#Bitcoin 15 day implied volatility is rocketing past 60 day IV. 🚀
This hasn’t happened since Q1 2023 & is fueled by the anticipation of the ETF. First deadline is on Jan 10.
With the front month IV above the back month (known as backwardation), this could be a good time to sell vol.
Looking at the BTC price charts, we see that 47,000 acted as both support and resistance from Apr ‘21 - Apr ‘22, so this could be a good strike to sell a short duration credit call spread. 🤌
🔴 2024-01-04, CALL, 46,947
🟢 2024-01-04, CALL, 47,607
#NFA #OptionsTrading
This hasn’t happened since Q1 2023 & is fueled by the anticipation of the ETF. First deadline is on Jan 10.
With the front month IV above the back month (known as backwardation), this could be a good time to sell vol.
Looking at the BTC price charts, we see that 47,000 acted as both support and resistance from Apr ‘21 - Apr ‘22, so this could be a good strike to sell a short duration credit call spread. 🤌
🔴 2024-01-04, CALL, 46,947
🟢 2024-01-04, CALL, 47,607
#NFA #OptionsTrading
#Bitcoin at-the-money Implied Volatility is approaching 70 for options that expire in less than one day. 🚀
An iron butterfly spread is a vol selling strategy that consists of selling an ATM call & put, and buying a call & put further out of the money.
🟢 2024-01-05, PUT, 43,523
🔴 2024-01-05, PUT, 44,136
🔴 2024-01-05, CALL, 44,136
🟢 2024-01-05, CALL, 44,758
With this trade, the upside is 3 to 1, and a max gain is achieved if BTC can stay at 44,136 by 8am UTC on expiration. Breakevens are at 43,720 and 44,550.
The big move in BTC will happen when the ETF news is announced. 📉📈 If you think that the news won’t be announced by 8am UTC on 01/05/24, which likely means realized volatility would come in lower than market expectations, then this could be an asymmetric trade worth taking. 🤌
#OptionsTrading #DeFi #NFA
An iron butterfly spread is a vol selling strategy that consists of selling an ATM call & put, and buying a call & put further out of the money.
🟢 2024-01-05, PUT, 43,523
🔴 2024-01-05, PUT, 44,136
🔴 2024-01-05, CALL, 44,136
🟢 2024-01-05, CALL, 44,758
With this trade, the upside is 3 to 1, and a max gain is achieved if BTC can stay at 44,136 by 8am UTC on expiration. Breakevens are at 43,720 and 44,550.
The big move in BTC will happen when the ETF news is announced. 📉📈 If you think that the news won’t be announced by 8am UTC on 01/05/24, which likely means realized volatility would come in lower than market expectations, then this could be an asymmetric trade worth taking. 🤌
#OptionsTrading #DeFi #NFA
Will the #Bitcoin ETF news hit over the weekend? 🧐
If you don’t think it will, & with 7 day at-the-money IV breaking above 60 day ATM IV for the first time since October, now may be a good time to sell vol using a short expiration.
🟢 2024-01-07, PUT, 42,966
🔴 2024-01-07, PUT, 43,710
🔴 2024-01-07, CALL, 43,710
🟢 2024-01-07, CALL, 44,466
The payoff is over 2 to 1, & the premium you’ll collect on this short straddle with clipped wings will be juicy. 🥩
#DeFi #OptionsTrading #NFA
If you don’t think it will, & with 7 day at-the-money IV breaking above 60 day ATM IV for the first time since October, now may be a good time to sell vol using a short expiration.
🟢 2024-01-07, PUT, 42,966
🔴 2024-01-07, PUT, 43,710
🔴 2024-01-07, CALL, 43,710
🟢 2024-01-07, CALL, 44,466
The payoff is over 2 to 1, & the premium you’ll collect on this short straddle with clipped wings will be juicy. 🥩
#DeFi #OptionsTrading #NFA
The market’s future expectation of volatility is now lower post ETF, and #Bitcoin at-the-money IV’s have been crushed.
Buying vol has become a lot cheaper. 🤑
Looking at the price chart, we see the BTC has bounced off the bottom of the sideways channel it’s (mostly) been in since early December. 📉📈
If you think the bounce will hold over the next 2 days, you could buy an ATM short duration call spread that gives you a risk/reward profile of 2:1.
🟢 2024-01-21, CALL, 41,578
🔴 2024-01-21, CALL, 42,953
#NFA #OptionsTrading
Buying vol has become a lot cheaper. 🤑
Looking at the price chart, we see the BTC has bounced off the bottom of the sideways channel it’s (mostly) been in since early December. 📉📈
If you think the bounce will hold over the next 2 days, you could buy an ATM short duration call spread that gives you a risk/reward profile of 2:1.
