Forwarded from Mediterranean Man (TC762I)
โก๏ธ๐ธ๐พ Pantsir S1 air-defence system destroyed by Israeli airstrike near Damascus.
@medmannews
@medmannews
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Geopolitics Watch
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness
The Israeli army has reportedly captured Quneitra in southern Syria and is advancing toward Daraa.
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Geopolitics Watch
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Forwarded from The Journalyze (แดแดสแด
แดแดสษช๊ฐ)
๐บ๐ธ๐ธ๐พ U.S. Representative Joe Wilson:
๐ Subscribe to @Journalyze
"Happy December 8th, the day the brutal Assad regime falls."
๐ Subscribe to @Journalyze
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Geopolitics Watch
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Thinking about a single Syrian state with effective control and sovereignty over all its area is unrealistic.
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3 soldiers were killed on the spot, and 18 other soldiers were injured to varying degrees.
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Forwarded from /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (ศepeศ)
๐น๐ท ๐ธ๐พ ๐ฎ๐ฑ Neo-Ottomanism in Syria | CIG #commentary
After Iraq, Iran, and Turkey defeated ISIS in 2017, they invaded Iraqi Kurdistan. This move enabled Turkish forces to expand militarily and establish many bases within Iraqi borders. With Assad gone, Syria's Kurdish government has an uncertain future.
The SDF in Northern Syria have built their house on sand. Many pro-FSA Arabs live in the northeast, and much of the SDF itself (2nd column from the right) is composed of such fifth column elements. A joint Syrian-Turkish invasion would likely be accepted as a liberation war.
US & Israeli officials are worried about defending a land corridor in Syria to prevent regional actors such as Turkey, Iran, and various Islamist factions from posing a threat to Israel.
Such a corridor would interfere with Turkey's strategic goals in Syria, especially just after an exhaustingly long civil war and newly found Turkish political dominance in the country. It is unlikely that Turkey would let this opportunity pass them by.
Meanwhile, Israel is perhaps over-extending itself during a lengthy multi-front war, as US-competitors Iran & Russia seem to remain steadfast after trading Assad for the new government in Syria established by the FSA.
Since Israel is conquering land over claims from thousands of years ago, does it not set precedent for Turkey to project Syrian sovereignty over Ottoman-era boundaries? Both armies are on the move now, and Assad is no longer in between them. What happens next? Enter Trump:
Situated in Golan Heights, the aptly named Trump Heights settlement symbolizes the intense involvement that the next Trump administration will have in the region. Rather than pivoting US strategic positioning to East Asia, Trump will have his hands full with Syria and Israel.
Dealing with Syria for Trump means dealing with Turkey. Many of Trump's allies have a very CENTCOM-centric focus on foreign policy. Keeping Neocons out of his admin is crucial in preventing the US from being bogged down in a forever war fueled by ancient blood grievances.
The factions that overthrew Assad in Syria are not unipolar either. Jolani's HTS is gaining distance from Turkey relative to the SNA by playing good cop with the SDF. The Southern Front & SFA are more secular and aligned with US/Israel forces.
Turkey will have to stabilize Syria first and may have to begrudgingly accept HTS primacy among other factions, along with supporting Jolani's legitimacy. Thereby choosing friendship with the HTS rather than completely losing them over failed attempts to control his territory.
Lastly, some have theorized that Israel and Turkey agreed to partition Syria. Something akin to the MolotovโRibbentrop Pact and the ramifications it had for Poland.
@CIG_telegram
https://fxtwitter.com/franciscvs2/status/1865845871734063556
After Iraq, Iran, and Turkey defeated ISIS in 2017, they invaded Iraqi Kurdistan. This move enabled Turkish forces to expand militarily and establish many bases within Iraqi borders. With Assad gone, Syria's Kurdish government has an uncertain future.
The SDF in Northern Syria have built their house on sand. Many pro-FSA Arabs live in the northeast, and much of the SDF itself (2nd column from the right) is composed of such fifth column elements. A joint Syrian-Turkish invasion would likely be accepted as a liberation war.
US & Israeli officials are worried about defending a land corridor in Syria to prevent regional actors such as Turkey, Iran, and various Islamist factions from posing a threat to Israel.
