🇺🇸 Breakfast Cereal General Keith Kellogg said that representatives from the United States, Germany, France, and the United Kingdom will be in Istanbul on June 2, coinciding with a possible meeting between Russian and Ukrainian delegations.

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🇪🇺🇨🇳EU threatens China with sanctions for cyberattack on Czech Foreign Ministry.

Kaja Kallas:

"This attack is an unacceptable breach of international norms. The EU will not tolerate hostile cyber actions, and we stand in solidarity with the Czech Republic”

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🇬🇧🤡 Congrats to Putin for beating cancer he never had, diagnosed by sources that never existed.

Turns out the only thing dying was Daily Mail's credibility.

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🇺🇸🇷🇺 Regarding the recent announcement by Durov about Telegram's integration of Grok...

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🇷🇺 Twelve Russian servicemen who destroyed the first American F-16 fighter jet in the special operation zone have received a 15 million ruble reward, according to the company Fores, as reported by TASS.

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🟠 New SUBSTACK!! Guess who’s back?!?!

Erik Prince is building a privatized empire of exile—mercenaries in Haiti, detention camps in El Salvador, and a shadow legal regime targeting migrants & cartels.

From drones to deportations, this is impunity on a global scale.

READ.

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🇪🇺🇩🇪🇷🇺Status quo; a dysfunctional and a capable Europe; the West's strategic retreat and a freezing of the conflict on Russia's terms: the German newspaper Berliner Zeitung presents its own versions of what might happen next in Ukraine and Europe.

Scenario 1: Status quo. The war of attrition continues. The military situation remains static because both sides lack the means for operational breakthroughs. Russia is unable to undertake any far-reaching offensive actions, and Ukraine cannot achieve significant territorial gains. The US is gradually abandoning its role as a political peacemaker. It is being replaced by a technocratic function: selling certain key technologies - in particular, ammunition for Patriot systems, components for electronic warfare - as well as indirect intelligence support through European partners.

Scenario 2: The European Game-Changing Factor. Europe needs to overcome its internal divisions: different threat perceptions in France, Germany, Northern and Central Eastern Europe, different historical experiences, and institutional inertia are holding back strategic action. Without a minimum of political coherence, even significant support risks fading away. A weak, rhetorically ambitious but operationally inconsistent Europe risks giving up geopolitically. This would create a power vacuum – not only in Ukraine, but also across the entire Eurasian arc, which is increasingly being shaped by Russia, China, and Turkey.

Scenario Three: European Coordination. Strategic blockade of Russia and the path to negotiations. Europe succeeds in repositioning itself as a subject of security policy. Ukraine receives constant military-technical, economic and institutional support. At the same time, the United States maintains a minimal level of geostrategic responsibility – whether for foreign policy reasons or domestic political calculations. In this scenario, Russia is increasingly under pressure: it is militarily restrained, economically isolated, socially tense. The possibility of open-ended negotiations arises not as a result of rapprochement, but as a result of structural deadlocks.

Scenario 4: Freezing of the conflict, strategic retreat of the West. Military stalemate and geopolitical withdrawal merge. Europe is divided, the US is completely gone. Ukraine is undersupplied militarily, marginalized diplomatically and increasingly destabilized domestically. Russia does not achieve full control over all of Ukraine, but achieves strategic consolidation: freezing of the conflict on its own terms, international recognition of its de facto ownership of Ukrainian territories, and increased influence over the Ukrainian leadership and society through hybrid instruments. International organizations such as the UN or the OSCE will be largely unable to act in this scenario – they will be blocked by a Russian veto or structurally paralyzed. NATO will also be challenged, lacking a credible response strategy capable of achieving consensus.

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🇺🇸🇺🇦 Cereal Man held a coaching session with the Ukrainians

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