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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ทโœˆ๏ธ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฟ โ€” ๐Ÿ“ฐ MenchOsint: Iranian Government Plane A321 (EP-IGD) from Tehran, Iran ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท landing in Algiers, Algeria ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ฟ

Callsign IRAN05 indicates FM Hossein Amir Abdollahian is onboard.

๐Ÿ”— MenchOsint (@MenchOsint)
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- The Official Israeli Broadcasting Corporation, from a political source:
We will not agree, under any circumstances, to end the war
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Geopolitics Watch
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- The Official Israeli Broadcasting Corporation, from a political source: We will not agree, under any circumstances, to end the war
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- Gantz:
I suggest to the โ€œpolitical sourcesโ€ and to all decision makers to wait for the official briefings, act calmly, and not enter into hysteria as a result of political calculations.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ง- Israeli National Security Advisor Tzachi Hanegbi:

โžก๏ธAt a certain point we were very close to reaching Sinwar's location

โžก๏ธSinwar will not emerge from this war alive

โžก๏ธWe made a decision to launch a military operation in Rafah, and we set a date for it and postponed it due to the escalation with Iran.

โžก๏ธIt will not be easy for any minister to vote in favor of the deal when it is presented to them

โžก๏ธThe security and political cabinet decided at the beginning of the war that our focus should be on the Gaza front and not be divided into two fronts.

โžก๏ธWe are ready to hold discussions on the disputed border areas with Lebanon

โžก๏ธThe army placed two military divisions near Rafah in preparation for a possible military operation

โžก๏ธBlinken saw an endless number of tanks in the Gaza envelope when he went to the Kerem Shalom crossing
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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ- Hossam Badran, senior Hamas leader:
We called for the inclusion of Turkey and Russia as guarantors of any agreement with the occupation.
Forwarded from /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (FRANCISCVS)
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Russian forces reached the northern edge of Arkhanhelske, Donetsk Oblast. They bypassed Novokalynove and Keramik from the east.

๐Ÿ“Ž Spatial Grounds
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Russian forces reached the northern edge of Arkhanhelske, Donetsk Oblast. They bypassed Novokalynove and Keramik from the east. ๐Ÿ“Ž Spatial Grounds
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บโŒ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ โ€” On May 4, 2024 AD, Russian Ground troops raised the Russian tricolor flag over the settlement of Arkhanhelske located NW of Avdiivka, and expanded their zone of control around Ocheretyne.

โžก๏ธ Russian forces are 10km away from the T0504 road linking the cities of Pokrovsk and Kostyantynivka, and thus from from making a major pocket between Ocheretyne and Arkhanhelske

๐Ÿ—บ 48.2708333, 37.6444444

๐Ÿ”— Status-6 (Military & Conflict News) (@Archer83Able)
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๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ May 4th Russian kickoff | Armchair Warlord

"Over the last week or so we've begun to see Russian forces pushing forward across the length of the Ukrainian front line, with notable if modest successes on all axes. I've attached maps (h/t Rybar) showing some of their gains over just the last two days.

At the moment the Russians are mostly driving separate salients into the long-static front line and have not yet begun the process of generally rolling the line back or attempting to break through and rupture the front to begin a maneuver battle. With that being said I think it's safe to say we're in the opening stages of a Russian offensive, following on and building from their efforts to push the Ukrainian Army out of their fortress line in front of Donetsk (and out of artillery range of the city's civilian population) over the course of the winter.

Is this the main Russian strike? Extremely doubtful. We're likely looking at a shaping operation to pin the Ukrainian Army in place on the existing front line and force the commitment of any and all remaining AFU reserve forces prior to the hammer falling. Among other things there's an entire unengaged Russian operational group - Group "N" - hanging out on the "quiet" northeastern front along the prewar border that has yet to go into action in any serious way. We also haven't seen the sort of extremely heavy missile strikes that would precede a general offensive, although given reports of around 40 bombers airborne with no accompanying strike earlier this week the Russians may have conducted a dress rehearsal for them. And we definitely haven't seen what would be, to me, the largest indicator that we're looking at the real thing - Russian air assaults to seize key points behind Ukrainian lines a-la the war's opening operation at Gostomel Airport.

