β Morning market review
A new day - a new fall, so we went towards my goals, which I wrote about all these days.
πͺBTC 84,128$
πͺETH 2,721$
Fear Index 11
Altseason index 28
Bitcoin dominance58.96%
Leader of growth: AB +0.48%
Leader of the decline:TEL-17.92%
β°οΈLiquidations: $1.91 billion
So far there is no talk of a quick reversal; every bottom is weakly bought back. We should get a strong reaction from the true bottom.
A new day - a new fall, so we went towards my goals, which I wrote about all these days.
πͺBTC 84,128$
πͺETH 2,721$
Fear Index 11
Altseason index 28
Bitcoin dominance58.96%
Leader of growth: AB +0.48%
Leader of the decline:TEL-17.92%
β°οΈLiquidations: $1.91 billion
So far there is no talk of a quick reversal; every bottom is weakly bought back. We should get a strong reaction from the true bottom.
π12β€8π6π―5π₯3
π Bloomberg reports the risk of Strategy (Michael Saylor) being excluded from major indexes
π΄ JPMorgan analysts believe that Strategy may be excluded from the MSCI and Nasdaq indices.
π΄ If this scenario is realized, the capitalization of MSTR shares could be reduced by up to $2.8 billion.
π΄ In October, MSCI discussed the possibility of excluding companies whose digital assets make up more than 50% of their balance sheet.
π΄ MSTR shares have been included in the MSCI World Index since May 31, 2024. There is no official decision on the possible exclusion of Strategy shares yet; it is expected by January 15, 2026.
π΄ Strategyβs growth model was based on selling shares, buying Bitcoin and increasing capitalization, but now the βpremiumβ has practically disappeared.
π΄ The companyβs market value has approached the value of its crypto assets, which indicates a decrease in investor confidence.
π΄ JPMorgan analysts believe that Strategy may be excluded from the MSCI and Nasdaq indices.
π΄ If this scenario is realized, the capitalization of MSTR shares could be reduced by up to $2.8 billion.
π΄ In October, MSCI discussed the possibility of excluding companies whose digital assets make up more than 50% of their balance sheet.
π΄ MSTR shares have been included in the MSCI World Index since May 31, 2024. There is no official decision on the possible exclusion of Strategy shares yet; it is expected by January 15, 2026.
π΄ Strategyβs growth model was based on selling shares, buying Bitcoin and increasing capitalization, but now the βpremiumβ has practically disappeared.
π΄ The companyβs market value has approached the value of its crypto assets, which indicates a decrease in investor confidence.
π16π―13π11π₯11β€10
πΈI'm buying right now $ASTER and $LTC for $10,000
We'll see you in 2 months.
We'll see you in 2 months.
π―17π15π₯12β€8π8
β Morning market review
So far, the market can hardly be called simple.
πͺBTC $84,275
πͺETH 2,734$
Fear Index 10
Altseason index 27
Bitcoin dominance59.08%
Growth leader: WLFI +14%
Leader of the fall:STRK-25%
β°οΈLiquidations: $1.6 billion
I certainly hope that I donβt see this in the coming months, but I must point out these areas. $75,000 for BTC and $2250-2500 for ETH. There I will be ready to average again.
So far, the market can hardly be called simple.
πͺBTC $84,275
πͺETH 2,734$
Fear Index 10
Altseason index 27
Bitcoin dominance59.08%
Growth leader: WLFI +14%
Leader of the fall:STRK-25%
β°οΈLiquidations: $1.6 billion
I certainly hope that I donβt see this in the coming months, but I must point out these areas. $75,000 for BTC and $2250-2500 for ETH. There I will be ready to average again.
π12β€8π₯6π―6π5
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Here is a reliable indicator - Jim Cramerπ
Cramer said live on CNBC that he is now bearish on BTC.
Well, does that mean the bottom has already been reached? He is popular for his reverse forecastsπ€
Cramer said live on CNBC that he is now bearish on BTC.
Well, does that mean the bottom has already been reached? He is popular for his reverse forecastsπ€
π₯9π9π8β€7π―6
π€ Founder and CEO of CryptoQuant, Ki Yong Joo, said that Bitcoin is in a profit-taking phase, as evidenced by the PnL Index indicator
According to the expert, βclassical cycle theory says we are entering a bear market.β
βοΈNevertheless, he believes that an influx of macroeconomic liquidity, as was the case in 2020, can change this trend.
According to the expert, βclassical cycle theory says we are entering a bear market.β
βοΈNevertheless, he believes that an influx of macroeconomic liquidity, as was the case in 2020, can change this trend.
π₯16β€15π11π―11π9
πͺOn Air locally
Ether has dropped by 8% in a day and is trading around $2,740, remaining within the daily imbalance of $2,900β$2,640. Yesterday there was already the first upward reaction from here, but the liquidity under the level of $2,700 has not yet been removed - this is where I expect movement.
βοΈThe optimal scenario is a repeated test of the lower limit of the imbalance, withdrawal of liquidity and only then a reversal upward. This pattern often forms a solid base for growth.
