇳 🇹🇼 Over the past 48 hours, China surrounded Taiwan and executed large-scale live-fire military exercises featuring simulated decapitation strikes and the seizure of key ports.

“It is a noose-style blockade. The operational scope is no longer limited to symbolic, isolated shows of force, but has evolved into a coordinated and interconnected blockade network, practicing the tactics to choke off the island’s vital supply lines,” the official PLA press account stated bluntly.

With a potential Day 3 on the horizon, here’s everything you might have missed:

📎 Ian Ellis