Here's a reminder of what a bearish trend looks like for experienced investors who accumulate crypto at low prices:

☕ Morning market review

Bloody Monday did not happen, we will see how the market behaves further.

🪙BTC $87,396
🪙ETH $2,900

Fear Index 15
Altseason index 21
Bitcoin dominance58.8%

Growth leader: KAS +24%
Leader of the fall:M -7%
⚰️Liquidations: $338 million

The market will surprise everyone; people in fear often do not see the big picture. This is normal, but you shouldn't let your emotions guide your decisions.

🤑$SUIfinally shows a confident rebound

RSI on the 3D and 1D timeframes has reached its lowest levels since 2023 - it has not been in such an oversold state for a long time.

🎯Target No. 1 - zone $1.9–$2.2.

Macro target$SUI now - 3$👀

Yes, all the goals were nicer and bigger not so long ago. But the market crash on October 10th took away the rosy prospects in many respects.

😳$HYPE and $SUI are two of the strongest projects of the current cycle, but neither of them reached the $20 billion market capitalization

For comparison: in the last cycle, even $UNI had 23 billion, and projects such as $SOL (74 billion), $DOT (53 billion), $BNB (109 billion) and $ADA (90 billion) rose much higher.

Very weak cycle...😕

👀I am looking at open interest from October 10

Open interest (OI) dropped by $29.7 billion per day, and there is no particularly active influx of new funds, despite the fact that we see a slight increase.

That’s why the picture turns out to be very ambiguous and that’s why I don’t want to rush into long trades. But there will be another weekend in the USA, which means there will be even less liquidity and there is a possibility of price manipulation in any direction.

🪙Yesterday Bitcoin added 3% and is trading around $86,900

Now the price is in the imbalance zone of $86,700–$88,200, from where it is logical to expect a reversal attempt.

Scenario without changes: I want to see an overlap of this range and after that a return to growth.

To continue the upward movement, BTC needs to recover and consolidate above $88,200–$88,400—the zone of local breakdown of the structure. Then the path to liquidity in the $90,000–$92,000 area will open.

🪙By ETH locally

Ethereum is hovering around $2,900 and has already closed the imbalance of $2,920–$2,960. Now the price is testing the lower border of the zone and is showing the first attempt at a reversal.

Ideally, see another slight decline to gain liquidity below local minimums in order to form a more confident upward movement.

To confirm the bullish scenario, ETH needs to consolidate above $2,950. This will open the way to liquidity at $3,040–$3,080, the next resistance zone.

🚀 In December, the USDC stablecoin and CCTP v2 protocol from Circle will be integrated into the Starknet ecosystem.

The integration will take place with the support of LayerZero using the Stargate bridge.

Briefly about what is happening in the crypto market:

☕ Morning market review

For now, there is every chance of getting a good rebound further.

🪙BTC $87,420
🪙ETH 2,945$

Fear Index 15
Altseason index 25
Bitcoin dominance58.69%

Growth leader: MON +38%
Leader of the decline:ZEC -2%
⚰️Liquidations: $302 million

To continue growth, it is important for us to gain a foothold above $94k. Then there is every chance of returning to the most important resistance level of $107k. In other situations we are still at risk of falling.

🐻Sellers are running out of steam

RSI dropped to 18.8 - this is deeply oversold, where a local bottom usually forms and the market is preparing for a reversal.

At the same time, Spot CVD rose to $216.6 million, which indicates a weakening of selling pressure: the market is no longer falling on market sales.

Now it is clear that sellers are almost exhausted, and buyers are starting to carefully take away liquidity. This increases the likelihood of a reversal movement.

🪙By cuetka locally

Bitcoin is trading around $86,800 and continues to consolidate, gradually descending to gain liquidity. Below is an order block in the $85,500–$84,600 zone, where the price is highly likely to go.

I expect a decline towards this block to remove liquidity under local minimums - such a retest often becomes the start of a new upward impulse.

