🚨The Fed stops QT from December 1

The regulator is ending its quantitative tightening program, which has reduced the Fed's balance sheet by more than $1 trillion. This is a signal of a transition to soft policy and increased liquidity in the economy.

❗️Now the next stage is likely - the launch of QE, lowering rates and supporting markets.

Previously, QT put pressure on stocks, commodities and crypto, so the current decision is a clear positive for risky assets.

☕ Morning market review

It's never a good morning when the Fed cuts rates😭

🪙BTC 111,201$
🪙ETH $3,934

Fear Index 34
Altseason index 30
Bitcoin dominance 59.51%

Growth leader: JELLYJELLY +50.46%
Leader of the decline: ENSO -26.81%
😱Liquidations $825 million


💭Such a spill is a common story for closing the month, I think that the guys want to confuse the crowd before the start of strong growth.
In fact, according to timings, we have very good chances for the Santa Rally in November/December. As it was in 2024.

🤝🤝The meeting between Trump and Xi Jinping lasted 1 hour 40 minutes instead of the planned three, but the parties announced significant progress

🔴Trump called the meeting “incredible” and rated it 12 out of 10 - the parties made a number of decisions.
🔴The United States has reduced tariffs on fentanyl to 10%, and overall duties on imports from China from 57% to 47%.
🔴China has resumed purchases of US soybeans and will continue to supply rare earths and critical minerals under an annual agreement.
🔴Chip supplies were discussed, negotiations with Nvidia are planned.
🔴Trump will visit China in April, and Xi Jinping's visit to the United States is expected soon.

Bitcoin briefly fell to $107,000 on the news, but quickly recovered to $111,000.

🪙Bitcoin in a phase of uncertainty after the Fed’s decisions

During the day, BTC fell by more than 5%, but part of the fall has already been bought back. The asset is trading around $110,600, under the imbalance zone of $112,000 – $112,600.

🐻As long as the price is below $112,600, the advantage remains with sellers - a rollback is likely to form and a continued decline to the liquidity of $109,000 - $107,000. Fixing above $112,600 will be a signal for a possible recovery.

😤Trump doesn’t understand what’s going on

“Why is everything falling?” he wrote in Truth Social.

Good question, Donny. Why? 🤔

🐻Bitcoin continues to fall

Over the past 5 hours, the asset has lost 3.5% and dropped to $107,700, almost reaching the first target - the liquidity zone of about $106,000. After its removal, a short pullback is expected and a further decline to the $103,500 area.

🪙Ether is also under pressure from the seller

ETH dropped by 5.3% over the past day and is now trading around $3,730. The nearest liquidity zone is $3,650–$3,550, where the first response from buyers is possible.

🐻As long as the price is below $3,900, the market structure remains bearish. To recover, a return and consolidation above this level is necessary - otherwise the fall may continue.

🐻The cause of the fall has been found

The largest fund BlackRock began to massively sell BTC and ETH. According to blockchain data, millions of dollars were transferred from ETF addresses to exchanges.

❗️When such players exit positions, the market reacts instantly - sales increase pressure and can accelerate the price movement to the target levels that I wrote about earlier today.

🐻Can we see another drop in November?

October closes with approximately -3%.

🔽In 2018, when Bitcoin also ended October with a decline of -3.83%, a much more powerful fall followed in November - the month closed at -36.57%.

If history repeats itself, then in November the market may collapse further, and then alta will be very bad🫠

☕ Morning market review

An excellent drain for everyone who decided to continue the Fed rate cuts.

🪙BTC 109 612$
🪙ETH 3,833$

Fear Index 31
Altseason index 29
Bitcoin dominance 59.97%

Growth leader: ZEC +7%
Leader of the fall: PUMP-15%
😱Liquidations $878 million


💭I’ll give you an analysis a little later on what’s happening with BTC on higher timeframes. The more scared you are during the market movement, the more your risk is overestimated and the lower your timeframes are. This is a simple indicator.

📞Michael Barry is back in touch


💭“Sometimes we see a bubble inflate. Sometimes we can do something. And sometimes the only way to win is to not play at all.”
The legendary investor, who became the prototype for the hero of the film “The Big Short,” published a post on X (Twitter) for the first time in several years.

☕️ 15 years ago you could buy 14,000 BTC for $10

Today that same Bitcoin is worth $1.56 BILLION. 😀

🪙BTC completed the first goal

Yesterday, Bitcoin withdrew liquidity around $106,000, followed by a confident buyback - the asset is now trading around $109,900.

An imbalance of $111,500 – $112,500 has formed on the 4H chart, where movement is expected. After testing this zone, a return to decline is possible. While the price is below $112,500, the targets of $106,000 – $103,000 remain relevant.

❗️To restore the ascending structure, consolidation above $112,500 is required.

👀Now let's look at BTC globally

Spoiler: Not much pleasant😭

The real horror on the weekly BTC chart today is a huge bearish divergence on the RSI.

🪙Ether shows a recovery after yesterday's fall and is trading around $3,870, testing the order block zone $3,900 - $3,950. There is a key resistance here, where a reaction from sellers is likely.

❗️Basic scenario - exit above the block followed by a return below $3,800 and a decline to $3,650 - $3,600. As long as the price is below $3,950, the structure remains bearish. Consolidation above this level will cancel the decline scenario and open the way to growth.

📊U.S. spot crypto ETF financial flows yesterday:

— BTC = -$488,430,000.
— ETH = -$184,310,000.
— SOL = +$37,330,000.
— HBAR = +$29,900,000.
— LTC = $0 (for 10/29 = +$485k).

When people ask you, how is the altcoin season?

☕ Morning market review

An excellent drain for everyone who decided to continue the Fed rate cuts.

🪙BTC 110 155$
🪙ETH 3,865$

Fear Index 33
Altseason index 32
Bitcoin dominance 59.97%

Growth leader: VIRTUAL +34%
Leader of the decline: SPX -4%
😱Liquidations $878 million


💭I’ll give you an analysis a little later on what’s happening with BTC on higher timeframes. The more scared you are during the market movement, the more your risk is overestimated and the lower your timeframes are. This is a simple indicator.

🪙Bitcoin locally

Yesterday the market remained inactive, and the price fluctuated in a narrow range. BTC is currently trading around $110,100.

The chart highlights a 4-hour imbalance of $111,500 – $112,500, where I expect a price test. After checking this zone, the main scenario is a continuation of the decline with targets of $108,000 – $106,000.

❗️To change the structure and begin recovery, a confident consolidation above $112,500 is necessary.

🎃 Durov earned more than $9,000,000 from Halloween Gifts

Now imagine, in order to increase the price by at least 2-3 times, you need to pour $20,000,000 into the market

No one will do this, they sold you gifts at inflated prices.

🎃Coffins are already being sold below cost, the rest are also on the way.

Let's change the market Gifts⚰️

📺A new episode of the popular animated series South Park is dedicated to the launch of its own shieldcoin

This is what we are watching👀