☕ Morning market review

The bears feel too confident, although we are just sideways.

🪙BTC 110,549$
🪙ETH $3,894

Fear Index 33
Altseason index 35
Bitcoin dominance 59.88%

Growth leader: DASH +37%
Leader of the fall: TRUMP-8%
😱Liquidations $103 million


💭The sideways trend is very exhausting for most market participants. Although in its logic it is quite simple. And the most reliable strategy is to trade from its borders or fake takeaways.

🤿Robbery of the Century in Spanish

In Barcelona, a gang stole a Bitcoin ATM, thinking there were "real bitcoins" hidden inside. After opening it, it turned out that there were only wires, microcircuits and not a single coin.

It looks like someone didn’t understand how blockchain works😂

🪙Bitcoin locally

The market has been moving sideways for the last two days, but today the asset is showing signs of strength and is trading around $110,800.

The chart shows a 4-hour imbalance of $111,500 - $112,500 - I expect movement into this zone. After its test, the basic scenario remains the same: continued decline to $108,000 – $106,000.

❗️To change the structure and move to growth, you need to consolidate above $112,500.

🪙On-air locally

After several days of flatness, the asset is active and is trading around $3,890, approaching the daily imbalance of $4,000 - $4,050. The key resistance is here, where I expect a reaction from sellers.

❗️Basic scenario - a test of this zone followed by a rollback below $3,850 and a decline to the range of $3,700 - $3,600.

As long as the price is below $4,050, the structure remains bearish. Consolidation above will be a signal of a trend change📈

🚀ZK holders received hope

Over the past two days, the ZK token has risen in price by 163%, although there are no fundamental reasons for such growth.

Many attribute the surge to the recent Atlas update
for ZK Stack, which increased network throughput to 15,000 TPS.

It’s interesting that the project, which everyone had already forgotten about, suddenly began to gain popularity only after the update. Most likely, a market maker is behind the movement, artificially accelerating the price. Now the main question is how high the team can reach this pump.

It is also possible that potential investors confused ZK with ZEC, which made more than x10 in a month😂

🪙 Will $ETH be able to reach $10K and when? 😑

Bitwise states that ETH could grow 2+ times this decade, and the data supports the long-term scenario.

Stablecoin dominance today:
▪️ETH: 54.27%
▪️TRX: 25.82%
▪️SOL: 4.8%

If stablecoins become the standard for payments, ETH will become the basis for all payments.

For the long term, very bullish🐂

❓Will there be an alt-season?

The “altcoin season” index is growing again and has reached 43 - for now this is a neutral zone, but the trend is obvious: capital is gradually flowing from Bitcoin to alts. To confirm a full-fledged alt-season, the indicator must exceed 75, and the market seems to be preparing for this.

🤝🤝The background is favorable - trade agreements between the US and China are reducing tensions, the Fed is hinting at a possible rate cut, and interest in risky assets is growing. The crypto market is the first to react: volumes on spot and futures increase, and BTC dominance begins to decline.

❗️However, the future altseason is unlikely to repeat the madness of 2021. The market has become more selective - not all tokens will see growth, but certain areas: AI, meme coins and infrastructure projects.

When I suggested to a friend to invest in promising altcoins, but they went to zero within a week

☕ Morning market review

The cue ball is in the flat, and the alts are in the blood, everything is stable.

🪙BTC 107,478$
🪙ETH 3 $712

Fear Index 36
Altseason index 27
Bitcoin dominance60.23%

Growth leader: ASTER +11%
Leader of the decline: SPX-17%
😱 Liquidations $103 million


💭Don’t forget, the main task of the sideline is to wear out retail and all the players who came here for quick results. Therefore, it is important to maintain healthy optimism.

