❗️An interesting point - over the last 7 days, more BTC shorts have been liquidated than longs.

Despite the fact that most of my profitable trades lately are shorts.

🐻The bear market is cooling down

In the near future, we can assume that Bitcoin will fluctuate in the range of $60k–$80k.

The structure of 2022 is partially repeated:
🔴A decrease of approximately 52% from ATH - already happened
🔴The stabilization phase is happening now
🔴The final capitulation may be very soon

Key levels to watch:
$57k–$60k – support zone
$85k–$88k – resistance zone
$44k–$50k is the main bear market level.

🤔Is Bitcoin close to the bottom of the bear market?

According to Bloomberg, several key indicators point to severe undervaluation of BTC.

On the Rainbow Chart, Bitcoin is at the bottom of the sell-off zone, where the market bottom formed in past cycles.

☕️ The market grows on threats to Iran

Trump announced a large-scale bombing of Iranian military targets on Kharg Island and threatened attacks on oil infrastructure if Tehran tries to close the Strait of Hormuz.

Against the background of statements, the market flies up:
Bitcoin took $74k, Ethereum stormed $2,300, liquidation of shorts - $300 million per day. 🚀

🟠 BTC only needs to rise by 4% to liquidate $2,000,000,000 worth of SHORT positions

🟠 7 consecutive daily green candles for Bitcoin.

The last time this happened was just after the bottom in April 2025.

😁Trump proposed holding an emergency meeting of the Federal Reserve to immediately lower interest rates.

He also called on China and Japan to participate in resolving the situation in the Strait of Hormuz.

😱Bitcoin forecasts for 2026:

$150,000 – Standard Chartered
$170,000 - JPMorgan
$180,000 - Brad Garlinghouse (CEO of Ripple)
$200,000 - Tom Lee
$200,000+ - Arthur Hayes
$250,000 – Robert Kiyosaki

🚀 Ash Crypto: Capital rotation has finally begun.

For the first 16 days of March:

Gold fell by -7.28%

Bitcoin rose +16.60%

🪙 This is the same rebound in BTC that I was talking about

BTC has left the red box, now let's see if we can test $78k.

We are still in a bear market, and so far nothing has changed🐻

🤔The Fed rate was expectedly left unchanged - at 3.75%

The main points of Jerome Powell's speech:

🔴The economy continues to grow - there are no plans to change the current policy
🔴The consequences of the conflict in the Middle East remain uncertain
🔴Progress in reducing inflation (including due to tariffs) is expected to become noticeable by mid-year
🔴If inflation does not slow down, there is no talk of reducing the rate
🔴The impact of rising energy prices remains questionable

❗️Bottom line: basic scenario - everything is stable... but the level of uncertainty is still high.

🪙 The rebound happened exactly as expected👌

Now we're moving down 📉

🥇 While institutional investors began to exit gold, retail investors bought gold through ETFs, pouring in a record $70 billion in the second half of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026.

Selling by institutional players started in mid-November and intensified significantly after the January correction in the precious metals market.

BIS explained the fall in prices by overheating of positions - small speculators accumulated an excessive number of long positions with high leverage.

The subsequent margin calls and liquidations of overleveraged funds caused a domino effect.

Over the past two days, gold has corrected by almost 10%, approaching $4,500.

A similar situation is observed with silver, as well as other metals.

🗺BTC and ETH liquidation map

Now traders are actively opening short positions.

▶If BTC surges to $77,500, liquidations could reach $5.8 billion

▶If ETH rises to $2400, the amount of liquidations will be $4.2 billion

🇺🇸 The US M2 money supply reached a record high of $22.45 trillion.

The cryptocurrency market often reacts to changes in liquidity.

🟠 According to CryptoQuant, the BTC price is slightly above the Realized Price level, and historically, the market has often bottomed at these levels in previous cycles.

The share of coins at a loss has already reached 40%.

Similar levels were observed in 2019 and 2022, just before the rise began.

😱There will be no rate reductions for more than a year

Analysts expect the next decline will not be until September 2027 at the earliest.

But everything could change in the next couple of months, when Kevin Warsh heads the Fed and Trump and Trump begin to reduce the rate by several percent at once

🪙BTC is forming an ascending wedge and is already on the verge of breaking down

The goal is below 50k$😭

🎰 James Wynn stepped up and opened a short position on BTC using referral bonuses.

The liquidation price is $71,112.