📊 USDJPY Analysis
USDJPY remains in a strong bullish trend, supported by both the latest COT Report and institutional positioning.
However, price is now trading in a premium zone, seasonality is turning negative, and we may be approaching a distribution phase before a larger correction.
In my latest TradingView analysis I break down:
✅ Daily Price Action
✅ COT Report (USD & JPY)
✅ Retail Sentiment
✅ Seasonality
✅ My trading plan for the coming sessions
👉 Read the full analysis on TradingView and let me know whether you're bullish or expecting a reversal.
USDJPY remains in a strong bullish trend, supported by both the latest COT Report and institutional positioning.
However, price is now trading in a premium zone, seasonality is turning negative, and we may be approaching a distribution phase before a larger correction.
In my latest TradingView analysis I break down:
✅ Daily Price Action
✅ COT Report (USD & JPY)
✅ Retail Sentiment
✅ Seasonality
✅ My trading plan for the coming sessions
👉 Read the full analysis on TradingView and let me know whether you're bullish or expecting a reversal.
📊 AUDJPY Analysis
AUDJPY has reached a major Daily resistance, but the overall picture remains bullish.
✅ Higher timeframe uptrend
✅ Bullish seasonality
✅ 83% of retail traders are still short
✅ COT positioning continues supporting AUD accumulation
I'm not interested in buying directly into resistance.
Instead, I'm watching for a pullback into demand before looking for confirmation and continuation towards 115.00+.
👉 Read the full multi-factor analysis on TradingView
AUDJPY has reached a major Daily resistance, but the overall picture remains bullish.
✅ Higher timeframe uptrend
✅ Bullish seasonality
✅ 83% of retail traders are still short
✅ COT positioning continues supporting AUD accumulation
I'm not interested in buying directly into resistance.
Instead, I'm watching for a pullback into demand before looking for confirmation and continuation towards 115.00+.
👉 Read the full multi-factor analysis on TradingView
NY PM Session Recap | Nasdaq 🟢 +0.45%
Yesterday's New York session ended positive, but it also highlighted an important lesson in trade management.
🔹 Trade #1: -0.30%
My mistake. I chased the entry and got in too late. By the time I entered, the original setup should already have been at breakeven, so the risk/reward was no longer in my favour.
🔹 Trade #2: +0.75%
Execution was much cleaner.
Entry came on the M1 Breaker retest after:
H1 liquidity sweep below the daily swing low
Fill into the H1 FVG
M1 acceptance and Breaker confirmation
I decided to take profits at the first Trendline Liquidity (TP1) because, in just a few minutes, the trade had already recovered the first loss and put the day back into profit.
📊 Daily Result: +0.45%
Looking back, the optimal management would have been:
✅ TP1 → Partial close
✅ TP2 → Second partial
✅ TP3 → Final exit
The setup actually reached all three targets.
Yesterday's New York session ended positive, but it also highlighted an important lesson in trade management.
🔹 Trade #1: -0.30%
My mistake. I chased the entry and got in too late. By the time I entered, the original setup should already have been at breakeven, so the risk/reward was no longer in my favour.
🔹 Trade #2: +0.75%
Execution was much cleaner.
Entry came on the M1 Breaker retest after:
H1 liquidity sweep below the daily swing low
Fill into the H1 FVG
M1 acceptance and Breaker confirmation
I decided to take profits at the first Trendline Liquidity (TP1) because, in just a few minutes, the trade had already recovered the first loss and put the day back into profit.
📊 Daily Result: +0.45%
Looking back, the optimal management would have been:
✅ TP1 → Partial close
✅ TP2 → Second partial
✅ TP3 → Final exit
The setup actually reached all three targets.
📊 FX Watchlist – 29/07/2026
🔴 EURAUD – Short
🟢 GBPJPY – Long
🟢 AUDJPY – Long
🟢 NZDUSD – Long
🟢 USDCAD – Long
⚠️ Macro focus today:
• FOMC & Warsh press conference – expect elevated volatility across all USD pairs.
🔴 EURAUD – Short
🟢 GBPJPY – Long
🟢 AUDJPY – Long
🟢 NZDUSD – Long
🟢 USDCAD – Long
⚠️ Macro focus today:
• FOMC & Warsh press conference – expect elevated volatility across all USD pairs.
📈 NQ PM Session (Pre-FOMC) – Long Execution
Today's trade was executed during the NY PM session, ahead of the FOMC announcement.
Market Context:
Higher timeframe bias remained bearish on H1.
Price first swept the H1 Swing Low liquidity, taking out sell-side liquidity below the lows.
Following the liquidity grab, I looked for a short-term long, while keeping the overall bearish bias unchanged.
Execution:
✅ Long entry on the M1 Breaker retest after confirmation.
✅ 2 NQ Mini contracts
✅ Stop Loss: 53 points
✅ Take Profit: 77 points
✅ Total risk: 0.40%
✅ Target: +0.55%
The take-profit was placed at the 50% level of the H1 Fair Value Gap, just before the first significant resistance area.
The entire trade lasted around 10 minutes, allowing me to secure profits well before the increased volatility expected around the FOMC release.
Today's trade was executed during the NY PM session, ahead of the FOMC announcement.
Market Context:
Higher timeframe bias remained bearish on H1.
Price first swept the H1 Swing Low liquidity, taking out sell-side liquidity below the lows.
