Masks Off, part 3 is now free for all to read
Topics covered in this edition:
-Introduction: the coup of the flying monkeys
-Foreign policy
-The surveillance state
-The (global) Censorship Industrial Complex
-Trump is merely an archetype
Topics covered in this edition:
-Introduction: the coup of the flying monkeys
-Foreign policy
-The surveillance state
-The (global) Censorship Industrial Complex
-Trump is merely an archetype
👆🏼 Vance just announced as VP, Trump officially given the RNC nomination.
The Shitshow Macro Weekly Prep Pod Mon for 7.15.24 is out:
-The Attempt on Trump post is out for all readers on the Shitshow Macro Sub
-Masks Off, part 3 is now out from behind the paywall and available to all readers. The podcast version will be made available for all tomorrow (Tuesday).
Domestic Politics:
-There was an attempt on Trump’s life via a 20-something shooter in Pennsylvania on Saturday. While the full picture is still emerging, at best the USSS dropped the ball in a major way. At worst, well, let’s not even go there quite yet.
--I’ve got some experience working with the USSS CAT and sniper teams from my MIL days, and several different forms of ADVON and security experience from the private side as well. The Attempt on Trump walks through the “brass tax” of what we know so far and my perspective based on my experience with such things.
--Since I published that yesterday, it has come out that the USSS Director pulled Trump’s normal (seasoned) Secret Service team and sent them to a Jill Biden rally, leaving mostly green newbies. I will add my personal opinion on this decision in the pod, but not in writing. Fair warning, earmuffs.
-JD Vance was announced as the VP candidate for Trump today (Monday). I add some potential investment insights given this decision in the markets section.
-Judge Aileen Canon out of Florida has dismissed the Jack Smith “documents” case against Trump, deeming Smith’s very appointment as an SC to be unconstitutional.
-This seems like forever ago, but it did not make it into Friday’s show: at the end of the NATO summit last week, Biden announced Zelensky as Putin and called Trump his VP.
--Reminder that the “letter from George Clooney” asking Biden to drop out of the race was less than a week ago as well.
-@MikeBenzCyber sat down with former Mumford & Sons musician Winston Marshall for an interview. I watched it in full over the weekend and even put out a post calling out one incredibly important aspect of coverage (that American taxpayers rarely enjoy the fruits of the warfare they fund, although US politicians almost always do, a la the Lindsay Graham comment about $12.4tn of resources in UKR).
--I will link the interview in the show notes, as the entire thing was a master class and worth the watch.
-MSNBC made the decision to pull Morning Joe from the air today. No word on how long it will be for, but the move itself is quite telling, as many pundits have noted.
-The dirty commies are out in full force at the RNC convention in Milwaukee. @MrAndyNgo has video of one of their speakers (leaders?) giving others the green light to riot. Video link in the show notes.
War/Military:
-The most senior Hamas leader to date has been smoked by the IDF. Largely known as the military commander and “The Man with Nine Lives” due to multiple attempts to take him out in the past (one of which killed his wife and children), this man has been an HVT on Israel’s list for years.
-It is being reported that the US is now sending or considering sending Paladin missile systems to Germany, as another move to counter RUS.
Science/Health:
-Vax attorney @AaronSiriSG released another testimony video of former CDC Director Redfield saying that the USGOV underreported side effects to prevent hesitancy. In my personal opinion, that should be freaking criminal.
Markets/economics:
-I like listening to insights that may disprove my own assertions/beliefs, and I got hit with another one regarding the Bank of Japan and their stance on the Yen’s trajectory and the USDJPY pair.
--The hedge fund investor and anon X user Le Shrub sat down for The End Game with Grant Williams and explained that he thinks the BOJ’s interventions are to punish speculators.
--I’m going to have to marinate on that and look at the currency with that null hypothesis in mind. Interview link in the show notes so that you can consider it for yourself.
-The Attempt on Trump post is out for all readers on the Shitshow Macro Sub
-Masks Off, part 3 is now out from behind the paywall and available to all readers. The podcast version will be made available for all tomorrow (Tuesday).
Domestic Politics:
-There was an attempt on Trump’s life via a 20-something shooter in Pennsylvania on Saturday. While the full picture is still emerging, at best the USSS dropped the ball in a major way. At worst, well, let’s not even go there quite yet.