What immediately strikes me is that it's far from clear where the Russians will even aim their main effort, very much unlike the exhaustively-telegraphed Ukrainian offensive this time last year."

๐Ÿ“Ž Continued
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ โ€” Multiple sources close to the negotiations revealed that Israel no longer objects to the release of Fatah Central Committee member Marwan Barghouti, but insists on releasing him to the Gaza Strip and not the West Bank.

โžก๏ธThe release of Marwan Barghouti constitutes a milestone in Palestinian political life, given his overwhelming popularity in the Fatah movement and the Palestinian street.

โžก๏ธAccording to many public opinion polls in Palestine Barghouti would win any presidential election by the majority of the Palestinian people, regardless of his competitor (whether it's hamas, fatah or any other faction).

โžก๏ธBargouthi, could be a great threat to the current Fatah leaders in the PA, as many of the Fatah movement members are loyal to him, and since their popularity among palestinians became almost non existing (polls show 8% of palestinians would vote to Abbas current PA president)

โžก๏ธIsrael previously refused to release Marwan Barghouti in the deal with Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit in 2011.

๐Ÿ—ณ๏ธ๐Ÿ“ŠPalestinian Research Center poll: If the presidential elections were held today, Marwan Barghouti would win.
Marwan Barghouti 40%
Ismail Haniyeh 23%
Mahmoud Abbas 8%

https://t.me/GeoPWatch
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ถ๐Ÿ‡ฆ- The Israeli government unanimously approves the closure of the Al Jazeera and Al Jazeera English offices in Israel
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ-BREAKING
Netanyahu: Israel will not agree to Hamasโ€™ demands, which mean surrender, and will continue fighting until all our goals are achieved
https://t.me/GeoPWatch
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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- A statement issued by Ismail Haniyeh, head of the political bureau of Hamas

First: In confirmation of the movementโ€™s seriousness and positivity before the current round of negotiations, it conducted a series of contacts with the mediating brothers and with the resistance factions, and held intensive meetings and consultations between inside and outside before sending the delegation to Cairo, and carried it with its positive and flexible positions with the importance of relying on the movementโ€™s priority being To stop the aggression against our people, which is a fundamental and logical position that lays the foundation for a more stable future.
What is the meaning of the agreement if a ceasefire is not its first outcome?

Second: The world has become a hostage to an extremist government, which has a huge number of political problems and crimes committed in Gaza, and whose president wants to invent permanent justifications for the continuation of the aggression and the expansion of the circle of conflict, and to sabotage the efforts made through the mediators and various parties.
America, which gave cover to this occupation, is the one who should stop it instead of supplying it with weapons of destruction and extermination.

Third: The Hamas movement is still keen to reach a comprehensive, interconnected agreement that ends the aggression, guarantees withdrawal, and achieves a serious prisoner exchange deal.

https://t.me/GeoPWatch
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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- Following Alqassam's announcment through their official telegram channel of bombarding concentrations of Israeli forces at the โ€œKerem Shalomโ€ and its surroundings with a 114 mm short-range missiles, israel announced that over 14 soldiers were injured/killed.

Videos and pictures circulating in hebrew and arab media show a hole where a rocket fell into one of the tents built by IDF and multiple helicopters moving wounded/dead soldiers to Soroka hospital in Beer Sheva.

๐Ÿค“โœ๐ŸปAdmin note:
Interestingly, Blinken, has visited the same area (kerem shalom crosspoint which is 2km away from the targetted karem shalom military base) 3 days ago during his visit to the region.
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๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡งโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ since today's morning, around 80 rockets were launched from Lebanon towards Israel.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑโŒ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ- Michael Biton from Gantzโ€™s party (War cabinet member):
We will leave the government soon and will present a project to hold elections in September to replace the Netanyahu government.
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๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ธ-BREAKING
Hamas movement announces handing over its official response of the negotiations to the mediators
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