Following the liquidity grab, I looked for a short-term long, while keeping the overall bearish bias unchanged.
Execution:
✅ Long entry on the M1 Breaker retest after confirmation.
✅ 2 NQ Mini contracts
✅ Stop Loss: 53 points
✅ Take Profit: 77 points
✅ Total risk: 0.40%
✅ Target: +0.55%
The take-profit was placed at the 50% level of the H1 Fair Value Gap, just before the first significant resistance area.
The entire trade lasted around 10 minutes, allowing me to secure profits well before the increased volatility expected around the FOMC release.
📈 GBPJPY – NY Session Long Position
This position was opened during the New York session after a high-conviction bullish setup aligned across multiple timeframes.
Market Context:
Price reached a Daily Demand zone.H1 printed a bullish Break of Structure (BOS), confirming the shift in momentum.The combination of higher timeframe demand and H1 confirmation provided the framework for the long entry.
Execution:
✅ Long entry during the NY open.
✅ Initial Risk-to-Reward: 1:2.5.
The position reacted exactly as anticipated, delivering a strong impulsive move both before and after the FOMC announcement.
Thanks to the strength of the move, I was able to move my stop loss to Break Even, turning the position into a risk-free trade while leaving the full upside potential open.
This position was opened during the New York session after a high-conviction bullish setup aligned across multiple timeframes.
Market Context:
Price reached a Daily Demand zone.H1 printed a bullish Break of Structure (BOS), confirming the shift in momentum.The combination of higher timeframe demand and H1 confirmation provided the framework for the long entry.
Execution:
✅ Long entry during the NY open.
✅ Initial Risk-to-Reward: 1:2.5.
The position reacted exactly as anticipated, delivering a strong impulsive move both before and after the FOMC announcement.
Thanks to the strength of the move, I was able to move my stop loss to Break Even, turning the position into a risk-free trade while leaving the full upside potential open.
📊 Today's Watchlist
🔴 EURAUD – Short
🔴 EURJPY – Short
🟢 AUDJPY – Long
🟢 AUDUSD – Long
🟢 NZDUSD – Long
Waiting for clean confirmations before taking any positions.
🔴 EURAUD – Short
🔴 EURJPY – Short
🟢 AUDJPY – Long
🟢 AUDUSD – Long
🟢 NZDUSD – Long
Waiting for clean confirmations before taking any positions.
📊 Daily Recap
Futures (NQ)
Today I didn't execute any trades. During the NY session I was waiting for a liquidity sweep to look for a short opportunity, but the move came too close to the market close, so I decided to stay flat.
Forex (GBPJPY)
My GBPJPY position was closed at break-even. After a strong bullish push, volatility on the JPY picked up ahead of tomorrow's BoJ meeting and price came back to my entry after I had already moved my stop to BE.
Days like this remind me why risk management is everything. Without protecting the position, today's trade would have turned into a full loss. Preserving capital is just as important as making profits.
Futures (NQ)
Today I didn't execute any trades. During the NY session I was waiting for a liquidity sweep to look for a short opportunity, but the move came too close to the market close, so I decided to stay flat.
Forex (GBPJPY)
My GBPJPY position was closed at break-even. After a strong bullish push, volatility on the JPY picked up ahead of tomorrow's BoJ meeting and price came back to my entry after I had already moved my stop to BE.
Days like this remind me why risk management is everything. Without protecting the position, today's trade would have turned into a full loss. Preserving capital is just as important as making profits.
GBPJPY – Weekly Outlook 📊
The BoJ created plenty of volatility, but my overall view hasn't changed.
✅ 74% of retail traders are short (contrarian signal)
✅ COT still supports relative GBP strength over JPY
✅ Weekly market structure remains bullish
I'm closely watching the 214.30–215.80 demand zone. If price gives me confirmation according to my trading model, I'll be looking for fresh long opportunities.
🎯 Main target: a move back toward the highs, with potential continuation into the 219.50–220.00 area.
The BoJ created plenty of volatility, but my overall view hasn't changed.
✅ 74% of retail traders are short (contrarian signal)
✅ COT still supports relative GBP strength over JPY
✅ Weekly market structure remains bullish
I'm closely watching the 214.30–215.80 demand zone. If price gives me confirmation according to my trading model, I'll be looking for fresh long opportunities.
🎯 Main target: a move back toward the highs, with potential continuation into the 219.50–220.00 area.
📊 Weekly & Monthly Recap | FundedNext
July closed with a +1.7% return.
This week I only executed one trade on GBP/JPY, which was closed at breakeven.
Overall, I'm happy with the month's performance. After experiencing a -3.6% drawdown during June and July, I managed to recover the entire loss, bringing the account back to almost breakeven.
Now it's time to focus on August. The goal remains simple: protect capital, stay disciplined, and continue building consistent returns. The next milestone is +5%, which will allow me to complete the challenge and earn a Funded account.
July closed with a +1.7% return.
This week I only executed one trade on GBP/JPY, which was closed at breakeven.
Overall, I'm happy with the month's performance. After experiencing a -3.6% drawdown during June and July, I managed to recover the entire loss, bringing the account back to almost breakeven.
Now it's time to focus on August. The goal remains simple: protect capital, stay disciplined, and continue building consistent returns. The next milestone is +5%, which will allow me to complete the challenge and earn a Funded account.
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