☕️ The market grows on threats to Iran
Trump announced a large-scale bombing of Iranian military targets on Kharg Island and threatened attacks on oil infrastructure if Tehran tries to close the Strait of Hormuz.
Against the background of statements, the market flies up:
Bitcoin took $74k, Ethereum stormed $2,300, liquidation of shorts - $300 million per day. 🚀
Trump announced a large-scale bombing of Iranian military targets on Kharg Island and threatened attacks on oil infrastructure if Tehran tries to close the Strait of Hormuz.
Against the background of statements, the market flies up:
Bitcoin took $74k, Ethereum stormed $2,300, liquidation of shorts - $300 million per day. 🚀
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🤔The Fed rate was expectedly left unchanged - at 3.75%
The main points of Jerome Powell's speech:
🔴The economy continues to grow - there are no plans to change the current policy
🔴The consequences of the conflict in the Middle East remain uncertain
🔴Progress in reducing inflation (including due to tariffs) is expected to become noticeable by mid-year
🔴If inflation does not slow down, there is no talk of reducing the rate
🔴The impact of rising energy prices remains questionable
❗️Bottom line: basic scenario - everything is stable... but the level of uncertainty is still high.
The main points of Jerome Powell's speech:
🔴The economy continues to grow - there are no plans to change the current policy
🔴The consequences of the conflict in the Middle East remain uncertain
🔴Progress in reducing inflation (including due to tariffs) is expected to become noticeable by mid-year
🔴If inflation does not slow down, there is no talk of reducing the rate
🔴The impact of rising energy prices remains questionable
❗️Bottom line: basic scenario - everything is stable... but the level of uncertainty is still high.
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🥇 While institutional investors began to exit gold, retail investors bought gold through ETFs, pouring in a record $70 billion in the second half of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026.
Selling by institutional players started in mid-November and intensified significantly after the January correction in the precious metals market.
BIS explained the fall in prices by overheating of positions - small speculators accumulated an excessive number of long positions with high leverage.
The subsequent margin calls and liquidations of overleveraged funds caused a domino effect.
Over the past two days, gold has corrected by almost 10%, approaching $4,500.
A similar situation is observed with silver, as well as other metals.
Selling by institutional players started in mid-November and intensified significantly after the January correction in the precious metals market.
BIS explained the fall in prices by overheating of positions - small speculators accumulated an excessive number of long positions with high leverage.
The subsequent margin calls and liquidations of overleveraged funds caused a domino effect.
Over the past two days, gold has corrected by almost 10%, approaching $4,500.
A similar situation is observed with silver, as well as other metals.
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🟠 According to CryptoQuant, the BTC price is slightly above the Realized Price level, and historically, the market has often bottomed at these levels in previous cycles.
The share of coins at a loss has already reached 40%.
Similar levels were observed in 2019 and 2022, just before the rise began.
The share of coins at a loss has already reached 40%.
Similar levels were observed in 2019 and 2022, just before the rise began.
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😱There will be no rate reductions for more than a year
Analysts expect the next decline will not be until September 2027 at the earliest.
But everything could change in the next couple of months, when Kevin Warsh heads the Fed and Trump and Trump begin to reduce the rate by several percent at once
Analysts expect the next decline will not be until September 2027 at the earliest.
But everything could change in the next couple of months, when Kevin Warsh heads the Fed and Trump and Trump begin to reduce the rate by several percent at once
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📈🧠 A trader turned $450 into $12,420 on Polymarket by trading the weather through math rather than gut feeling.
The bot analyzes the forecast, finds the discrepancy in price, calculates the optimal position size using the Kelly formula and enters only when a mathematical advantage actually exists.
The bot analyzes the forecast, finds the discrepancy in price, calculates the optimal position size using the Kelly formula and enters only when a mathematical advantage actually exists.
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🧱BTC reached historical lows against gold
Cointelegraph analysts note that the technical indicators RSI and MACD indicate a possible reversal of the trend. In the past, such signals have led to significant increases in BTC compared to gold, reaching 280-620%.
The current phase of decline has been ongoing for 13 months, which is consistent with the trends of previous years.
Cointelegraph analysts note that the technical indicators RSI and MACD indicate a possible reversal of the trend. In the past, such signals have led to significant increases in BTC compared to gold, reaching 280-620%.
The current phase of decline has been ongoing for 13 months, which is consistent with the trends of previous years.
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