--I’ve got some experience working with the USSS CAT and sniper teams from my MIL days, and several different forms of ADVON and security experience from the private side as well. The Attempt on Trump walks through the “brass tax” of what we know so far and my perspective based on my experience with such things.
--Since I published that yesterday, it has come out that the USSS Director pulled Trump’s normal (seasoned) Secret Service team and sent them to a Jill Biden rally, leaving mostly green newbies. I will add my personal opinion on this decision in the pod, but not in writing. Fair warning, earmuffs.
-JD Vance was announced as the VP candidate for Trump today (Monday). I add some potential investment insights given this decision in the markets section.
-Judge Aileen Canon out of Florida has dismissed the Jack Smith “documents” case against Trump, deeming Smith’s very appointment as an SC to be unconstitutional.
-This seems like forever ago, but it did not make it into Friday’s show: at the end of the NATO summit last week, Biden announced Zelensky as Putin and called Trump his VP.
--Reminder that the “letter from George Clooney” asking Biden to drop out of the race was less than a week ago as well.
-@MikeBenzCyber sat down with former Mumford & Sons musician Winston Marshall for an interview. I watched it in full over the weekend and even put out a post calling out one incredibly important aspect of coverage (that American taxpayers rarely enjoy the fruits of the warfare they fund, although US politicians almost always do, a la the Lindsay Graham comment about $12.4tn of resources in UKR).
--I will link the interview in the show notes, as the entire thing was a master class and worth the watch.
-MSNBC made the decision to pull Morning Joe from the air today. No word on how long it will be for, but the move itself is quite telling, as many pundits have noted.
-The dirty commies are out in full force at the RNC convention in Milwaukee. @MrAndyNgo has video of one of their speakers (leaders?) giving others the green light to riot. Video link in the show notes.
War/Military:
-The most senior Hamas leader to date has been smoked by the IDF. Largely known as the military commander and “The Man with Nine Lives” due to multiple attempts to take him out in the past (one of which killed his wife and children), this man has been an HVT on Israel’s list for years.
-It is being reported that the US is now sending or considering sending Paladin missile systems to Germany, as another move to counter RUS.
Science/Health:
-Vax attorney @AaronSiriSG released another testimony video of former CDC Director Redfield saying that the USGOV underreported side effects to prevent hesitancy. In my personal opinion, that should be freaking criminal.
Markets/economics:
-I like listening to insights that may disprove my own assertions/beliefs, and I got hit with another one regarding the Bank of Japan and their stance on the Yen’s trajectory and the USDJPY pair.
--The hedge fund investor and anon X user Le Shrub sat down for The End Game with Grant Williams and explained that he thinks the BOJ’s interventions are to punish speculators.
--I’m going to have to marinate on that and look at the currency with that null hypothesis in mind. Interview link in the show notes so that you can consider it for yourself.
-I mentioned that I would discuss the JD Vance VP pick here, and that may have sounded odd to some. It only clicked for me when I found out that Vance is the author of Hillbilly Elegy.
--If you don’t know, this was the first book (that I know of) that “mainstreamed” the destruction that opiates like Oxycontin were having on various parts of the US, especially Appalachia, the Rust Belt, West Virginia, and Ohio where Vance is from.
--If that is a foreshadowing that a Trump presidency 2.0 would put an intense focus on revitalizing US manufacturing and blue-collar jobs, looking into infrastructure and commodities (needed to build/power said infrastructure) may be a wise investment thesis to start to form.
--OH Gov Dewine has been a massive disappointment to many conservatives there, but if he ended up putting Vivek Ramaswamy into JD’s senate seat (that he will have to leave to take the VP role), I just might pee my pants out of excitement. Yes, I am in my mid-40s, but I really like Vivek and what he brings to the table.
-While it’s not wise to make any kind of determination too quickly in these batshit markets, an IWM (small caps) liftoff today, Cathie Wood from ARKK stated that her investors losing money is a good thing, actually, and NVDA and other tech stocks hitting some turbulence last week, the cyclical thesis for sector rotation is getting stronger by the day.
-The real estate market continues to get worse, a ton of homes are still under construction, and lumber prices continue to collapse. I started telling you in December that the time to sell your home was nearly over, and I hope you listened if you were of the need to do so. This may be rocky for a while.
-The 3-month yield has dropped to its lowest level since 2023 in expectation of rate cuts given the softening economic and jobs data.
