☕ Morning market review
All weekend I'm waiting for a side event on the majors, the alts will shoot in places.
🪙BTC 96,120$
🪙ETH 3 $166
Fear Index 16
Altseason index 32
Bitcoin dominance59.67%
Growth leader: ZEC+34%
Leader of the decline: ICP-10%
⚰️Liquidations: $673 million
The fear index dropped to 16. The last time this happened was in April 2025, when BTC was $75k. We are at the bottom, even if we take a couple of thousand even lower, then we can only go up.
All weekend I'm waiting for a side event on the majors, the alts will shoot in places.
🪙BTC 96,120$
🪙ETH 3 $166
Fear Index 16
Altseason index 32
Bitcoin dominance59.67%
Growth leader: ZEC+34%
Leader of the decline: ICP-10%
⚰️Liquidations: $673 million
The fear index dropped to 16. The last time this happened was in April 2025, when BTC was $75k. We are at the bottom, even if we take a couple of thousand even lower, then we can only go up.
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🪙Bitcoin moved sluggishly yesterday and remains within the daily order block of $97,400–$93,300, now trading around $96,200
To resume growth, it is important to gain a foothold above the structure break level of $97,300. Above is the imbalance zone of $97,500–$98,600, which can give a pullback. However, a consolidation above $98,600 will open the way to liquidity in the $100,000–$101,500 region.
If BTC does not hold above the imbalance, consolidation is likely until Monday.
To resume growth, it is important to gain a foothold above the structure break level of $97,300. Above is the imbalance zone of $97,500–$98,600, which can give a pullback. However, a consolidation above $98,600 will open the way to liquidity in the $100,000–$101,500 region.
If BTC does not hold above the imbalance, consolidation is likely until Monday.
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👤 FUD regarding Sailor's sale #BTC
Yesterday there were rumors: “MicroStrategy has probably started selling BTC.”
As confirmation, Arkham showed transfers of BTC from Strategy wallets to new wallets.
In response, Michael Saylor only replied: “HODL.”
Arkham themselves later reported that the transfers were part of an ongoing change of custodian. These transactions do not indicate sales of BTC.
Purely a hoax that attracted attention and, of course, someone believed and sold the assets.
Yesterday there were rumors: “MicroStrategy has probably started selling BTC.”
As confirmation, Arkham showed transfers of BTC from Strategy wallets to new wallets.
In response, Michael Saylor only replied: “HODL.”
Arkham themselves later reported that the transfers were part of an ongoing change of custodian. These transactions do not indicate sales of BTC.
Purely a hoax that attracted attention and, of course, someone believed and sold the assets.
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🪙By ETH locally
Ether is trading around $3,180 and is setting the stage for a reversal after a sharp fall. Now the price is heading towards the imbalance zone of $3,270–$3,360, formed at the last strait.
❗️The key scenario is to wait for the test of this area and the price reaction. If ETH stabilizes above $3,360, we can expect a move towards the liquidity pool in the $3,480-$3,600 region.
If, after the imbalance test, a downward reaction appears and the price does not stay higher, a repeat downward move towards liquidity at $3,000 is likely.
Ether is trading around $3,180 and is setting the stage for a reversal after a sharp fall. Now the price is heading towards the imbalance zone of $3,270–$3,360, formed at the last strait.
❗️The key scenario is to wait for the test of this area and the price reaction. If ETH stabilizes above $3,360, we can expect a move towards the liquidity pool in the $3,480-$3,600 region.
If, after the imbalance test, a downward reaction appears and the price does not stay higher, a repeat downward move towards liquidity at $3,000 is likely.
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Only 44.4% of investors now expect the Fed to continue cutting rates in December. At the beginning of November there were 67% of them, and a month ago - more than 94%.
It is believed that easing monetary policy generally supports the growth of risk assets, including Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.
It is believed that easing monetary policy generally supports the growth of risk assets, including Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies.
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🔥4 billion liquidations nearby
There is now a huge cluster of shorts of over $4 billion that will be liquidated if BTC reaches $100,800.
In fact, one strong green candle in the +5% area can simply wipe out all the bears and give a charge to the upward movement due to massive liquidations.
Such clusters at the top are the fuel for growth. If the market reaches this zone, we may see a very sharp impulse.
There is now a huge cluster of shorts of over $4 billion that will be liquidated if BTC reaches $100,800.
In fact, one strong green candle in the +5% area can simply wipe out all the bears and give a charge to the upward movement due to massive liquidations.
