Join Danny Haiphong LIVE today March 4th 11am eastern 5pm CET w/ Mohammad Marandi & Pepe Escobar!

Iran’s strikes are getting more significant with reports of a direct hit on a THADD battery and a CIA base station in Saudi Arabia exposes depleted U.S. air defenses. Mohammad Marandi and Pepe Escobar join the show to discuss the latest updates in this war, who has the upper hand, and what impact is it having on the geopolitical landscape.

Watch the show here via this link!

You need to be Bukmaxxing, you need to be putting Pantsirs on towers, you need S-300s in ambush positions, you need powerful radars and electronic warfare systems so powerful it makes your eyeballs feel warm.

The performance of aerial defences in Russia and Ukraine (the two best AD networks on the planet) has given some people a false impression of air power. Just because the densest network of the most powerful AD systems in the world makes flying in contested space deadly doesn't mean this applies to everywhere else. US air power is still tremendous.

The Iranians do not have the luxury of such an AD network, partly because of their insistence to rely almost exclusively on domestic AD systems, and as such SEAD operations are dramatically easier. There is a real chance of Iranian air defences being degraded to such a degree that stand-off munition shortages stop playing a role because cheap and plentiful JDAMs will take over.

Though it does seem like the US-Israeli team is experiencing some significant intelligence/target acquisition trouble, at least judging by the footage they are putting out and the fact that expensive stand-off munitions are being used on terror-bombing civilians in Tehran instead of military targets.

The Iranians have definitely exceeded my expectations, but don't expect miracles. War is always a gamble and the current gamble is a multi-factor game of Iranian TELs, Iranian missile and drone stocks, Iranian AD capabilities vs US/Israeli interceptor stocks and SEAD success, and some other things.

Also, I suspect the bottleneck for the Iranians is neither the number of missiles nor how many TELs they have, but instead the logistics of actually getting the missiles to the launchers. The last-mile problem might be the crucial element here.

Drones are the dark horse. They can be launched from almost anywhere and the Iranians are clearly holding back, having used a relatively small number of Shaheds so far.

US capeshit and resistard triumphalism are both very early and very misplaced, this game can go a number of different ways and without precise numbers and with the severe lack of footage (and much of it being absolute shit footage of bombing decoys, and, I suspect, degraded in quality on purpose to make up for triple-tapping already destroyed stuff and "blowing up" murals on the ground) it's hard to make predictions.

Russians with Attitude

Meanwhile-

At the Emergency meeting of the "Coalition of the Retarded"

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