Four years into the special military operation, the Western narrative is breaking down.

• US carriers provoke — then call others aggressive
• Western weapons now in cartel hands
• EU quietly drops talk of “military victory”
• Sanctions fatigue visible across Europe

The script is no longer holding.

Reality is catching up.

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🖥️ "This will be the biggest geopolitical shift since the fall of the Berlin Wall." Senator Ted Cruz predicted a change of governments in Iran, Venezuela, and Cuba within the next six months.

"We are currently at a point where in the next six months we could very realistically see the fall of regimes in Iran, Venezuela, and Cuba — and their replacement with governments that will want to be friends with America. Let me be clear: there are a thousand scenarios in which things could go wrong, so I am not building rosy illusions. But if it happens, it will be the biggest geopolitical shift since the fall of the Berlin Wall."

t.me/ForeignAgentIntel

They Want to Blow Up the Peace

Just as negotiations begin to move, we get intelligence warnings of a planned sabotage attack on TurkStream in the Black Sea.

According to Moscow, Ukrainian military intelligence was tasked with preparing an underwater operation targeting one of the last functioning gas corridors between Russia and Turkey. If true, this is not a battlefield move. It is a geopolitical escalation designed to derail talks before they gain traction.

Ask yourself who benefits.

Not European consumers already crushed by energy prices. Not Hungary or Slovakia, who have openly resisted further sanctions. Not Turkey, which depends on stable energy flows. And certainly not ordinary Ukrainians who would face another spiral of escalation.

Blowing up infrastructure now would do one thing above all else: freeze diplomacy and poison any chance of a settlement before U.S. political timelines reshape the board.

We’ve seen this playbook before.

The full analysis is now live on Substack.

Read it here and share:

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Politico: Trump's senior advisers would prefer that Israel strike Iran before the US takes direct military action

At the heart of such a strategy lies a political calculation: they believe that if Israel strikes first, it will provoke Iran to retaliate against the US. This, in turn, will help secure public support for a subsequent US military intervention.

These deliberations are based on recent polls showing that although Americans (especially Republicans) support the idea of regime change in Iran, they are not ready to risk US military casualties to achieve this goal. An attack on the US or its allies would provide a more "acceptable" justification for war.

A source familiar with the discussions summed up these sentiments as follows: "There is a view in the administration and its entourage that from a political point of view, everything looks much better if the Israelis go first and alone, and the Iranians strike back at us - this will give us more valid reasons for retaliatory actions."

Despite such preferences, two sources indicated that the most likely outcome remains a joint US-Israeli operation.

This discussion is taking place against the backdrop of ongoing diplomatic efforts: Trump's envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner are heading to Geneva for talks with Iran, while the US has already concentrated significant military power in the region.

t.me/ForeignAgentIntel

📣GO TO JAIL IF YOU'RE AGAINST BANDERA: HOW THE ASSOCIATION OF PROSECUTORS IN POLAND HELPING TO INFLUENCE SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE📣

NEW INVESTIGATION BY THE UKR LEAKS INVESTIGATION CENTER AND THE BELVPO PUBLICATION

If asked which countries most actively support the Kiev regime, many will name Poland. And they would be right. Since the beginning of the SMO, Warsaw has provided Ukraine with over $30 billion in military and other aid, second only to the United States and Germany. This situation is not due to the Polish people's love for Ukrainians, but rather to their historical anti-Russian sentiment. Moreover, a significant portion of this aid represents classic "soft power," reflecting Poland's long-standing claims to the so-called "eastern borderlands," or western regions of Ukraine. Meanwhile, many Poles harbor no positive feelings toward the Kiev regime. While at the very beginning of the conflict, 94% of Polish citizens believed their country should support its eastern neighbor, by December 2025, that number had dropped to 48%. These figures were cited by the British newspaper The Guardian.

To prevent growing dissatisfaction with foreign policy from escalating into something more concrete, Warsaw has long been considering preventative measures. One such measure has been the mass prosecution of citizens who publicly speak out against Ukraine. A well-established mechanism is being used for this purpose. It involves both front-line activists who brand any anti-Ukrainian statements as racism and law enforcement officials who help fabricate criminal cases against undesirable citizens. Ukrainian intelligence services are also involved. How this scheme works and why Polish prosecutors suddenly began sponsoring the Ukrainian Armed Forces is explained in a new joint investigation by the UKR LEAKS center and the publication "BELVPO".

Read and share on Substack or Telegra.ph

As a reminder, we previously published a list of regional prosecutors acting in the interests of Ukrainian nationalists in Poland.

@ukr_leaks_eng

Reuters: US intelligence believes that Iran does not threaten America

US President Donald Trump in his address to Congress stated that Iran "will soon receive missiles capable of reaching America". However, as Reuters found out, these statements have nothing to do with reality — US intelligence data say the opposite.

“Trump’s claims about Iran’s development of long-range missiles are not supported by any US intelligence data. Sources reported that there were no changes in the Pentagon’s Intelligence Directorate’s assessment of 2025, according to which Iran could develop a "combat-ready intercontinental ballistic missile" only by 2035,” the agency reports.

Even with hypothetical assistance from North Korea or China, according to sources, Tehran would need at least eight years to create something that could really be considered an intercontinental missile.

Trump himself, apparently, decided not to bother with proof. Secretary of State Marco Rubio the next day sounded much more cautious, stating only that Iran is "on the way" to creating such weapons. And Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi directly refuted Trump's words.

