Forex Crypto Updates
2.2K subscribers
Here is a learning community for traders who want to understand how the market truly moves.

We focus on trading logic,
Download Telegram
Channel created
๐Ÿ…ฐ๏ธโ„น๏ธโบ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡บ AUDUSD has broken through the lower boundary of the ascending wedge and is testing the 50-day moving average (MA50); the Parabolic SAR confirms the start of a downtrend.

๐Ÿ”ฝ Consider selling AUDUSD if it falls below 0.7045;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 1: 0.7025;
๐ŸŽฏ Target 2: 0.7015.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ˜’Anthropic is reportedly in talks to acquire AI startup Decart for about $6B, gaining technology that could reduce AI training costs and improve chip efficiency.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธThe Trump administration is shifting back toward sanctions and a naval blockade of Iranian oil exports after its military campaign failed to force Tehran to capitulate.

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japanโ€™s government reportedly supports a faster BOJ rate hike, with the next increase likely in September or October.

๐Ÿ’ป Lenovo shares surged 22% after quarterly revenue jumped 43%, beating estimates; the stock is now up 280%+ YTD.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 15.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Core PPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ PPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โญ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ผโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ’ธ On the EURUSD daily chart, following the release of the US CPI, the pair is actively testing the upper boundary of the descending wedge, although the CCI has moved out of the overbought zone.

โ†—๏ธ A break above the trend line at 1.1570 will open the way to 1.1800;
๐Ÿ“‰ A pullback will send the EURUSD down to the 1.1360 support level.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธUS CPI Release๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ

โญ๏ธ Core CPI m/m
Actual โ€” 0.2%
Expected โ€” 0.2%
Previous โ€” 0.0%

โญ๏ธ Core CPI m/m
Actual โ€” 2.5%
Expected โ€” 2.5%
Previous โ€” 2.6%

โญ๏ธ CPI m/m
Actual โ€” 0.1%
Expected โ€” 0.1%
Previous โ€” -0.4%

โญ๏ธ CPI y/y
Actual โ€” 3.4%
Expected โ€” 3.4%
Previous โ€” 3.5%
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ญ USDCHF on the H2 chart is poised to test resistance for the third time, and the price has crossed above the upper Bollinger Band, although there is an FVG at the top.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Consolidation above 0.8130 will open the way to 0.8160;
๐Ÿ“‰ A pullback will bring USDCHF back to 0.8100 and then to 0.8090.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โ๏ธโธ๏ธโบ๏ธโ„น๏ธ๐Ÿ”ฝโบ๏ธ

๐Ÿ“‰ NZDUSD is trading sideways, testing the lower boundary, and the MACD histogram indicates the start of bearish dominance. There is an imbalance at the global trend line below.

โคต๏ธ If NZDUSD falls below 0.5860, consider selling;
๐ŸŽฏ Target: 0.5825.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ’ป Nvidia eased credit market concerns by limiting its own capital commitment while securing over $500B in financing from major Wall Street firms for AI infrastructure.

๐Ÿ’ดA policy split between US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japanโ€™s Sanae Takaichi over BOJ rate hikes threatens to undermine their joint efforts to support the yen.

๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ดNorwayโ€™s $2.3T sovereign wealth fund returned 9.4% in H1, outperforming its benchmark by 22 bps, driven by gains in US technology stocks.

๐ŸŒฌ Vestas raised its 2026 profit margin guidance to 7โ€“9% (from 6โ€“8%) and announced a share buyback after strong growth in turbine orders.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 12.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Core CPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Core CPI y/y - 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CPI m/m - 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ CPI y/y - 15:30 GMT+3;

Useful insight? Hit โค๏ธ
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ’ฃ Default

๐Ÿ“‰A sovereign default happens when a government canโ€™t meet its debt obligations anymore. In simple terms: the state โ€œgoes bankrupt.โ€
But unlike a company, a country canโ€™t just disappear โ€” the fallout spreads through global markets.

๐Ÿ“œ History remembers:

๐ŸŸ In 2001, Argentina defaulted on over $100B, the largest sovereign default at that time. Riots broke out, the peso devalued massively, and the economy plunged into crisis.
๐ŸŸ In 2012, Greece restructured โ‚ฌ200B of bonds โ€” the biggest debt restructuring in history. It triggered years of austerity and sent shockwaves through the eurozone.

๐Ÿ•ฏ Impact on markets:
When a country defaults, its currency usually collapses, bonds lose most of their value, and inflation often explodes.

โœจ Investors rush into safe havens โ€” gold (XAUUSD), the US dollar (DXY), or even Treasuries. At the same time, global risk assets (stocks, EM currencies, commodities) suffer from panic and contagion.

๐Ÿ’ต Default is not just local news. It triggers capital flight, re-pricing of risk worldwide, and sometimes global liquidity shocks. For traders, this means opportunities: shorting overvalued assets, buying safe havens early, or playing the recovery once restructuring begins.

Hit โค๏ธ and save this post to remember it.
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ Economists now expect the eurozone economy to grow 0.8% in 2026 (vs. 0.5% previously), after Q2 GDP rose 0.4%, double forecasts.

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran appointed hardliner Mohsen Rezaee as its top security official while saying a Hormuz shipping deal with Oman is โ€œvery close.โ€

โŒจ๏ธ TSMC reported July sales up 45% YoY to NT$467.6B ($14.5B), highlighting resilient demand for AI chips.

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ Chinese humanoid robot makers accounted for 97% of global shipments in H1 2026, with worldwide deliveries rising to 19,100 units, more than 3ร— higher than a year earlier.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 10.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ FOMC Member Hammack Speaks โ€“ 22:00 GMT+3
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
โšก๏ธUS NFP RELEASEโšก๏ธ

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธAverage Hourly Earnings m/m:
Actual โ€” 0.1%
Expected โ€” 0.3%
Previous โ€” 0.3%

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธNFP m/m:
Actual โ€”  -23K
Expected โ€” 85K
Previous โ€” 57K

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธUnemployment Rate:
Actual โ€” 4.1%
Expected โ€” 4.2%
Previous โ€” 4.2%
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค๐Ÿ”ค

๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ตThe yen weakened to around 158.4/$, giving back nearly half of its intervention-driven gains and raising the risk of renewed US-Japan intervention.

๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ชGerman industrial production rose 0.2% MoM in June, matching estimates, with auto-sector output up 3.6%.

โ„ข๏ธ Allianz reported record Q2 operating profit of โ‚ฌ4.87B, up 11% and above estimates, while Pimco attracted โ‚ฌ31.7B in inflows.

โšก๏ธ OpenAIโ€™s first device is reportedly a screenless, hockey puck-sized smart speaker with moving parts, expected to cost over $300.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 07.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Employment Change โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Unemployment Rate โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Average Hourly Earnings m/m โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Non-Farm Employment Change โ€“ 15:30 GMT+3;
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Unemployment Rate โ€“ 15:30 GMT
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM
๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” ๐Ÿ” โ—๏ธ

๐Ÿฅ‡ Gold rose more than 1% to above $4,130/oz, while silver also gained, as progress toward reopening the Strait of Hormuz reduced expectations of further Fed rate hikes.

๐Ÿš€ SpaceX shares fell about 7% after reporting Q2 capex of $18.4B, as higher AI spending overshadowed earnings that beat Wall Street expectations.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Donald Trump said US-Iran talks are progressing well, boosting hopes for an interim agreement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.

#MarketNews

๐Ÿ“† CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 05.08.2026

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ ISM Services PMI โ€“ 17:00 GMT
Please open Telegram to view this post
VIEW IN TELEGRAM