Russian tanker successfully crosses the Strait of Hormuz.
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An unknown trader bought $12M worth of S&P 500 call options just hours before Trump announced a ceasefire on Tuesday.
The position:
6,800 SPX 6950 calls (expiring May 8), opened when the index was at 6556.
After the announcement, equities jumped. The trade turned into ~$35M, locking in about $23M profit in a single day.
At the same time, someone dumped ~8,600 lots of Brent and WTI futures worth ~$950M ahead of the news.
Oil dropped 15%, falling below $100 per barrel.
This isnβt the first time.
On March 23, traders sold ~$500M in oil futures just 15 minutes before Trump announced a delay in strikes on Iranβs energy infrastructure.
Same reaction: oil down ~15%.
Same pattern: positioning before headlines.
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The Hong Kong Monetary Authority has released the first two stablecoin issuer licenses:
The Hongkong and Shanghai Banking Corporation Limited
Anchorpoint Financial Limited (a joint venture between Standard Chartered Bank, Animoca Brands, and Hong Kong Telecom).
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Forwarded from ChannelCollection
π Looking for Crypto Creators & Influencers
Do you have reach in Crypto, Trading or Finance?
My name is Mark,
Iβm a BD Manager at Bitunix (Dubai), and I work directly with selected
KOLs & Influencers in the crypto space.
The goal is simple:
Create long-term, fair partnerships where creators can
β’ build an additional online income stream
β’ offer real value to their community
β’ and grow together with a trusted trading platform
No hype.
No empty promises.
Just transparent cooperation & performance.
π Interested in learning more?
Send a dm to @MasterLoganCrypt
Do you have reach in Crypto, Trading or Finance?
My name is Mark,
Iβm a BD Manager at Bitunix (Dubai), and I work directly with selected
KOLs & Influencers in the crypto space.
The goal is simple:
Create long-term, fair partnerships where creators can
β’ build an additional online income stream
β’ offer real value to their community
β’ and grow together with a trusted trading platform
No hype.
No empty promises.
Just transparent cooperation & performance.
π Interested in learning more?
Send a dm to @MasterLoganCrypt
Forwarded from POLITICS | FINANCE | WAR | GEOPOLITICS | NEWS
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TotalEnergies announced the Saudi SATORP oil refinery will be indefinitely shut down following recent Iranian strikes.
@PoliticFinance
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1β€2
πΊπΈ Macro USA:
Consumer Price Index
(CPI; March):
β’ m/m: 0.9% (forecast: 0.3%; prior: 0.2%)
β’ y/y: 3.3% (forecast: 3.4%; prior: 2.4%);
β’ Core CPI (y/y): 2.6% (forecast: 2.7%; prior: 2.5%).
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πΊπΈ US gas prices saw their biggest jump in CPI data since 1967.
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A "miraculous" trade that anticipated a 15% drop in crude oil has led to new restrictions in Washington. Just before the US announced a ceasefire with Iran, over half a billion dollars in oil futures changed hands.
The Fallout:
β’ Trading Ban: White House staff are prohibited from using non-public info for futures bets.
β’ The Catalyst: A $500M short position opened 60 seconds before the news.
β’ Investigation: Officials are looking for the source of the leak.
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π€¬4π€3β€2π€―1
πΊπΈ U.S. energy inflation soars +10.9% in March, the biggest monthly increase since 2005.
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β‘6β€2π1
Trump tells Iran that they "have no cards" other than the Strait of Hormuz.
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π8β‘6β€5π€5π―3π1
π΅π° Pakistan's Prime Minister says U.S. and Iranian leaders will begin talks tomorrow in Islamabad.
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β€7π€1
π¨ Cloudflare lost over $9 billion in market cap after Anthropic announced its new AI cybersecurity model.
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π΅π° Pakistan says US and Iran expected to hold direct face-to-face talks soon as both delegations arrive in Islamabad.
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β€9
TRUMP:
"We have more oil than the next two largest oil companies combined."
πͺ t.me/FinancialWorldUpdates
"We have more oil than the next two largest oil companies combined."
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π13β€9π€8π₯4π1
π¨π³ China to halt sulfuric acid exports starting in May.
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πΊπΈ US has discussed unfreezing Iranβs overseas assets, including $6 billion held in Qatar, with Pakistani mediators, per FT.
The $6 billion in Iranian funds now held by Qatar have been frozen since 2018.
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π10π3β€1
πΈπ¦ Saudi Arabia fully restores East-West oil pipeline, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz and pumping 7,000,000 barrels per day.
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πΊπΈ Trump announces the U.S. will blockade all ships in the Strait of Hormuz, as Polymarket odds of oil hitting $110 in April stand at 52%.
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πΊπΈ Trump says stock market has not declined significantly since the war.
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π¨π¨ Google search interest for "price of oil" spiked to its highest level on record in data going back to 2004.
This exceeds the 2022 Russia-Ukraine war and 2008 Financial Crisis peaks by +300%.
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π₯3
Forwarded from POLITICS | FINANCE | WAR | GEOPOLITICS | NEWS
π¨ "Effective immediately, the United States Navy, the Finest in the World, will begin the process of BLOCKADING any and all Ships trying to enter, or leave, the Strait of Hormuz." - President Donald J. Trump
@PoliticFinance
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