To confirm the bullish scenario, it is important for BTC to return and consolidate above $88,000. Then the market will be able to open a movement towards the targets of $90,000–$92,000.

📊 Strategy is confident that its business model will remain stable even if Bitcoin comes under significant pressure.

If the Bitcoin price falls to $74,000, the asset to convertible debt ratio will remain at 5.9x, which is in line with their internal Bitcoin debt rating.

Even if the price were reduced to $25,000, this would still be 2.0x.

📊Bitfinex noted that seasonality in the current quarter did not live up to expectations: in November, which is usually considered strong for Bitcoin, the price fell by 23% with an average return of about 40%

The reason is said to be market overheating - purchases in the $106,000–118,000 zone were abnormally high, and now this group of investors is capitulating, recording losses. The market is faced with a choice: either new stable demand will appear, or a protracted accumulation phase will begin.

Derivatives funding rates are signaling capitulation by short-term players and increasing bearish sentiment. Taking into account lagging indicators, Bitcoin may repeat the liquidation scenario - but among sellers.

JPMorgan said the industry is shifting from a venture model to a full-fledged macro asset status: retail speculation is giving way to institutional liquidity.

🔽 Capitalization of the stablecoin USDe from Ethena decreased by 50% over the month - from $14.8 billion to $7.2 billion.

This drop occurred against the background of a decrease in yield to 5.1% per annum, while at the beginning of the year it was double-digit.

However, actual usage of the coin continues to increase, with on-chain transaction volumes totaling $50 billion in the past month.

USDe still ranks among the top 3 largest stablecoins.

👊Michael Saylor wrote one word in X - "Fight", hinting at the ongoing pressure on MicroStrategy

The company has been under attack for a week now from JPMorgan and other major players, who are actively discussing the possible exclusion of MSTR from global indices and the associated risks.

🔴 Amundi, Europe's largest investment company, sold 772,620 MSTR shares worth $135 million in the third quarter.
🔴 Despite this, CryptoQuant's CEO believes that MicroStrategy can regain investor attention as current metrics indicate oversold conditions and recovery potential.

🐻In this cycle, the market experienced four major corrections, and each subsequent one became deeper, while the growth after them was weaker. Buyers are noticeably exhausted.

The current drawdown is the most powerful and sharpest; Bitcoin has literally fallen down. In such conditions, it is logical to expect only the formation of a Lower High, and not a rapid recovery.

❗️BTC is already turning downwards - this can be seen from the market structure.
It's time to take a sober look at the situation and stop waiting for a new ATH right now.

🚀BTC +3%

In a few hours, the cue ball rose by 3% and is now trading around $89,900.

To continue growth, we need to consolidate above the level of $90,000; this will open the way to liquidity at $93,700 and then we can see an impulse to $97,500.

🪙Ether above $3,000

In three hours we grew by 4% and are now trading above $3,000

The first goal in the form of liquidity of $3,060 is already nearby, if we do not see any reaction and gain a foothold above, then we can safely expect ether at $3,270.

💰A 19-year-old fraudster, known under the nickname Ionita, scammed cryptocurrency and gifts on Telegram in the amount of 5.8 million rubles.

According to the Base, Elena Barinova found people interested in expensive digital gifts, won their trust and collected personal data, which she passed on to her accomplices.

They pressured victims through surveillance, threats and arson, forcing them to hand over gifts and sometimes cryptocurrency.

The girl was detained; she has been charged with extortion on an especially large scale, which could lead to a sentence of up to 15 years.

☕ Morning market review

The market has had an excellent rebound, we’ll see how it copes with the $94k level.

🪙BTC $91,512
🪙ETH 3,028$

Fear Index 18
Altseason index 23
Bitcoin dominance59.27%

Growth leader: KAS +20%
Leader of the fall:M -24%
⚰️Liquidations: $319 million

As long as there is no fixation above, this is all a dead cat bounce and there is still a chance to go lower, so don’t disdain stops, take profits and try to hedge.