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French ship successfully crosses the Strait of Hormuz.


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When it hurts, remember there are people who put $1B on oil going down.


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👇👇👇⚠️

🇺🇸 US unemployment rate falls to 4.3%, lower than expectations.


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Federal Reserve rate hold probability jumps to 95.5% after Non-Farm Payrolls Report.


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Polymarket whale doubles down on Iran bet

A trader who already made over $800K on Iran-related markets is back.

This time, he placed more than $500K on US troops entering Iran before April 30, with a potential payout above $800K.


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Good Morning



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🔍🔍🔍🔍🔍

Japan's 10Y bond yield has reached its highest level this century.

Rising bond yield means the market is expecting a rise in inflation, primarily due to the energy crisis.

But why should you care?
If bond yields keep going up due to inflation fear, BOJ could turn hawkish and do rate hikes.

A rate hike means Yen could strengthen, which will unwind the Yen carry trade and crash the markets, similar to August 2024.


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Iran has approved the passage of commercial ships carrying essential goods and humanitarian supplies through the Strait of Hormuz.

The authorization covers vessels heading to Iranian ports or currently in the waters of the Gulf of Oman, provided they comply with established protocols. Businesses are now permitted to resume these shipments.


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