🟢 2024-01-21, CALL, 41,578
🔴 2024-01-21, CALL, 42,953
#NFA #OptionsTrading
#Bitcoin continues to chop sideways.📉📈
DeVol Analytics shows that implied volatility is higher than realized vol by 33 points. 🤯
Volatility is known to cluster, so selling vol could be a good short term strategy.
The daily chart shows resistance at 53,000 and support at 50,800. 🛡️
Based on this info, the team executes a multi-leg options strategy known as a butterfly spread on Crypto Options Action. The trade profits if BTC stays between 50,432 & 52,830 by expiration on 02/24. Max profit is at 51,631. ⏱️
#DeFi, #OptionsTrading, #NFA
DeVol Analytics shows that implied volatility is higher than realized vol by 33 points. 🤯
Volatility is known to cluster, so selling vol could be a good short term strategy.
The daily chart shows resistance at 53,000 and support at 50,800. 🛡️
Based on this info, the team executes a multi-leg options strategy known as a butterfly spread on Crypto Options Action. The trade profits if BTC stays between 50,432 & 52,830 by expiration on 02/24. Max profit is at 51,631. ⏱️
#DeFi, #OptionsTrading, #NFA
YouTube
Bitcoin trades rangebound while TradFi rips higher! Will BTC break to the upside or downside?
The team decides to take advantage of the sideways price action by executing a delta neutral option strategy on DeVol. The trade, known as a butterfly spread, will be profitable if Bitcoin stays within a price range by expiration in less than two days.
…
…
#Bitcoin surges higher! 📈
Check out this week’s episode of Crypto Options Action where we
review last week’s successful short butterfly strategy, then dive into the charts & vol surface to plan a new options trade on DeVol.
With resistance at around 65K, & buying pressure high due to the spot ETF, the team decides to execute a 60,404 / 64,405 call spread that expires on 03/01. ⏱️
Max profit is above 64,406
Breakeven is at 61,389
Max loss is below 60,405.
#DeFi, #OptionsTrading, #NFA
Check out this week’s episode of Crypto Options Action where we
review last week’s successful short butterfly strategy, then dive into the charts & vol surface to plan a new options trade on DeVol.
With resistance at around 65K, & buying pressure high due to the spot ETF, the team decides to execute a 60,404 / 64,405 call spread that expires on 03/01. ⏱️
Max profit is above 64,406
Breakeven is at 61,389
Max loss is below 60,405.
#DeFi, #OptionsTrading, #NFA
YouTube
Bitcoin surges higher! How long before it breaks out to new all time highs?
The team reviews last week's successful short butterfly strategy, studies the Bitcoin charts & vol surface, and executes a new multi-leg option trade on the DeVol platform.
None of the content in this video should be considered financial advice. As always…
None of the content in this video should be considered financial advice. As always…
#Bitcoin is knocking on new all time highs! 📈
On the new episode of Crypto Options Action, Jordan & JC study the price charts and vol surface in order to profit from the volatility.
The team thinks a breakout to new highs is less likely to happen over the weekend due to the lack of buying pressure from the spot ETF over the weekend, and the fact that in previous cycles BTC has taken a minimum of a few weeks to make new highs.
The 2 day implied vol on the DeVol platform is currently lower than on other platforms, which means buying options is cheaper than it should be.
Given this info, and the fact that BTC could still break out with conviction at any moment, they decide to execute a long butterfly spread that expires on 03/10.
🔴 2024-03-10, PUT, 66,425
🟢 2024-03-10, PUT, 68,792
🟢 2024-03-10, CALL, 68,792
🔴 2024-03-10, CALL, 70,931
Max profit is below 66,426 & above 70,931
Breakeven is 67,410 & 70,175
Max loss is 68,792
#DeFi, #OptionsTrading, #NFA
On the new episode of Crypto Options Action, Jordan & JC study the price charts and vol surface in order to profit from the volatility.
The team thinks a breakout to new highs is less likely to happen over the weekend due to the lack of buying pressure from the spot ETF over the weekend, and the fact that in previous cycles BTC has taken a minimum of a few weeks to make new highs.
The 2 day implied vol on the DeVol platform is currently lower than on other platforms, which means buying options is cheaper than it should be.
Given this info, and the fact that BTC could still break out with conviction at any moment, they decide to execute a long butterfly spread that expires on 03/10.