-I’m a macro econ/finance nerd, so I’ve had the Treasury yield rates USGOV page bookmarked since my MBA. We had a former Fed officer prof who taught us the importance of using yields to forecast oncoming economic issues, and I have used this bookmark often. I’ll include the link in the show notes for my fellow MacroEcon nerds out there who don’t have it already.
-The Biden Admin announced today (Monday) that it will be instituting national price controls on rent increases (5% cap). One of my favorite shit-posting finance X accounts Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) shared an interesting writeup about the institution of price controls during times of hyperinflation throughout history…and how it never works. Screenshot in the show notes.
-Rabobank released another market note that seems to indicate the wind is in Trump’s sails. Their analysts note that the attempted assassination will require the DNC to focus on Biden’s admin successes rather than attacks against Trump. Without saying as much, this leaves team Biden without a leg to stand on.
-Another great FinTwit follow Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) shared a chart and insight that hedge funds are buying energy & selling tech and communications, as per Goldman Sachs. Chart in the show notes.
Business:
-As reported by MacroEdge @MacroEdgeRes ) SolarEdge has announced that it will cut 10% of its workforce. Solar/green is one sector that can’t exist without low rates and/or subsidies.
-Salesforce is reportedly preparing for another round of job cuts.
-John Deere has announced that more US employees will be laid off by mid-month as jobs are being outsourced to Mexico.
Social dynamics/societal/culture war/Legal:
1. Another great follow for the legal beagles is FOIA Fan (@15poundstogo) with a post from yesterday to include here. So that I don’t screw this up, here is the exact wording of the post (with screenshot of the doc in the show notes):
BREAKING!!!
Guffaw!!! According to a new foia release, Biden’s personal lawyer raised the SAME Presidential Records Act argument tthe hat Biden’s DOJ argues does not work for Trump! Citing to the same Clinton sock drawer case!!!
--If you don’t know, this was the first book (that I know of) that “mainstreamed” the destruction that opiates like Oxycontin were having on various parts of the US, especially Appalachia, the Rust Belt, West Virginia, and Ohio where Vance is from.
--If that is a foreshadowing that a Trump presidency 2.0 would put an intense focus on revitalizing US manufacturing and blue-collar jobs, looking into infrastructure and commodities (needed to build/power said infrastructure) may be a wise investment thesis to start to form.
--OH Gov Dewine has been a massive disappointment to many conservatives there, but if he ended up putting Vivek Ramaswamy into JD’s senate seat (that he will have to leave to take the VP role), I just might pee my pants out of excitement. Yes, I am in my mid-40s, but I really like Vivek and what he brings to the table.
-While it’s not wise to make any kind of determination too quickly in these batshit markets, an IWM (small caps) liftoff today, Cathie Wood from ARKK stated that her investors losing money is a good thing, actually, and NVDA and other tech stocks hitting some turbulence last week, the cyclical thesis for sector rotation is getting stronger by the day.
-The real estate market continues to get worse, a ton of homes are still under construction, and lumber prices continue to collapse. I started telling you in December that the time to sell your home was nearly over, and I hope you listened if you were of the need to do so. This may be rocky for a while.
-The 3-month yield has dropped to its lowest level since 2023 in expectation of rate cuts given the softening economic and jobs data.
-I’m a macro econ/finance nerd, so I’ve had the Treasury yield rates USGOV page bookmarked since my MBA. We had a former Fed officer prof who taught us the importance of using yields to forecast oncoming economic issues, and I have used this bookmark often. I’ll include the link in the show notes for my fellow MacroEcon nerds out there who don’t have it already.
-The Biden Admin announced today (Monday) that it will be instituting national price controls on rent increases (5% cap). One of my favorite shit-posting finance X accounts Darth Powell (@VladTheInflator) shared an interesting writeup about the institution of price controls during times of hyperinflation throughout history…and how it never works. Screenshot in the show notes.
-Rabobank released another market note that seems to indicate the wind is in Trump’s sails. Their analysts note that the attempted assassination will require the DNC to focus on Biden’s admin successes rather than attacks against Trump. Without saying as much, this leaves team Biden without a leg to stand on.
-Another great FinTwit follow Markets & Mayhem (@Mayhem4Markets) shared a chart and insight that hedge funds are buying energy & selling tech and communications, as per Goldman Sachs. Chart in the show notes.