Such clusters at the top are the fuel for growth. If the market reaches this zone, we may see a very sharp impulse.
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☕ Morning market review
So far, the sidearm is working on weekends, and the alto is shooting.
🪙BTC $96,003
🪙ETH 3 $213
Fear Index 18
Altseason index 32
Bitcoin dominance59.38%
Growth leader: STRK (+33.5%)
Leader of the fall: ZEC (-5.8%)
⚰️Liquidations: $151 million
I don’t rule out a final stake somewhere in the GAP area of $91-92k, but this will be the final for the bears and the beginning of the bulls’ journey. I think the Santa rally is ahead.
So far, the sidearm is working on weekends, and the alto is shooting.
🪙BTC $96,003
🪙ETH 3 $213
Fear Index 18
Altseason index 32
Bitcoin dominance59.38%
Growth leader: STRK (+33.5%)
Leader of the fall: ZEC (-5.8%)
⚰️Liquidations: $151 million
I don’t rule out a final stake somewhere in the GAP area of $91-92k, but this will be the final for the bears and the beginning of the bulls’ journey. I think the Santa rally is ahead.
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💎I look at the chart $ASTER and am seriously thinking about transferring some of my already irrelevant shields there
The coin is now on hype, the entire collapse is holding confidently and has already drawn a powerful reversal formation.
I am confident that when the market turns upward, $ASTER will grow faster than most alts🚬
The coin is now on hype, the entire collapse is holding confidently and has already drawn a powerful reversal formation.
I am confident that when the market turns upward, $ASTER will grow faster than most alts🚬
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🪙BTC locally
Bitcoin has been consolidating for the second day within the daily order block of $97,400–$93,300 and is now trading around $95,900, accumulating liquidity under the imbalance zone of $97,900–$99,500.
Historically, Sunday often brings impulse upward movements, and the market has already created the conditions for recovery.
For an upward reversal, it is important to see a break in the structure and consolidation above the $97,800–$98,500 area. Then the first confirmed signal of buyer strength will appear and the path to growth to the $101,000–$102,000 zone will open.
Bitcoin has been consolidating for the second day within the daily order block of $97,400–$93,300 and is now trading around $95,900, accumulating liquidity under the imbalance zone of $97,900–$99,500.
Historically, Sunday often brings impulse upward movements, and the market has already created the conditions for recovery.
For an upward reversal, it is important to see a break in the structure and consolidation above the $97,800–$98,500 area. Then the first confirmed signal of buyer strength will appear and the path to growth to the $101,000–$102,000 zone will open.
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🪙APT Review
The asset is trading around $2.86 and is testing the imbalance zone of $2.72–$2.97. To continue growth, I expect liquidity to be withdrawn around $2.80 within this zone.
If there is a strong upward reaction after the withdrawal, the next targets will be the levels of $3.6–$4.1.
The asset is trading around $2.86 and is testing the imbalance zone of $2.72–$2.97. To continue growth, I expect liquidity to be withdrawn around $2.80 within this zone.
If there is a strong upward reaction after the withdrawal, the next targets will be the levels of $3.6–$4.1.
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☕ Morning market review
So far, the sidearm is working on weekends, and the alto is shooting.
🪙BTC $95,449
🪙ETH 3,193$
Fear Index 17
Altseason index 31
Bitcoin dominance59.43%
Growth leader: ASTER +5%
Leader of the fall: DASH-10%
⚰️Liquidations: $619 million
The GAP was never lifted, and the sooner we collect all the liquidity, the better for growth. Since the liquidity left will always be a threat for every rebound.
So far, the sidearm is working on weekends, and the alto is shooting.
🪙BTC $95,449
🪙ETH 3,193$
Fear Index 17
Altseason index 31
Bitcoin dominance59.43%
Growth leader: ASTER +5%
Leader of the fall: DASH-10%
⚰️Liquidations: $619 million
The GAP was never lifted, and the sooner we collect all the liquidity, the better for growth. Since the liquidity left will always be a threat for every rebound.
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💸A large wallet came out of inactivity for the first time in five years - and made one of the most unsuccessful transactions of the year.
The trader exchanged 14.45 million ADA (about $7 million) for only 847.7 thousand USDA due to the low liquidity of the pair. As a result, he recorded almost $6.2 million in losses.
The trader exchanged 14.45 million ADA (about $7 million) for only 847.7 thousand USDA due to the low liquidity of the pair. As a result, he recorded almost $6.2 million in losses.
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