๐Trump warned Iran about the consequences of closing the Strait of Hormuz
He said Tuesday will be a day for power plants and bridges in Iran if the strait is not opened.
โOpen this strait, otherwise you will face serious problems. Praise be to Allah,โ said the US President.
He said Tuesday will be a day for power plants and bridges in Iran if the strait is not opened.
โOpen this strait, otherwise you will face serious problems. Praise be to Allah,โ said the US President.
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๐จII BUBBLE IN S&P 500 REACHED 41%
The share of the ten largest AI companies in the S&P 500 is now 41%. This matches concentration levels before major crashes: 40% in the 1970s, 44% in the 1980s, and 41% in the 2000s.
๐ป This is a bearish overheating signal. With such concentration of one sector, the risk of correction greatly increases.
Historically, peaks have been followed by crashes.
๏ปฟ
The share of the ten largest AI companies in the S&P 500 is now 41%. This matches concentration levels before major crashes: 40% in the 1970s, 44% in the 1980s, and 41% in the 2000s.
๐ป This is a bearish overheating signal. With such concentration of one sector, the risk of correction greatly increases.
Historically, peaks have been followed by crashes.
๏ปฟ
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๐ Financial flows of spot ETFs over the past week.
โข Bitcoin ETF = +$22,340,000.
โข Ethereum ETF = -$42,150,000.
โข Ripple ETF = -$3,560,000.
โข Solana ETF = -$5,240,000.
โข Chainlink ETF, Litecoin ETF, Avalanche, Polkadot, Hedera ETF, Dogecoin ETF = $0 (or no data).
โข Bitcoin ETF = +$22,340,000.
โข Ethereum ETF = -$42,150,000.
โข Ripple ETF = -$3,560,000.
โข Solana ETF = -$5,240,000.
โข Chainlink ETF, Litecoin ETF, Avalanche, Polkadot, Hedera ETF, Dogecoin ETF = $0 (or no data).
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๐คญ Trump has officially gone crazy: his grandfather prophesies the โend of civilizationโ this very night.
In his latest speech, Donnie openly declares the extermination of a nation and โtotal regime changeโ in Iran, calling it โthe greatest moment in history.โ It seems that international law finally died back in 2022, and now only naked force rules the world. If this is not a bluff, the markets are in for a bloodbath and we are in for the longest night in history.
Tightening our belts, volatility will be prohibitive ๐
In his latest speech, Donnie openly declares the extermination of a nation and โtotal regime changeโ in Iran, calling it โthe greatest moment in history.โ It seems that international law finally died back in 2022, and now only naked force rules the world. If this is not a bluff, the markets are in for a bloodbath and we are in for the longest night in history.
Tightening our belts, volatility will be prohibitive ๐
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๐ Currently there are more longs than shorts in the market.
โข If the price of BTC falls sharply to approximately $62,800, the volume of liquidations of LONG positions could exceed $5,760,000,000.
โข If ETH drops sharply to around $1,930, the volume of liquidations of LONG positions could be over $3,630,000,000.
โข If the price of BTC falls sharply to approximately $62,800, the volume of liquidations of LONG positions could exceed $5,760,000,000.
โข If ETH drops sharply to around $1,930, the volume of liquidations of LONG positions could be over $3,630,000,000.
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๐ Cryptans have estimated how much new Bitcoin supply Iran could absorb if it starts accepting BTC as payment for passage through the Strait of Hormuz.
At a rate of $1 per barrel of oil, this amounts to approximately $20 million per day, which is equivalent to about 281 BTC at current rates.
Bitcoin's daily supply is 450 BTC, which means Iran could receive 62% of all new supply.
At the same time, Bitcoin turns out to be more profitable compared to stablecoins, since it cannot be frozen according to instructions from Washington.
At a rate of $1 per barrel of oil, this amounts to approximately $20 million per day, which is equivalent to about 281 BTC at current rates.
Bitcoin's daily supply is 450 BTC, which means Iran could receive 62% of all new supply.
At the same time, Bitcoin turns out to be more profitable compared to stablecoins, since it cannot be frozen according to instructions from Washington.
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๐ชBTC MVRV Z-Score
It doesn't look like the $60k mark could be the bottom of a bear market - the MVRV indicator never entered the green zone where reversals historically form.
The timing also doesnโt add up: there may still be about six months left before the end of the bearish cycle.
๐ปIt seems that the market has not yet shown the final decline - regardless of whether anyone likes it or not.
It doesn't look like the $60k mark could be the bottom of a bear market - the MVRV indicator never entered the green zone where reversals historically form.
The timing also doesnโt add up: there may still be about six months left before the end of the bearish cycle.
๐ปIt seems that the market has not yet shown the final decline - regardless of whether anyone likes it or not.
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๐ฎโโ๏ธFines for โfailure to reportโ about a crypto wallet
According to information from BAZA, Russia may introduce fines for failure to notify the presence of a crypto wallet, similar to the rules for foreign accounts.
โข 5000 rubles โ for the first violation.
โข 20,000 rubles โ for a repeat.
The State Duma is currently considering a bill that would oblige citizens to inform tax authorities about their crypto accounts (including accounts on foreign exchanges) and report on their transactions.
Important: notification will be required even if there are no transactions.
Experts emphasize that controlling such data is currently quite difficult, especially when it comes to foreign platforms.
The situation may change if control is introduced over the withdrawal of cryptocurrency into fiat money within the country (for example, a ban on cash payments).
According to information from BAZA, Russia may introduce fines for failure to notify the presence of a crypto wallet, similar to the rules for foreign accounts.
โข 5000 rubles โ for the first violation.
โข 20,000 rubles โ for a repeat.
The State Duma is currently considering a bill that would oblige citizens to inform tax authorities about their crypto accounts (including accounts on foreign exchanges) and report on their transactions.
Important: notification will be required even if there are no transactions.
Experts emphasize that controlling such data is currently quite difficult, especially when it comes to foreign platforms.
The situation may change if control is introduced over the withdrawal of cryptocurrency into fiat money within the country (for example, a ban on cash payments).
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๐ Bearish divergences worked well: #BTC fell from $107k to $60k
So is this the end of the bear market? No!
๐Puell Multiple should sink into its green bottom zone๐
Another big fall is inevitable, whether you like it or not.
So is this the end of the bear market? No!
๐Puell Multiple should sink into its green bottom zone๐
Another big fall is inevitable, whether you like it or not.
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