๐ฆ๐ช๐ฎ๐ท UAE's largest non-oil company Emirates Global Aluminium says smelter site damaged in Iranian attack.
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๐บ๐ฆ Ukraine risks 'running out of money to pay for its defense against Russia within two months' due to threats to assistance from its key donors.
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๐จ Several AI models have begun misbehaving, disobeying direct commands from humans, and bypassing safeguards.
According to the U.K AI Security Institute, AI misbehavior has increased by 500% from October 2025 to March 2026.
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UAE seizes $530 billion in Iranian assets, revokes all residency permits including Golden visas despite promises of '99-year residency'.
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Turkey sold 58 tons of gold in just two weeks, more than all gold ETFs combined over the same period.
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๐น๐ผ Taiwan central bank head warns that gold prices are too high.
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โฝ๏ธ Odds of crude oil hitting $130 per barrel surge to 57%
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The week is centered around US labor and consumer data. At the same time, the main driver remains the Iran conflict, now in its fourth week.
Oil prices are already pushing higher and feeding into inflation and sentiment, which puts the Fed in a difficult position between rising prices and slowing growth
โ Chair Powell Speaks
Markets will watch for any shift in tone. With oil rising and uncertainty elevated, Powellโs comments on inflation and policy path can move rates and the dollar.
โ March Consumer Confidence
โ February JOLTS Job Openings
Confidence reflects how consumers react to higher energy prices. JOLTS shows labor demand. Together they give a read on whether the economy is holding up or starting to slow.
โ March ADP Nonfarm Employment
โ March Retail Sales
ADP gives an early signal ahead of the official jobs report. Retail sales show real consumer spending, which is key as higher fuel costs start to pressure demand.
โ Initial Jobless Claims
A fresh read on the labor market. Rising claims point to cooling conditions, while stable data supports continued strength in employment.
โ March Jobs Report
The main macro release of the week. This will confirm whether the labor market is weakening or still holding. It directly impacts Fed expectations and market direction.
Main focus
Fridayโs jobs report and Iran headlines, with oil driving the macro backdrop.
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Zelensky offers Russia energy ceasefire to help ease Iran war oil crisis
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The conflict between the U.S./Israel and Iran, which escalated following military strikes on February 28, 2026, has caused significant volatility in global energy and food markets.
The most immediate impact has been seen at the gas pump, while food prices (milk and eggs) are beginning to rise due to increased transportation and fertilizer costs.
Here's is a comparison of average consumer prices from late February (pre-escalation) to late March 2026.
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President Trump threatens to blow up and "completely obliterate" all of Iran's electric plants, oil wells and Kharg Island if the Strait of Hormuz is not immediately opened.
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Two Chinese-owned cargo ships transit Strait of Hormuz, first major container vessels since the conflict began.
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Trump says the US is in โserious discussions with a new and more reasonable regime to end our military operations in Iran.โ
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Market Overview
SPX: $6368
NASDAQ: $20948
DXY: $100
Gold: $4600
Silver: $71
Bitcoin: $67866
๐ช t.me/FinancialWorldUpdates
SPX: $6368
NASDAQ: $20948
DXY: $100
Gold: $4600
Silver: $71
Bitcoin: $67866
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US war against Iran exceeds $35 billion in just 30 days โ Iran War Cost Tracker Thatโs more than NASA's entire annual budget.
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Powell Remarks
-Overall the research tends to find that buying long-term assets lowers rates and supports the economy, I'd be in the camp that there is something to that
-There are risks to both sides of mandate
-Expected risks to large balance sheet have not materialized
-No sign past Fed bond buying was inflationary
-We are committed to getting inflation back to 2% on sustained basis
-We don't know what economic effects of current situation will be
-Fed mindful of missing inflation target for some time
-Inflation expectations appear anchored
-Not facing yet the question of what to do
๏ปฟ
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Bank of Israel Governor warns prolonged fighting with Iran will cause severe economic damage.
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Secretary of War Pete Hegseth's broker attempted large defense stock investments weeks before US attacked Iran, FT reports.
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