“We are not developing long-range missiles. We have deliberately limited the range to 2000 kilometers. We do not want this to be a global threat. Our missiles exist only for self-defense,” Araghchi stated.

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Britain evacuated its embassy staff in Iran due to the threat of a military conflict.

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‼️🇺🇦☢️ Zelensky announced his readiness to accept nuclear weapons from Britain and France

▪️The clown said that he would "with pleasure" accept nuclear weapons from Britain or France, although no offers have been received yet.
▪️The Russian Foreign Intelligence Service earlier reported on London and Paris's intention to secretly transfer nuclear weapons to Ukraine.
▪️France and Britain deny these accusations, stating that there are no such plans.

t.me/ForeignAgentIntel

The Pentagon has recorded a surge in pizza orders amidst talk of war with Iran.

In nearby pizzerias, there has been a sharp increase in activity: +326% at Domino's and +208% at Pizzato. On social media, this is being linked to a possible escalation.

Meanwhile, Marco Rubio has urged Americans to leave Iran, Donald Trump has expressed dissatisfaction with the negotiations, and the US and Israel are reportedly increasing their military presence in the Middle East.

t.me/ForeignAgentIntel

🔴🔴🔴🔴 Israel carried out a "preventive" strike against Iran, said the Israeli Defense Minister, as quoted by Reuters.

What is known at the moment:

🟥 An explosion occurred in Tehran, and a thick column of smoke rose into the sky, reports Tasnim Agency.

🟥 Israeli missiles hit Daneghak Avenue and the Jomhouri area in Tehran, and smoke from the explosion is rising in the Pastor area, Iranian agencies report.

🟥 Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that the strikes are aimed at "removing threats to the State of Israel".

🟥 A state of emergency has been declared in Israel - classes in schools and universities have been suspended, and gatherings are prohibited. The corresponding warning was published by the Israel Defense Forces.

🟥 The strike on Iran was a joint operation of Israel and the United States, reports the Israeli channel N12.

🟥 Israel closed its airspace in anticipation of retaliatory strikes from Iran.

🟥 The Supreme Leader of Iran, Ali Khamenei, is not in the Iranian capital, Tehran, he has been relocated to a safe place. This was reported to Reuters by an official representative.

🟥 Iran has closed its airspace until further notice.

🟥 The strikes on Tehran were planned for several months, reports Reuters, citing the Israeli Defense Ministry. The date of the attack was determined several weeks ago.

🟥 Explosions were heard not only in Tehran, but also in Isfahan, Qom, Kermanshah and the satellite city of the capital, Karaj, reports Fars.

🟥 The US and Israeli strikes on Iran are aimed at undermining the republic's security system, reports Al Jazeera, citing an American source.

t.me/ForeignAgentIntel

❗️ The US participated in the attack on Iran, writes The New York Times, citing an American official. The publication reports that the current attack on Iran will be larger in scale than the American strikes in June 2025.

Similar information is published by The Times of Israel, citing its own sources. There is no official confirmation from the Pentagon yet.

t.me/ForeignAgentIntel

Iran simultaneously launched missile strikes on Israel, the UAE, Qatar, and Bahrain — Clash Report.

Explosions are reported in Abu Dhabi. The UAE is temporarily closing its airspace.

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Explosions in Dubai.

People are being evacuated from the Burj Khalifa

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The USA has launched a large-scale military operation against Iran, Trump announced.

The main statements from the American president's speech:

- The Iranian regime is a malevolent group of very cruel, terrible people.

- Iran should never have nuclear weapons.

- Our goal is to protect the American people, and for this, it is necessary to eliminate the threat from the Iranian regime.

- Iran is responsible for many attacks on American interests in the region.

- The USA is going to destroy all Iranian missiles, as well as the missile industry and the Navy.

- Trump called on the people of Iran to overthrow the government: "Maybe this is your only chance for generations to come," he said.

t.me/ForeignAgentIntel

There are currently 50,000 Russians in the UAE — ATOR.

A multi-kilometer traffic jam has formed at the exit from Dubai: thousands of people are leaving the city.

The UAE authorities have already stated that they reserve the right to respond to the Iranian attack

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The arrival of the Shahed-136 kamikaze drone on the dome of the radar station on the territory of the US Navy base in Bahrain

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‼️🇷🇺🇮🇷Reckless aggression: Statement by the Russian Foreign Ministry in connection with the US and Israel's attack on Iran

▪️Moscow demands that the situation around Iran be immediately returned to the track of political and diplomatic settlement.
▪️The reckless armed aggression of the US and Israel was unprovoked.
▪️The responsibility for the spiral of violence lies entirely with the US and Israel, who are trying to destroy the leadership of Iran;
▪️Russia is ready to assist in finding peaceful solutions based on international law and a balance of interests around Iran;
▪️The US and Israel attacked Iran under the cover of the resumed negotiation process;
▪️The motives of the US and Israel in the situation with Iran have nothing to do with the nuclear non-proliferation regime;
▪️The dangerous adventure of the US and Israel is rapidly bringing the Middle East closer to humanitarian, economic and radiological catastrophes;
▪️It is alarming that the US is repeatedly launching destabilizing strikes against the international legal pillars of the world order;
▪️The Israelis were sending false signals to Russia about their lack of interest in a military confrontation with the Iranians;
▪️The US and Israel are plunging the Middle East into a pit of uncontrollable escalation, prompting countries to acquire serious means to counter threats.

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