To confirm the bullish scenario, it is important to gain a foothold above the break level of the $2,800 structure. After this, you can look at liquidity targets in the $2,950β$3,050 zone.
Ether has dropped by 8% in a day and is trading around $2,740, remaining within the daily imbalance of $2,900β$2,640. Yesterday there was already the first upward reaction from here, but the liquidity under the level of $2,700 has not yet been removed - this is where I expect movement.
βοΈThe optimal scenario is a repeated test of the lower limit of the imbalance, withdrawal of liquidity and only then a reversal upward. This pattern often forms a solid base for growth.
To confirm the bullish scenario, it is important to gain a foothold above the break level of the $2,800 structure. After this, you can look at liquidity targets in the $2,950β$3,050 zone.
β€17π₯17π15π12π―11
πͺBitcoin locally
During the day, BTC dropped by 7% and is trading around $83,900. Below is the daily order block $83,100β$74,500: after a brief test, we saw a local pullback, but now the downward movement continues.
βοΈBasic scenario - re-enter liquidity in the $80,000β$78,000 zone to test the order block more deeply.
For an upward reversal, it is necessary to see a breakdown of the structure and a confident consolidation above $85,800. Only after the breakdown of this area will it be possible to talk about a movement to $89,000β$92,000.
While the market remains under pressure, it is optimal to wait for the final collection of liquidity and only then consider long-term scenarios.
During the day, BTC dropped by 7% and is trading around $83,900. Below is the daily order block $83,100β$74,500: after a brief test, we saw a local pullback, but now the downward movement continues.
βοΈBasic scenario - re-enter liquidity in the $80,000β$78,000 zone to test the order block more deeply.
For an upward reversal, it is necessary to see a breakdown of the structure and a confident consolidation above $85,800. Only after the breakdown of this area will it be possible to talk about a movement to $89,000β$92,000.
While the market remains under pressure, it is optimal to wait for the final collection of liquidity and only then consider long-term scenarios.
π₯10π8β€6π5π―5
π§Έ When does a bear market begin?
As we know, Bitcoin has a classic cycle that is updated every 4 years and this has happened more than once; the pattern has been working since the very creation of Bitcoin.
The classic cycle is 4 years of growth (bull market) and a year of correction (bear market).
No matter how strange it may seem, there is also a point. Every 4 years, Forbes publishes a cover with a hyped market participant.
In 2018 - CZ (CEO Binance)
In 2022 - SBF (ceo FTX)
In 2025 - Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy)
And each time these people were put on the covers right in the midst of a market turn into a bearish phase.
I put the release dates of the covers on the chart and everything fits very wellπ¨
As we know, Bitcoin has a classic cycle that is updated every 4 years and this has happened more than once; the pattern has been working since the very creation of Bitcoin.
The classic cycle is 4 years of growth (bull market) and a year of correction (bear market).
No matter how strange it may seem, there is also a point. Every 4 years, Forbes publishes a cover with a hyped market participant.
In 2018 - CZ (CEO Binance)
In 2022 - SBF (ceo FTX)
In 2025 - Michael Saylor (MicroStrategy)
And each time these people were put on the covers right in the midst of a market turn into a bearish phase.
I put the release dates of the covers on the chart and everything fits very wellπ¨
π―10β€9π8π₯7π7
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Everyone has a friend like that
β€11π₯10π5π4π―3
β Morning market review
Good Sunday morning everyone!
πͺBTC $86,035
πͺETH 2,803$
Fear Index 10
Altseason index 24
Bitcoin dominance59.07%
Growth leader: ZEC (+17.4%)
Top Fall:2Z (-9.0%)
β°οΈLiquidations: $217 million
We received a small setback after a bloody week, and there is still no reaction. We are waiting to see what next week will bring us and hope for a buyer.
Good Sunday morning everyone!
πͺBTC $86,035
πͺETH 2,803$
Fear Index 10
Altseason index 24
Bitcoin dominance59.07%
Growth leader: ZEC (+17.4%)
Top Fall:2Z (-9.0%)
β°οΈLiquidations: $217 million
We received a small setback after a bloody week, and there is still no reaction. We are waiting to see what next week will bring us and hope for a buyer.
π―13β€12π₯11π7π4
β Morning market review
πͺBTC $86,977
πͺETH 2,832$
Fear Index 12
Altseason index 23
Bitcoin dominance59.13%
Growth leader: CC +13%
Leader of the decline:STRK-9%
β°οΈLiquidations: $199 million
On Monday I would refuse to make any decisions at all. Growth on Sunday evening usually did not please us with anything afterwards. Let's see how it goes this time.
πͺBTC $86,977
πͺETH 2,832$
Fear Index 12
Altseason index 23
Bitcoin dominance59.13%
Growth leader: CC +13%
Leader of the decline:STRK-9%
β°οΈLiquidations: $199 million
On Monday I would refuse to make any decisions at all. Growth on Sunday evening usually did not please us with anything afterwards. Let's see how it goes this time.
β€11π₯8π6π―5π4