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๐บ๐ธ๐ท๐บ Treasury Secretary Bessent says the US may lift sanctions on Russian oil.
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๐ฏ๐ต TARIFFS: Japan asked the United States not to disadvantage Tokyo under new tariff rules that could raise duties on Japanese goods to 15%.
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๐บ๐ธ Average US gas prices rise to $3.45 for the first time since September 2024.
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๐บ๐ธ US oil prices fall -$15/barrel in under 2 hours, now trading below $104/barrel, on reports that G7 countries are considering releasing 400 million barrels of crude oil reserves.
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If the Strait of Hormuz disruption persists, oil prices could surge toward an inflation-adjusted record near $215 per barrel.
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๐ฐ๐ท Bank of Korea to buy up to 3T Won of government bonds.
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Elon Musk:
"China is rapidly reducing dependence on oil."
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The sharp surge in oil prices following the U.S.โIran conflict is increasing fears of stagflation in the U.S. economy.
Oil has jumped from around $70 to nearly $120 in just a few days โ roughly a $50 increase since the last inflation report.
Historically, every $10 rise in oil adds about +0.2% to U.S. inflation and reduces GDP growth by ~0.1%.
With the current CPI at 2.4% and GDP growth at 1.4%, the oil shock could push inflation toward ~3.5%, while economic growth may slow to around 0.8% โ a classic stagflation scenario where prices rise while the economy weakens.
This puts the Federal Reserve in a difficult position:
โข Raise rates โ risk slowing the economy further
โข Cut rates โ risk fueling inflation
For now, markets are hoping for a quick de-escalation of the conflict and a drop in oil prices.
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๐ฎ๐ท Iran warns oil could hit $200 a barrel if neighbors fail to restrain Trump.
โIf you can tolerate oil at more than $200 per barrel, continue this game,โ said a Revolutionary Guards spokesman.
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