🔴 2024-03-10, PUT, 66,425
🟢 2024-03-10, PUT, 68,792
🟢 2024-03-10, CALL, 68,792
🔴 2024-03-10, CALL, 70,931
Max profit is below 66,426 & above 70,931
Breakeven is 67,410 & 70,175
Max loss is 68,792
#DeFi, #OptionsTrading, #NFA
YouTube
Bitcoin is knocking on new all time highs! When will it breakout?
The team studies the BTC price charts and vol surface in order to execute a short duration, multi-leg option trade that seeks to take advantage of the volatility.
None of the content in this video should be considered financial advice. As always, do your…
None of the content in this video should be considered financial advice. As always, do your…
Both #Bitcoin and #Solana are trading near the top of their respective ranges.
On the new episode of Crypto Options Action, we explore reasons behind Solana and Bitcoin’s price surge this year. We also look at the charts for clues as to where these assets are heading next.
And we explore a new tool on the DeVol platform that lets users quickly express a specific market opinion via multi-leg options.
#DeFi, #OptionsTrading, #NFA
On the new episode of Crypto Options Action, we explore reasons behind Solana and Bitcoin’s price surge this year. We also look at the charts for clues as to where these assets are heading next.
And we explore a new tool on the DeVol platform that lets users quickly express a specific market opinion via multi-leg options.
#DeFi, #OptionsTrading, #NFA
YouTube
Solana & Bitcoin trade sideways. Is a new breakout coming?
The team looks at the price of SOL and the memecoin frenzy that's likely to push it higher. They also explore a new tool on the DeVol platform that helps users quickly express a specific market opinion via multi-leg options.
None of the content in this video…
None of the content in this video…
#Bitcoin stays range bound! 📉📈
On the new episode of Crypto Options Action, Jordan & J.C. study the price charts & vol surface in order to build a new options trade.
The BTC 2-day at-the-money IV is 42, which is very low. This means the cost for buying puts & calls is cheap.
Based on this information, the team decides to execute a short butterfly spread on DeVol that expires 04/07. If the price of BTC moves up or down by a little over $1,000 by expiration in less than 2 days, the trade will be profitable.
🔴 2024-04-07, PUT, 65,770
🟢 2024-04-07, PUT, 67,459
🟢 2024-04-07, CALL, 67,459
🔴 2024-04-07, CALL, 69,192
Max profit is below 65,771 & above 69,192
Breakeven is 66,385 & 68,535
Max loss is 67,460
#DeFi, #OptionsTrading, #NFA
On the new episode of Crypto Options Action, Jordan & J.C. study the price charts & vol surface in order to build a new options trade.
The BTC 2-day at-the-money IV is 42, which is very low. This means the cost for buying puts & calls is cheap.
Based on this information, the team decides to execute a short butterfly spread on DeVol that expires 04/07. If the price of BTC moves up or down by a little over $1,000 by expiration in less than 2 days, the trade will be profitable.
🔴 2024-04-07, PUT, 65,770
🟢 2024-04-07, PUT, 67,459
🟢 2024-04-07, CALL, 67,459
🔴 2024-04-07, CALL, 69,192
Max profit is below 65,771 & above 69,192
Breakeven is 66,385 & 68,535
Max loss is 67,460
#DeFi, #OptionsTrading, #NFA
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The geopolitical events over the last few days have caused #Bitcoin historical volatility to spike in the near term. 1 day implied vol has also moved higher. 📈
This could be a good opportunity to sell vol, & collect a juicy premium, with a Short Iron Butterfly spread on DeVol.
If BTC stays between 61,975 and 65,321 by expiration in less than one day, the trade will be profitable.
🟢 2024-04-16, PUT, 60,929
🔴 2024-04-16, PUT, 63,648
🔴 2024-04-16, CALL, 63,648
🟢 2024-04-16, CALL, 66,487
Max profit is at 63,648
Breakeven is 61,975 & 65,321
Max loss is below 60,930 & above 66,488
#DeFi, #OptionsTrading, #NFA
This could be a good opportunity to sell vol, & collect a juicy premium, with a Short Iron Butterfly spread on DeVol.
If BTC stays between 61,975 and 65,321 by expiration in less than one day, the trade will be profitable.
🟢 2024-04-16, PUT, 60,929
🔴 2024-04-16, PUT, 63,648
🔴 2024-04-16, CALL, 63,648
🟢 2024-04-16, CALL, 66,487
Max profit is at 63,648
Breakeven is 61,975 & 65,321
Max loss is below 60,930 & above 66,488
#DeFi, #OptionsTrading, #NFA