🪙Michael Saylor assures: even a fall in Bitcoin by 80-90% will not be a problem for Strategy - the company initially prepared for such scenarios.

He also noted an interesting trend: BTC volatility is gradually decreasing - from 80% in 2020 to about 50% now. According to Saylor, it's not the funds; the market itself is becoming more mature.

Over the long term, he expects Bitcoin to trend toward levels equivalent to about 1.5x the volatility and return of the S&P 500.

So what do you think - is it time to put up $20,000 buckets for BTC?😅

🪙By BTC locally

Despite the upward reaction from the $88,550 level, the market still looks weak - there has been no strong rebound from the key zone. This may lead to the level being retested again.

If the retest takes place, I will enter a position from $88,550. Next, I will wait for a movement to $93,850 and take a position if the price consolidates higher.

We have already seen a strong decline from $93,850, and this scenario could happen again. Therefore, I do not open trades “in the air”, but wait for a clear entry point.

🪙Bitcoin dominance continues to decline and has already confirmed a downward trend after a prolonged rise

To strengthen the signal, it is advisable to see a retest of the 59.52% level and further movement to the ~57% zone.

If the indicator drops to 57%, altcoins may show local positive and grow by 10-15%.

Right now altcoins look weak and are essentially waiting for a strong trigger for growth. Such a trigger could be a further decline in BTC dominance.

🚀$STRK almost doubled while $BTC lost $12k

Something really strange is happening😏

1️⃣March–August 2024: drop by 33%
2️⃣January–April 2025: drop by 32%
3️⃣October–November 2025: now – –29%. If we reach -33%, we get the area of ​​84–85k$.

And as you know, the zone 83–87k$ is my key support area, from which BTC is highly likely to show a strong rebound 😏

☕ Morning market review

Looks like a dead cat bounce, where is the bottom?

🪙BTC $92,089
🪙ETH 3,032$

Fear Index 15
Altseason index 27
Bitcoin dominance59.24%

Growth leader: STRK +15.48%
Leader of the fall:AB-15.16%
⚰️Liquidations: $609 million

It already looks like the sale of loys, without breaking the descending structure for now. If you want safe entrances, you won’t get them now, the market is different.

🎰Trader 0x5d2f has been short Bitcoin for more than six months for $113 million, with $24 million in unrealized profits. Over the entire period, he earned $51 million, of which $9.2 million came from funding fees.

Funding fees is a mechanism for perpetual futures: traders pay each other commissions depending on the balance of positions. When the majority is long, the shorts get paid.

🐻According to CryptoQuant, if the Fed does not cut rates in December, Bitcoin will likely trade in the $60,000-$80,000 range by the end of the year

Growth will remain limited until it becomes clear what course the regulator will take. The key factor will be the behavior of stablecoins - whether they will remain “on hold” or begin to actively enter the market after macro risks have reduced.

🪙By BTC locally

It is critical to gain a foothold above $93,850 to pave the way for further gains. It is equally important to maintain the level of $88,550, otherwise the market may continue to fall and provoke a cascade of liquidations.

From $88,550 you can expect a repeated reaction on at least the 4H timeframe. Now a local sideways trend is forming, within which you can work intraday with short stops.

🤖Testing of AI traders continues in the new season of “AI Trading Showdown”, where neural networks again trade cryptocurrency on a real deposit of $10,000

Two newcomers were added to the participants - Kimi and a still secret model with no details revealed.

Current results:
Gemini 3 - $10,479
DeepSeek 3.1 – $10,465
Mystery-model – $10,400
Kimi k2 – $10,366
GPT 5.1 – $10,237
Qwen 3 – $10,212
Grok 4 – $10,100
Claude 4.5 – $10,046

All models are still trading in the black👀

🪙 Support 93-97k$ couldn’t resist

Now we are catching $BTC in the zone 83-87k$.

This should be the bottom of the current correction. I expect a good rebound from this zone

☕ Morning market review

A new day - a new fall, so we went towards my goals, which I wrote about all these days.

🪙BTC 84,128$
🪙ETH 2,721$

Fear Index 11
Altseason index 28
Bitcoin dominance58.96%

Leader of growth: AB +0.48%
Leader of the decline:TEL-17.92%
⚰️Liquidations: $1.91 billion

So far there is no talk of a quick reversal; every bottom is weakly bought back. We should get a strong reaction from the true bottom.

🪙Bitcoin 83k$ - goal achieved!

We've arrived at my turnaround area. This is very strong support. Now the market needs to rebound🤞

🕕 Bloomberg reports the risk of Strategy (Michael Saylor) being excluded from major indexes

🔴 JPMorgan analysts believe that Strategy may be excluded from the MSCI and Nasdaq indices.

🔴 If this scenario is realized, the capitalization of MSTR shares could be reduced by up to $2.8 billion.

🔴 In October, MSCI discussed the possibility of excluding companies whose digital assets make up more than 50% of their balance sheet.

🔴 MSTR shares have been included in the MSCI World Index since May 31, 2024. There is no official decision on the possible exclusion of Strategy shares yet; it is expected by January 15, 2026.

🔴 Strategy’s growth model was based on selling shares, buying Bitcoin and increasing capitalization, but now the “premium” has practically disappeared.

🔴 The company’s market value has approached the value of its crypto assets, which indicates a decrease in investor confidence.

🤯 Glassnode notes that the market collapse was triggered by short-term Bitcoin holders.

Realized losses on BTC are now comparable to the levels seen during the FTX crash.

💸I'm buying right now $ASTER and $LTC for $10,000

We'll see you in 2 months.

-36% correction. The largest BTC correction in this cycle👀

Пока всё. We are waiting for the rebound!😏

☕ Morning market review

So far, the market can hardly be called simple.

🪙BTC $84,275
🪙ETH 2,734$

Fear Index 10
Altseason index 27
Bitcoin dominance59.08%

Growth leader: WLFI +14%
Leader of the fall:STRK-25%
⚰️Liquidations: $1.6 billion

I certainly hope that I don’t see this in the coming months, but I must point out these areas. $75,000 for BTC and $2250-2500 for ETH. There I will be ready to average again.

Here is a reliable indicator - Jim Cramer😂

Cramer said live on CNBC that he is now bearish on BTC.

Well, does that mean the bottom has already been reached? He is popular for his reverse forecasts🤔

🤔 Founder and CEO of CryptoQuant, Ki Yong Joo, said that Bitcoin is in a profit-taking phase, as evidenced by the PnL Index indicator

According to the expert, “classical cycle theory says we are entering a bear market.”

❗️Nevertheless, he believes that an influx of macroeconomic liquidity, as was the case in 2020, can change this trend.