Business:
-As reported by MacroEdge @MacroEdgeRes ) SolarEdge has announced that it will cut 10% of its workforce. Solar/green is one sector that can’t exist without low rates and/or subsidies.
-Salesforce is reportedly preparing for another round of job cuts.
-John Deere has announced that more US employees will be laid off by mid-month as jobs are being outsourced to Mexico.
Social dynamics/societal/culture war/Legal:
1. Another great follow for the legal beagles is FOIA Fan (@15poundstogo) with a post from yesterday to include here. So that I don’t screw this up, here is the exact wording of the post (with screenshot of the doc in the show notes):
BREAKING!!!
Guffaw!!! According to a new foia release, Biden’s personal lawyer raised the SAME Presidential Records Act argument tthe hat Biden’s DOJ argues does not work for Trump! Citing to the same Clinton sock drawer case!!!
Conspiracy-y:
I included a bit on the Accelerationist movement in the last section of my The Attempt on Trump post, and it’s an incredibly important issue that most have no clue about, and can be quite difficult to unpack.
As I said in the post, the Batman quote that, “Some people just want to watch the world burn” is a perfect brief summary of what Accelerationists are, but the TTPs they use are more nefarious than most movie supervillains.
The tenuous connections they have to US intelligence, satanic and neo nazi groups, and convincing teens to either mutilate and self-harm or go out and harm others (several mass shootings with links to 764 and O9A) is extremely disturbing.
While the Accelerationist movement itself is stateless, non-ideological, and non-partisan (true anarchy and societal downfall is their ultimate goal), many of the intelligence think tank crowd have hijacked research and white papers on the subject, trying to add a very partisan bent to it that does not exist, but allows for quite a bit of USGOV funding in the current “demonize white people and Trump supporters” environment.
Ken Silva of Headline USA is one of the few in media who has been reporting on this movement, and he has a recent article out that points out some of the worrisome “markers” that the would-be Trump assassin has of the classic Accelerationist members or marks:
x.com/JD_Cashless/st…
White Pill:
Tucker seemed to have been sitting down for an interview that was being taped today with John Rich when he was given the news about the dismissal of the classified docs case in Florida, as mentioned at the start of today’s podcast.
While I often give my White Pill insights of the week to end on a high note, I’m nowhere near as eloquent as Tucker, so I’ll let him include today’s for you:
youtube.com/shorts/Vrg34kO…
Implications:
-Access to information, true SMEs on X & podcasts rather than those the MSM chooses to platform, and a “lifted veil” to the bullshit means that more people are more difficult to propagandize and pull a fast one on than ever before. They will continue to try, however.
-Markets pricing in a Trump win versus the now unmistakable and largely recognized manipulations of the markets by the USGOV. What does that mean for investors? It’s too early to tell.
-It pains me greatly to say this, but living in reality we must recognize the base case that there is likely to be another attempt to get Trump. Many saw this coming and were called conspiracy theorists (of course), and many in the media couldn’t even wait 24 hours to begin ratcheting up the rhetoric again. Someone get that man a trustworthy private security team.
The Weekly Read (Monday):
Chaos by Tom O’Neill.
amazon.com/Chaos-Charles-…
I suggested reading this in The Attempt on Trump post, and I have to re-suggest it. There are a lot of things that have long been considered “debunked conspiracy theories” that seem to have a significant amount of basis in fact, and this book provides quite a bit of circumstantial evidence that one of the big and most widely mocked ones may have been real.
For those of you who don’t know, the CIA has admitted for quite some time now that MK-Ultra was in fact an actual Agency program - it just didn’t get talked much about by the people who most Americans trust to get their news from.
Macro takeaways/lessons for the week:
When people refuse to recognize and accept reality for what it is, sometimes things must get very ugly for the veil of The Great Pretending to be torn away. We have allowed many facets of society to get to the point where frauds, liars, and malcontents prosper. That may be ending in the near future, God willing, but there is probably more ugly required before we get there.
Links mentioned in the show:
Intro & Outtro music: Blind by Mike Amabile and Run Over Twice
open.spotify.com/track/6SG99nL3…
1AP Media Defamation Crowdfunding Links
givesendgo.com/1APMediaDefama…
Mike Benz Masterclass with Winston Marshall
youtu.be/HTwRZW00Krk?si…
I included a bit on the Accelerationist movement in the last section of my The Attempt on Trump post, and it’s an incredibly important issue that most have no clue about, and can be quite difficult to unpack.
