🪙 This is the same rebound in BTC that I was talking about

BTC has left the red box, now let's see if we can test $78k.

We are still in a bear market, and so far nothing has changed🐻

🤔The Fed rate was expectedly left unchanged - at 3.75%

The main points of Jerome Powell's speech:

🔴The economy continues to grow - there are no plans to change the current policy
🔴The consequences of the conflict in the Middle East remain uncertain
🔴Progress in reducing inflation (including due to tariffs) is expected to become noticeable by mid-year
🔴If inflation does not slow down, there is no talk of reducing the rate
🔴The impact of rising energy prices remains questionable

❗️Bottom line: basic scenario - everything is stable... but the level of uncertainty is still high.

🪙 The rebound happened exactly as expected👌

Now we're moving down 📉

🥇 While institutional investors began to exit gold, retail investors bought gold through ETFs, pouring in a record $70 billion in the second half of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026.

Selling by institutional players started in mid-November and intensified significantly after the January correction in the precious metals market.

BIS explained the fall in prices by overheating of positions - small speculators accumulated an excessive number of long positions with high leverage.

The subsequent margin calls and liquidations of overleveraged funds caused a domino effect.

Over the past two days, gold has corrected by almost 10%, approaching $4,500.

A similar situation is observed with silver, as well as other metals.

🗺BTC and ETH liquidation map

Now traders are actively opening short positions.

▶If BTC surges to $77,500, liquidations could reach $5.8 billion

▶If ETH rises to $2400, the amount of liquidations will be $4.2 billion

🇺🇸 The US M2 money supply reached a record high of $22.45 trillion.

The cryptocurrency market often reacts to changes in liquidity.

🟠 According to CryptoQuant, the BTC price is slightly above the Realized Price level, and historically, the market has often bottomed at these levels in previous cycles.

The share of coins at a loss has already reached 40%.

Similar levels were observed in 2019 and 2022, just before the rise began.

😱There will be no rate reductions for more than a year

Analysts expect the next decline will not be until September 2027 at the earliest.

But everything could change in the next couple of months, when Kevin Warsh heads the Fed and Trump and Trump begin to reduce the rate by several percent at once

🪙BTC is forming an ascending wedge and is already on the verge of breaking down

The goal is below 50k$😭

🎰 James Wynn stepped up and opened a short position on BTC using referral bonuses.

The liquidation price is $71,112.

🧱BTC reached historical lows against gold

Cointelegraph analysts note that the technical indicators RSI and MACD indicate a possible reversal of the trend. In the past, such signals have led to significant increases in BTC compared to gold, reaching 280-620%.

The current phase of decline has been ongoing for 13 months, which is consistent with the trends of previous years.

❓Do you know why the 2022-2023 BTC bear market bottom looked like a huge volume zone? (on Binance)

Only because Binance introduced zero commissions on BTC spot trading.

That is, the volumes were greatly inflated and did not always reflect real purchases.

🤭Trump gave Iran an ultimatum - but for now, he only shot down crypto and his own markets.


“If Iran does not open the Strait of Hormuz completely and without threat within 48 hours from now, the US will strike and destroy its numerous power plants, starting with the largest!”

🪙Bitcoin will close the year “green”?

It has been noted that Bitcoin has never completed two years in a row with a negative result. For this trend to continue, the cryptocurrency must close the year above $87,555 ↗️

🎂In 2009, mining 1309 BTC cost $1

Now these 1309 BTC are worth almost $90 million.

🐰Warren Buffett: “I would continue to hold stocks even if I knew about the outbreak of World War III”

Is it difficult to keep altcoins below the top 100?😂

😨Ready for some shaking?

Trump's 48-hour deadline to Iran expires today - either the latter clear passage through the strait, or the United States begins to destroy the country's power plants

Judging by the statements, strikes will begin to occur in the coming hours, and the price of oil will jump by a few more percent🛢🚀

💩Metals behave like shields

After a fast start from the beginning of the year, there was a sharp drop in 3 weeks:

🔴The price per ounce of gold fell by 24%
🔴Silver collapsed by 36.5%

Meanwhile, VTS behaves with dignity and during this time showed an increase of 13%, after which it rolled back and is still in the black😏