⚰️ The problem of “dead blockchains”
Many networks that were supposed to beEther killers have attracted about $2.6 billion in investment, but today generate only $65,000 in commissions per week. There is practically no economic activity there.
Why is this happening? Because few people need “super-fast and new” blockchains. Their goal seems to be only to bring the native coin to the exchanges and sell it at a higher price, after which the price drops by 99% 😂.
The launch of L2 Base from Coinbase is clear - they have their own user base and the American market. Why pay others if you can launch your own blockchain? The remaining “optimized copies of Ether” have no prospects. Even L2 on Ether will probably disappear soon, as Vitalik openly says.
So these are the thoughts 🧠
Many networks that were supposed to be
Why is this happening? Because few people need “super-fast and new” blockchains. Their goal seems to be only to bring the native coin to the exchanges and sell it at a higher price, after which the price drops by 99% 😂.
The launch of L2 Base from Coinbase is clear - they have their own user base and the American market. Why pay others if you can launch your own blockchain? The remaining “optimized copies of Ether” have no prospects. Even L2 on Ether will probably disappear soon, as Vitalik openly says.
So these are the thoughts 🧠
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🐻Oil pumps liquidity out of crypto
At night, at the opening of trading, oil soared by 20% - the most since the summer of 2022. Against this background, gasoline prices in the United States may double in price, which will lead to the collapse of the Republicans in the elections in the fall
The sharp rise from $90 to $115 led to FOMO and a transfer of liquidity from other assets such as precious metals, stocks and crypto:
🔴Gold fell by almost 3% overnight
🔴Silver fell 5.6%
🔴S&P500 lost 2.3% in price
🔴BTC immediately fell to $65.5k
🔴ETN touched $1900
But only yesterday Donnie promised that oil would rise slowly and then collapse sharply, but after a few hours everything turned out the other way around😅
At night, at the opening of trading, oil soared by 20% - the most since the summer of 2022. Against this background, gasoline prices in the United States may double in price, which will lead to the collapse of the Republicans in the elections in the fall
The sharp rise from $90 to $115 led to FOMO and a transfer of liquidity from other assets such as precious metals, stocks and crypto:
🔴Gold fell by almost 3% overnight
🔴Silver fell 5.6%
🔴S&P500 lost 2.3% in price
🔴BTC immediately fell to $65.5k
🔴ETN touched $1900
But only yesterday Donnie promised that oil would rise slowly and then collapse sharply, but after a few hours everything turned out the other way around😅
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💰 Claude turned $1000 into $98,000 on 3-cent bets - the user repeated the success.
A user asked Claude a simple question: “I have $1000. Where should I invest them for 30 days?”
What Claude replied:
— Find a prediction market bot on GitHub that buys events for up to 3 cents.
— Start with $1000 for 30 days.
— Most bets will be lost, but winning ones give up to 500x.
The user found a real example - the planktonXD account:
· Joined February 2025
· Placed 72,533 bets
· Starting capital: a little more than $1000
· Current profit: $98,241.
A user asked Claude a simple question: “I have $1000. Where should I invest them for 30 days?”
What Claude replied:
— Find a prediction market bot on GitHub that buys events for up to 3 cents.
— Start with $1000 for 30 days.
— Most bets will be lost, but winning ones give up to 500x.
The user found a real example - the planktonXD account:
· Joined February 2025
· Placed 72,533 bets
· Starting capital: a little more than $1000
· Current profit: $98,241.
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👀The likelihood of Trump's impeachment is breaking records
Prediction markets are betting that Donnie will face impeachment proceedings before 2028
On Kalshi, the probability increased to 71% - this is a historical maximum for this market
The collapse of the Trump empire is getting closer and closer, this will be a strong signal for the markets😊
Prediction markets are betting that Donnie will face impeachment proceedings before 2028
On Kalshi, the probability increased to 71% - this is a historical maximum for this market
The collapse of the Trump empire is getting closer and closer, this will be a strong signal for the markets😊
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🧠⚔️ Someone released two AI agents with $1,000 each and 48 hours to trade on Polymarket.
Claude: +1,322%, up to $14,216
OpenClaw: Eliminated to zero in less than 48 hours.
Claude: +1,322%, up to $14,216
OpenClaw: Eliminated to zero in less than 48 hours.
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🔽 Pavel Durov's fortune has decreased almost threefold.
• According to updated data, the capital of the Telegram founder decreased from $17.1 billion to $6.6 billion.
• This is due to the deterioration of the market situation and the revaluation of the value of Telegram against the background of the financial results of competitors.
• Additional pressure on the valuation was exerted by Pavel Durov’s financial obligations - on March 22, the entrepreneur will have to repay the balance on the first issue bonds in the amount of about $1.1 billion.
• According to updated data, the capital of the Telegram founder decreased from $17.1 billion to $6.6 billion.
• This is due to the deterioration of the market situation and the revaluation of the value of Telegram against the background of the financial results of competitors.
• Additional pressure on the valuation was exerted by Pavel Durov’s financial obligations - on March 22, the entrepreneur will have to repay the balance on the first issue bonds in the amount of about $1.1 billion.
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🤯 Ash Crypto: This is just absurd.
The Pentagon has revealed data: the war with Iran cost the United States $11.3 billion in the first 6 days.
Reminder: DOGE (Department of Government Effectiveness) saved $1 billion per day.
Now the government is spending $1,000,000,000a day on a new war.
The Pentagon has revealed data: the war with Iran cost the United States $11.3 billion in the first 6 days.
Reminder: DOGE (Department of Government Effectiveness) saved $1 billion per day.
Now the government is spending $1,000,000,000a day on a new war.
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🤔What really moves the market?
The headlines can be loud: wars, oil, recessions, crises.
They frighten those who do not understand the rules of the game.
But the essence is simple - the market seeks to take money from the majority.
Main macro-alpha: everything is driven by debt.
And liquidity is the servicing and expansion of these debts.
Therefore, all assets follow liquidity.
Especially cryptocurrency - it is most sensitive to the influx of money, primarily to US liquidity.
Almost all strong growth coincided with its increase, and large corrections coincided with the withdrawal of liquidity.
The correlation is not perfect, but close to ~90%.
Geopolitics, wars or oil can influence the market at the moment,
but in the long term the price always returns to liquidity.
The historical formula is simple:
Debt grows → liquidity grows → assets grow (including crypto).
The main question is: will US liquidity continue to grow?
More about this in the next post 👇
The headlines can be loud: wars, oil, recessions, crises.
They frighten those who do not understand the rules of the game.
But the essence is simple - the market seeks to take money from the majority.
Main macro-alpha: everything is driven by debt.
And liquidity is the servicing and expansion of these debts.
Therefore, all assets follow liquidity.
Especially cryptocurrency - it is most sensitive to the influx of money, primarily to US liquidity.
Almost all strong growth coincided with its increase, and large corrections coincided with the withdrawal of liquidity.
The correlation is not perfect, but close to ~90%.
Geopolitics, wars or oil can influence the market at the moment,
but in the long term the price always returns to liquidity.
The historical formula is simple:
Debt grows → liquidity grows → assets grow (including crypto).
The main question is: will US liquidity continue to grow?
More about this in the next post 👇
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