As I said in the post, the Batman quote that, “Some people just want to watch the world burn” is a perfect brief summary of what Accelerationists are, but the TTPs they use are more nefarious than most movie supervillains.
The tenuous connections they have to US intelligence, satanic and neo nazi groups, and convincing teens to either mutilate and self-harm or go out and harm others (several mass shootings with links to 764 and O9A) is extremely disturbing.
While the Accelerationist movement itself is stateless, non-ideological, and non-partisan (true anarchy and societal downfall is their ultimate goal), many of the intelligence think tank crowd have hijacked research and white papers on the subject, trying to add a very partisan bent to it that does not exist, but allows for quite a bit of USGOV funding in the current “demonize white people and Trump supporters” environment.
Ken Silva of Headline USA is one of the few in media who has been reporting on this movement, and he has a recent article out that points out some of the worrisome “markers” that the would-be Trump assassin has of the classic Accelerationist members or marks:
x.com/JD_Cashless/st…
White Pill:
Tucker seemed to have been sitting down for an interview that was being taped today with John Rich when he was given the news about the dismissal of the classified docs case in Florida, as mentioned at the start of today’s podcast.
While I often give my White Pill insights of the week to end on a high note, I’m nowhere near as eloquent as Tucker, so I’ll let him include today’s for you:
youtube.com/shorts/Vrg34kO…
Implications:
-Access to information, true SMEs on X & podcasts rather than those the MSM chooses to platform, and a “lifted veil” to the bullshit means that more people are more difficult to propagandize and pull a fast one on than ever before. They will continue to try, however.
-Markets pricing in a Trump win versus the now unmistakable and largely recognized manipulations of the markets by the USGOV. What does that mean for investors? It’s too early to tell.
-It pains me greatly to say this, but living in reality we must recognize the base case that there is likely to be another attempt to get Trump. Many saw this coming and were called conspiracy theorists (of course), and many in the media couldn’t even wait 24 hours to begin ratcheting up the rhetoric again. Someone get that man a trustworthy private security team.
The Weekly Read (Monday):
Chaos by Tom O’Neill.
amazon.com/Chaos-Charles-…
I suggested reading this in The Attempt on Trump post, and I have to re-suggest it. There are a lot of things that have long been considered “debunked conspiracy theories” that seem to have a significant amount of basis in fact, and this book provides quite a bit of circumstantial evidence that one of the big and most widely mocked ones may have been real.
For those of you who don’t know, the CIA has admitted for quite some time now that MK-Ultra was in fact an actual Agency program - it just didn’t get talked much about by the people who most Americans trust to get their news from.
Macro takeaways/lessons for the week:
When people refuse to recognize and accept reality for what it is, sometimes things must get very ugly for the veil of The Great Pretending to be torn away. We have allowed many facets of society to get to the point where frauds, liars, and malcontents prosper. That may be ending in the near future, God willing, but there is probably more ugly required before we get there.
Links mentioned in the show:
Intro & Outtro music: Blind by Mike Amabile and Run Over Twice
open.spotify.com/track/6SG99nL3…
1AP Media Defamation Crowdfunding Links
givesendgo.com/1APMediaDefama…
Mike Benz Masterclass with Winston Marshall
youtu.be/HTwRZW00Krk?si…
The End Game with Grant Williams and Le Shrub
open.spotify.com/episode/5lTz6o…
Hillbilly Elegy Book
amazon.com/Hillbilly-Eleg…
US Treasury Yield Curve Rates
home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/…
Dirty Violent Commies Gonna Commie (at the RNC Convention)
x.com/MrAndyNgo/stat…
Hyperinflation and Price Controls
(won't display on X)
Hedgie Sector Rotation
(won't display on X)
Presidential Immunity FOIA
(won't display on X)
open.spotify.com/episode/5lTz6o…
Hillbilly Elegy Book
amazon.com/Hillbilly-Eleg…
US Treasury Yield Curve Rates
home.treasury.gov/policy-issues/…
Dirty Violent Commies Gonna Commie (at the RNC Convention)
x.com/MrAndyNgo/stat…
Hyperinflation and Price Controls
(won't display on X)
Hedgie Sector Rotation
(won't display on X)
Presidential Immunity FOIA
(won't display on X)