Crypto Profit
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learning how to make money with cryptocurrency

Contact: @suppermila
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🫑 Over the last week, more than $2,150,000,000 LONG positions were liquidated.
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πŸ“ŠA visual comparison of the profitability of BTC, funds and precious metals since the beginning of the conflict in Iran.

BTC > fund, precious metals
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πŸ’° Claude turned $1000 into $98,000 on 3-cent bets - the user repeated the success.

A user asked Claude a simple question: β€œI have $1000. Where should I invest them for 30 days?”

What Claude replied:
β€” Find a prediction market bot on GitHub that buys events for up to 3 cents.
β€” Start with $1000 for 30 days.
β€” Most bets will be lost, but winning ones give up to 500x.

The user found a real example - the planktonXD account:

Β· Joined February 2025
Β· Placed 72,533 bets
Β· Starting capital: a little more than $1000
Β· Current profit: $98,241.
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😎 BTC > 71k$
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πŸ“Š Financial flows of crypto-ETFs for yesterday:

β€’ BTC = +$167,030,000
β€’ ETH = -$51,320,000
β€’ SOL = -$2,480,000
β€’ XRP = -$18,110,000
β€’ LINK = +$2,000,000
β€’ LTC, AVAX, HBAR, DOGE, DOT = $0
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βœ…ETH resistance tested
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🟠 In 2026, Bitcoin is the worst performer among various asset classes.
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πŸ‘€The likelihood of Trump's impeachment is breaking records

Prediction markets are betting that Donnie will face impeachment proceedings before 2028

On Kalshi, the probability increased to 71% - this is a historical maximum for this market

The collapse of the Trump empire is getting closer and closer, this will be a strong signal for the markets😊
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πŸ§ βš”οΈ Someone released two AI agents with $1,000 each and 48 hours to trade on Polymarket.

Claude: +1,322%, up to $14,216

OpenClaw: Eliminated to zero in less than 48 hours.
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🟠 BlackRock ETF bought BTC at $153,490,000.
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πŸ”½ Pavel Durov's fortune has decreased almost threefold.

β€’ According to updated data, the capital of the Telegram founder decreased from $17.1 billion to $6.6 billion.

β€’ This is due to the deterioration of the market situation and the revaluation of the value of Telegram against the background of the financial results of competitors.

β€’ Additional pressure on the valuation was exerted by Pavel Durov’s financial obligations - on March 22, the entrepreneur will have to repay the balance on the first issue bonds in the amount of about $1.1 billion.
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🟠 According to Glassnode, nearly 600,000 BTC worth $40 billion were purchased in the $60,000-$70,000 price range during the latest correction, which was one of the major support levels.
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πŸ€”Since February 5, BTC has been forming HL (consistently increasing minimums)

If further growth is considered, 71800 needs to be turned into support. So far, this is resistance.
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🀯 Ash Crypto: This is just absurd.

The Pentagon has revealed data: the war with Iran cost the United States $11.3 billion in the first 6 days.

Reminder: DOGE (Department of Government Effectiveness) saved $1 billion per day.

Now the government is spending $1,000,000,000a day on a new war.
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πŸ€”What really moves the market?

The headlines can be loud: wars, oil, recessions, crises.
They frighten those who do not understand the rules of the game.

But the essence is simple - the market seeks to take money from the majority.

Main macro-alpha: everything is driven by debt.
And liquidity is the servicing and expansion of these debts.

Therefore, all assets follow liquidity.

Especially cryptocurrency - it is most sensitive to the influx of money, primarily to US liquidity.

Almost all strong growth coincided with its increase, and large corrections coincided with the withdrawal of liquidity.
The correlation is not perfect, but close to ~90%.

Geopolitics, wars or oil can influence the market at the moment,
but in the long term the price always returns to liquidity.

The historical formula is simple:

Debt grows β†’ liquidity grows β†’ assets grow (including crypto).

The main question is: will US liquidity continue to grow?

More about this in the next post πŸ‘‡
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πŸ₯‡Gold is the main indicator of future liquidity

Historically, it outpaces liquidity growth by 3–8 months.
The screenshot I showed demonstrates this well.

Each sharp rise in gold was a harbinger of an influx of liquidity into the US system.
After the metal’s growth stopped, a strong injection of liquidity usually began.

We are currently witnessing one of the strongest gold rallies in recent years.

This increases the likelihood that new historical highs in American liquidity are ahead.

We have already left QT and actually moved to QE lite.

At the same time, rising oil prices push up US bond yields, which creates pressure on the system.
Let’s not forget that in 2026, ~$8 trillion of debt will be refinanced.

Therefore, the strategy is simple: accumulate cache.

❗️In the long term, I am very optimistic about the market.
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πŸͺ™Bloomberg senior strategist again predicts that Bitcoin price could fall to $10,000

He argues that the cryptocurrency market continues to be in a long-term macroeconomic correction.

As institutional investment increases, Bitcoin becomes increasingly correlated with other risk assets, and if the markets are significantly overvalued, the cryptocurrency could come under pressure.
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🐻Fonda is pulling crypto down

Since the opening of the trading session in the United States, the stock market has lost almost 1 trillion, and the crypto market began to fall after it:

BTC again fell below 70k, ETH flies to $2k

It is noteworthy that the fund does not particularly drag crypto upwards, only downwardsπŸ˜…
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πŸ›’ Why should you monitor the price of oil?

Whatever the case, BTC will largely depend on the behavior of the oil price.

As long as oil is below 90-95, BTC can rise. But if oil rises, it could have a negative impact on the cue ball.

Brief summary:
β–ͺ️If oil breaks through and stays above 94-100, the likelihood of a correction on BTC increases greatly in the coming weeks/months.
β–ͺ️If oil rolls back (~80–90) - this is often a good signal for risk assets and BTC growth.
But the connection is not direct and not always strict - it is rather an indirect dependence through inflation, Fed rates and global liquidity.
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