❌The Fed will NOT cut rates in March
The likelihood that the Fed will not cut interest rates has increased to 95.5% amid missile attacks between the US and Iran.
In this situation, investors invest less in risky assets such as crypto and more often hold money in dollars and bonds.
Therefore, this is bad for the crypt, because it will be more difficult for it to grow.
The likelihood that the Fed will not cut interest rates has increased to 95.5% amid missile attacks between the US and Iran.
In this situation, investors invest less in risky assets such as crypto and more often hold money in dollars and bonds.
Therefore, this is bad for the crypt, because it will be more difficult for it to grow.
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🏎Institutional Investors Accelerate Bitcoin Integration
🔴 60% of the largest US banks are developing products using BTC
🔴 90% of the top 50 RIAs according to Barron’s have already included BTC in their portfolios
🔴 52% of the top 25 hedge funds have also integrated BTC into their investment strategies
🔴 60% of the largest US banks are developing products using BTC
🔴 90% of the top 50 RIAs according to Barron’s have already included BTC in their portfolios
🔴 52% of the top 25 hedge funds have also integrated BTC into their investment strategies
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🚀 VanEck CEO Jan van Eck believes Bitcoin is on the verge of a reversal.
The main factor behind this is the four-year halving cycle: for three years Bitcoin shows growth, and in the fourth year there is a significant correction. 2026 exactly corresponds to this “fourth year”.
In addition, van Eck notes that in conditions of geopolitical instability, cryptocurrency is becoming a means for transferring funds outside the banking system, especially in regions with developed crypto infrastructure, such as the UAE.
The main factor behind this is the four-year halving cycle: for three years Bitcoin shows growth, and in the fourth year there is a significant correction. 2026 exactly corresponds to this “fourth year”.
In addition, van Eck notes that in conditions of geopolitical instability, cryptocurrency is becoming a means for transferring funds outside the banking system, especially in regions with developed crypto infrastructure, such as the UAE.
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🟠The last three military conflicts demonstrated a similar reaction of the Bitcoin market
At first, due to the news, there is a sharp decline, and then the price recovers and starts growing within a month.
Russia-Ukraine conflict (2022): growth from ~$34.3k to ~$47k per month.
Israel-Hamas conflict (2023): increase from ~$26.5k to ~$35k.
Iran–Israel conflict (2025): increase from ~$99k to ~$126k.
The growth a month after the start of the escalation was approximately 19–21%.
If this pattern repeats, the $78-80k range over 3-4 weeks looks statistically sound.
At first, due to the news, there is a sharp decline, and then the price recovers and starts growing within a month.
Russia-Ukraine conflict (2022): growth from ~$34.3k to ~$47k per month.
Israel-Hamas conflict (2023): increase from ~$26.5k to ~$35k.
Iran–Israel conflict (2025): increase from ~$99k to ~$126k.
The growth a month after the start of the escalation was approximately 19–21%.
If this pattern repeats, the $78-80k range over 3-4 weeks looks statistically sound.
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📊 According to CryptoQuant, about 38% of altcoins are now near their historical lows.
Market conditions are still not in favor of risky assets: capital is flowing into stocks and commodities, increasing selling pressure on the altcoin market.
The share of altcoins trading at their lowest levels in history reached 38% - this is the deepest drawdown within the current cycle.
For comparison, in April 2025 the figure was at 35%, and immediately after the FTX collapse it was 37.8%.
Market conditions are still not in favor of risky assets: capital is flowing into stocks and commodities, increasing selling pressure on the altcoin market.
The share of altcoins trading at their lowest levels in history reached 38% - this is the deepest drawdown within the current cycle.
For comparison, in April 2025 the figure was at 35%, and immediately after the FTX collapse it was 37.8%.
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🫡How the latest Binance launch pools performed
Almost all projects after launch sank by 70–95% from their peaks. The only token that is holding up better than the others so far is KITE.
However, many teams still allocate more tokens to launch pools than to airdrops for their own users. Although in fact now both of them are simply pouring tokens into the glass en masse 😁
Almost all projects after launch sank by 70–95% from their peaks. The only token that is holding up better than the others so far is KITE.
However, many teams still allocate more tokens to launch pools than to airdrops for their own users. Although in fact now both of them are simply pouring tokens into the glass en masse 😁
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⚡️Iran strikes at the global Internet - Amazon AWS data centers in the Middle East were hit
On March 1, Iran attacked an AWS data center in Dubai; on March 2-3, it hit data centers in Bahrain and the UAE; two facilities in the UAE were directly hit by drones. In Bahrain, the strike indirectly damaged and disabled the facility.
In the Middle East there are now massive bank failures, data loss, delivery difficulties, which affects everyone. Amazon transfers power to other servers, causing the load to increase and the transfer speed to drop.
So now, in order to disable the entire global Internet, it is enough to physically destroy key data centers😳
On March 1, Iran attacked an AWS data center in Dubai; on March 2-3, it hit data centers in Bahrain and the UAE; two facilities in the UAE were directly hit by drones. In Bahrain, the strike indirectly damaged and disabled the facility.
In the Middle East there are now massive bank failures, data loss, delivery difficulties, which affects everyone. Amazon transfers power to other servers, causing the load to increase and the transfer speed to drop.
So now, in order to disable the entire global Internet, it is enough to physically destroy key data centers😳
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