🐻Fonda is pulling crypto down

Since the opening of the trading session in the United States, the stock market has lost almost 1 trillion, and the crypto market began to fall after it:

BTC again fell below 70k, ETH flies to $2k

It is noteworthy that the fund does not particularly drag crypto upwards, only downwards😅

🛢 Why should you monitor the price of oil?

Whatever the case, BTC will largely depend on the behavior of the oil price.

As long as oil is below 90-95, BTC can rise. But if oil rises, it could have a negative impact on the cue ball.

Brief summary:
▪️If oil breaks through and stays above 94-100, the likelihood of a correction on BTC increases greatly in the coming weeks/months.
▪️If oil rolls back (~80–90) - this is often a good signal for risk assets and BTC growth.
But the connection is not direct and not always strict - it is rather an indirect dependence through inflation, Fed rates and global liquidity.

“I sold BTC at loys in anticipation of 40-50k, poured into gold at highs, and flew into oil at 120 in a panic as a hedge.”

🐰 Activity of large investors with XRP

According to CryptoQuant, large investors have significantly increased their XRP transactions, which is especially noticeable on major exchanges. There are approximately 450 million XRP registered on Binance in the last 10 days.

🩸 Dubai Real Estate Index

Since the beginning of the war in Iran, the collapse has exceeded 30% and it’s not over yet

Those who wanted to shop in Dubki got discounts (but it’s not a fact that the whole house will remain) 😏

🪙BTC, meanwhile, touched 74k and rolled back below 72k.

🎇Trump: We are being polite towards Iran. I can destroy them within the next hour.

The US President emphasized that the country has the ability to inflict such strikes from which Iran will never recover.

👁TOTAL — локальный обзор

In terms of overall market capitalization, there was a re-sweep and a sharp downward reaction.

Below, liquidity remains relevant, so I will watch the closing of the daily candle, and then the weekly one.

If we close within the sideways range, then next week or on the weekend we will get a downward price reaction.

🎩Jim Cramer believes that the current market situation is oversold, and begins buying shares.

🪙BTC - global review

Some people think that if the Stoch RSI bottomed and made a bullish crossover, then the bottom has already been formed in $BTC.

But this is just complacency - many ignore the fact that the Stoch RSI can remain at the bottom for months before the market actually forms the final bottom of a bearish cycle😏

❗️An interesting point - over the last 7 days, more BTC shorts have been liquidated than longs.

Despite the fact that most of my profitable trades lately are shorts.

🐻The bear market is cooling down

In the near future, we can assume that Bitcoin will fluctuate in the range of $60k–$80k.

The structure of 2022 is partially repeated:
🔴A decrease of approximately 52% from ATH - already happened
🔴The stabilization phase is happening now
🔴The final capitulation may be very soon

Key levels to watch:
$57k–$60k – support zone
$85k–$88k – resistance zone
$44k–$50k is the main bear market level.

🤔Is Bitcoin close to the bottom of the bear market?

According to Bloomberg, several key indicators point to severe undervaluation of BTC.

On the Rainbow Chart, Bitcoin is at the bottom of the sell-off zone, where the market bottom formed in past cycles.

☕️ The market grows on threats to Iran

Trump announced a large-scale bombing of Iranian military targets on Kharg Island and threatened attacks on oil infrastructure if Tehran tries to close the Strait of Hormuz.

Against the background of statements, the market flies up:
Bitcoin took $74k, Ethereum stormed $2,300, liquidation of shorts - $300 million per day. 🚀

🟠 BTC only needs to rise by 4% to liquidate $2,000,000,000 worth of SHORT positions

🟠 7 consecutive daily green candles for Bitcoin.

The last time this happened was just after the bottom in April 2025.

😁Trump proposed holding an emergency meeting of the Federal Reserve to immediately lower interest rates.

He also called on China and Japan to participate in resolving the situation in the Strait of Hormuz.