Such a corridor would interfere with Turkey's strategic goals in Syria, especially just after an exhaustingly long civil war and newly found Turkish political dominance in the country. It is unlikely that Turkey would let this opportunity pass them by.
Meanwhile, Israel is perhaps over-extending itself during a lengthy multi-front war, as US-competitors Iran & Russia seem to remain steadfast after trading Assad for the new government in Syria established by the FSA.
Since Israel is conquering land over claims from thousands of years ago, does it not set precedent for Turkey to project Syrian sovereignty over Ottoman-era boundaries? Both armies are on the move now, and Assad is no longer in between them. What happens next? Enter Trump:
Situated in Golan Heights, the aptly named Trump Heights settlement symbolizes the intense involvement that the next Trump administration will have in the region. Rather than pivoting US strategic positioning to East Asia, Trump will have his hands full with Syria and Israel.
Dealing with Syria for Trump means dealing with Turkey. Many of Trump's allies have a very CENTCOM-centric focus on foreign policy. Keeping Neocons out of his admin is crucial in preventing the US from being bogged down in a forever war fueled by ancient blood grievances.
The factions that overthrew Assad in Syria are not unipolar either. Jolani's HTS is gaining distance from Turkey relative to the SNA by playing good cop with the SDF. The Southern Front & SFA are more secular and aligned with US/Israel forces.
Turkey will have to stabilize Syria first and may have to begrudgingly accept HTS primacy among other factions, along with supporting Jolani's legitimacy. Thereby choosing friendship with the HTS rather than completely losing them over failed attempts to control his territory.
Lastly, some have theorized that Israel and Turkey agreed to partition Syria. Something akin to the MolotovโRibbentrop Pact and the ramifications it had for Poland.
@CIG_telegram
https://fxtwitter.com/franciscvs2/status/1865845871734063556
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๐งต Thread โข FxTwitter / FixupX
FRANCISCVS (@FRANCISCVS2)
After Iraq, Iran, and Turkey defeated ISIS in 2017, they invaded Iraqi Kurdistan. This move enabled Turkish forces to expand militarily and establish many bases within Iraqi borders. With Assad gone, Syria's Kurdish government has an uncertain future.
Neoโฆ
Neoโฆ
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Forwarded from Levant24
"Mohammed Al-Bashir, the current Prime Minister of the SSG, will be tasked with forming a new Syrian government to manage the transitional period.
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๐ธ๐พ๐บ๐ธ โ US-backed SDF militias shoot live bullets at protesters in the city of Maskanah, killing 3 young people so far.
The militias are also actively looting leftover weapons and ammunition depots in Deir ez Zor and transporting them to their stronghold in al Hasakah.
The militias are also actively looting leftover weapons and ammunition depots in Deir ez Zor and transporting them to their stronghold in al Hasakah.
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Forwarded from Clash Report
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Local people of Deir Ez-Zor are attacking the vehicles of PKK/YPG leaders.
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The Islamic Resistance Movement Hamas congratulates the brotherly Syrian people on their success in achieving their aspirations for freedom and justice. We call on all components of the Syrian people to unite their ranks, further their national cohesion, and rise above the pains of the past.
We, in the Hamas movement and our Palestinian people, stand firmly with the great Syrian people, and we affirm the unity of Syria and the integrity of its territories, and respect for the Syrian people, their will, independence, and political choices.
The brotherly Syrian people, with all their spectrums, national unity, and the spirit of brotherhood and tolerance, are capable, God willing, of overcoming all challenges and passing through this critical stage, in a way that achieves goodness, development, security, stability and prosperity for Syria and its dear people, so that Syria can continue its historical and pivotal role in supporting the Palestinian people and their resistance to achieve the goals of their just cause, and to consolidate Syriaโs leadership role at the level of the Arab and Islamic nation, and at the regional and international levels.
We, in the Hamas Movement, condemn in the strongest terms the repeated brutal aggression of the Zionist occupation against Syrian lands, and we categorically reject any Zionist ambitions or plans targeting our sister Syria, its land and its people.
May God protect Syria, Palestine and the entire nation from all harm.
Islamic Resistance Movement - Hamas
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