🤝🤝The White House officially announced a new trade and economic agreement with China

Main conditions:
China:
🔴 Eliminates export restrictions on rare earth metals and critical minerals needed by American industries.
🔴 Stops the supply of fentanyl precursors and introduces global control over their circulation.
🔴 Freezes retaliatory tariffs on US agricultural products (soybeans, corn, meat, dairy products).
🔴 Commits to purchasing 12 million tons of American soybeans by the end of 2025 and 25 million tons annually from 2026 to 2028, and also resumes imports of sorghum and timber.
🔴 Allows US chipmaker Nexperia to resume operations and ends investigations against semiconductor companies.

USA:
🔴 Tariffs on Chinese imports are being reduced from 20% to 10% from November 10.
🔴 New trade restrictions and investigations are suspended for a year.
🔴 Extend tariff benefits under Section 301 until the end of 2026.

The agreement is aimed at reducing tensions and restoring stability in world trade🤝

🪙Bitcoin continues to decline

Overnight, the asset lost 3.2% and is trading around $107,200. A 4-hour imbalance of $108,000 – $108,700 has formed on the chart, where a short-term pullback is possible.

❗️The main scenario is a test of this zone followed by a continuation of the fall to $106,000 - $104,500.
As long as the price remains below $108,700, the market structure remains bearish. Consolidation above will be the first signal of a trend change.

😳Will VTS repeat the scenario of 2020?

Then the market collapsed due to COVID and returned to growth within 4 months.
Now there is a record liquidation, the volume is 20 times higher than then

📈 And now, after just 4 weeks, BTC is already above the breakdown zone again. If the story really rhymes, the goal is the same, just different zeros: $280k

Do we believe in such theories from Twitter? 🤔

📊Net inflows and outflows of spot ETFs over the past week:

🟢 Bitcoin ETF (BTC) = -$798,950,000.
🟢 Ethereum ETF (ETH) = +$15,960,000.
🟢 Solana ETF (SOL) = +$199,210,000.
🟢 Hedera ETF (HBAR) = +$44,390,000.
🟢 Litecoin ETF (LTC) = +$719,970.

🐻Minus $600 million per hour

The crypto market has shaken up again -
liquidated $600,000,000 worth of longs in just one hour

The cue ball sank, the violas fell,
and the exchanges unanimously turned on the liquidation vacuum cleaner.

🪙Global overview of Bitcoin

Everything is so bad with $BTC that I don’t even know what can save it🤷‍♂️

Looks like the top of the cycle - very similar to the one in 2021.

🔴Bearish divergence on RSI
🔴Bearish divergence on Stoch RSI
🔴Similar red monthly candle at its peak
🔴The same 35 months from the bottom of the cycle to the top

⚠️Be careful, bears are coming!

When I suggested to a friend to invest in promising altcoins, and they made -20% in a day

Market situation

🩸A new day - and a new wave of liquidations

Over the past 24 hours, traders have lost
$1.37 billion, almost all of it via longs.

🪙BTC fell to $104,000
🪙ETH – up to $3475
🪙SOL — $157
🪙TON - below $2

Altcoins are falling rapidly and already look like “shields” ready to burst.

🎰The “AI Trading Showdown” experiment has ended, where six AI models traded crypto with a deposit of $10,000

Results of the week:
🔴Qwen – $12,231
🔴 DeepSeek — $10,489
🔴 Claude — $6,912
🔴 Grok — $5,469
🔴 Gemini — $4,329
🔴 ChatGPT — $3,733

❗️DeepSeek, having lost half of its capital in a week, lost its leadership to Qwen.
Grok and Claude went into the red, although they were in the TOP at the beginning. Gemini and ChatGPT still maintain losses at 60–65%

So don’t be upset, even artificial intelligence is not able to win in this game😂

🪙Bitcoin continues to decline

Overnight, BTC fell another 3% and is trading around $104,000, approaching the daily buyer interest zone - order block $103,000 - $102,000.

🐻The current scenario remains bearish: the asset is gradually reaching its goals, and if support is broken, it may go even lower - to $103,000 - $100,000.

❗️As long as the price is below $108,000, sellers retain the initiative. To change the structure, you need to confidently consolidate above this mark.