Conflict Intelligence Team (en)
Volunteer Mobilization brief Jan 24–25: Putin is considering mobilizing another 200K men; in Izhevsk, more than 4,5K residents have petitioned against drone production; the number of soldiers killed in Makiivka exceeds the official number of 89 claimed by…
Volunteer Mobilization brief Jan 25–26:
According to the AFU, a new wave of mobilization in Russia will start end of February, the Ministry of Health offers doctors to undergo additional training in military medicine, age limits of conscripts will stay the same during the spring conscription.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-jan-25-26
According to the AFU, a new wave of mobilization in Russia will start end of February, the Ministry of Health offers doctors to undergo additional training in military medicine, age limits of conscripts will stay the same during the spring conscription.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-jan-25-26
Teletype
Mobilization in Russia for Jan. 25-26, 2023 CIT volunteer summary
Mikhail Sheremet, a member of State Duma [the lower house of Russia’s legislative assembly] from the Crimea region, offered to change...
Sitrep for January 26–27:
– the strategic importance of Vuhledar;
– Lockheed Martin intends to increase production of the F-16 aircraft to backfill the needs;
– successful tests of Ukrainian 22S2 Bohdana 155mm wheeled self-propelled howitzer.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-jan-26-27
– the strategic importance of Vuhledar;
– Lockheed Martin intends to increase production of the F-16 aircraft to backfill the needs;
– successful tests of Ukrainian 22S2 Bohdana 155mm wheeled self-propelled howitzer.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-jan-26-27
Teletype
Sitrep for January 26-27 (as of 2:00 p.m.)
The heaviest fighting is still going on in the Svatove and Kreminna directions, but there is still no progress there.
Volunteer Mobilization brief Jan 26–27:
Mobilize soldiers were taken to a forest line and forced to sign contracts; the deaths of 823 have been confirmed; schools near Bryansk were instructed to prepare for the accommodation of troops.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-jan-26-27
Mobilize soldiers were taken to a forest line and forced to sign contracts; the deaths of 823 have been confirmed; schools near Bryansk were instructed to prepare for the accommodation of troops.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-jan-26-27
Teletype
Mobilization in Russia for Jan. 26–27, 2023 CIT volunteer summary
Instead of destroying the confiscated clothes and shoes, the Russian government proposes to hand them over to the Ministry of Defense...
Sitrep for January 27–28:
– Video showing Vuhledar landscape that looks almost like a lunar one;
– Russian forces attacked Kostiantynivka in the Donetsk region;
– The US imposed sanctions on a Chinese company that sold satellite radar images to the Wagner Group.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-jan-27-28
– Video showing Vuhledar landscape that looks almost like a lunar one;
– Russian forces attacked Kostiantynivka in the Donetsk region;
– The US imposed sanctions on a Chinese company that sold satellite radar images to the Wagner Group.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-jan-27-28
Teletype
Sitrep for January 27-28 (as of 2:00 p.m.)
The most intense combat activities are still going on in the Vuhledar direction. The 40th and 155th Naval Infantry Brigades of the RuAF...
Volunteer Mobilization brief Jan 27–28:
State Duma continues working on 20 new bills on draft deferral eligibility; mobilized soldiers have to sign a document to confirm their support of the “special military operation”; 700 mln rubles allocated for supporting participants of the war in Ukraine.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-jan-27-28
State Duma continues working on 20 new bills on draft deferral eligibility; mobilized soldiers have to sign a document to confirm their support of the “special military operation”; 700 mln rubles allocated for supporting participants of the war in Ukraine.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-jan-27-28
Teletype
Mobilization in Russia for Jan. 27–28, 2023, CIT volunteer summary
The Russian State Duma [lower house of the Federal Assembly] continues working on twenty new bills on draft deferral eligibility. Head...
Volunteer Mobilization brief Jan 28–29:
Residents of the Pskov region are offered to go to the war; mobilized soldiers have got Batman style balaclavas; students of a boarding school in the Kemerovo region are made to assist the families of the mobilized.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-jan-28-29
Residents of the Pskov region are offered to go to the war; mobilized soldiers have got Batman style balaclavas; students of a boarding school in the Kemerovo region are made to assist the families of the mobilized.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-jan-28-29
Teletype
Mobilization in Russia for Jan. 28–29, 2023, CIT volunteer summary
Ombudsman of Tatarstan [Russia’s constituent republic] Saria Saburskaya is seeking to prevent individuals drafted as part of partial...
Sitrep for January 28–30:
– The Wagner Group announced on Jan. 28 that it had captured Blahodatne;
– On the evening of Jan. 29, Russian forces attacked Kharkiv;
– Ukrainian forces hit a railway bridge in Starobohdanivka.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-jan-28-30
– The Wagner Group announced on Jan. 28 that it had captured Blahodatne;
– On the evening of Jan. 29, Russian forces attacked Kharkiv;
– Ukrainian forces hit a railway bridge in Starobohdanivka.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-jan-28-30
Teletype
Sitrep for January 28-30 (as of 2:00 p.m.)
The Vuhledar direction, where active fighting continues, is still the most important one; there are a lot of videos filmed by both...
Volunteer Mobilization brief Jan 29–30:
The court sentenced a mobilized man to one year in penal colony; vocational school students are being coerced into signing an informed consent form to “voluntarily” join a boot camp; the prosecution asked for 13 years in a penal colony for filming the arson of a draft office.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-jan-29-30
The court sentenced a mobilized man to one year in penal colony; vocational school students are being coerced into signing an informed consent form to “voluntarily” join a boot camp; the prosecution asked for 13 years in a penal colony for filming the arson of a draft office.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-jan-29-30
Teletype
Mobilization in Russia for Jan. 29–30, 2023 CIT volunteer summary
The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation has offered to supply volunteer fighter units with weapons, military vehicles and...
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Sitrep for January 30–31:
– Supply route from Siversk to Bakhmut is no longer available;
– Russian MoD offered to supply weapons, military vehicles, and technical resources to volunteer regiments;
– Increased fighting continues on the Zaporizhzhia axis.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-jan-30-31
– Supply route from Siversk to Bakhmut is no longer available;
– Russian MoD offered to supply weapons, military vehicles, and technical resources to volunteer regiments;
– Increased fighting continues on the Zaporizhzhia axis.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-jan-30-31
Teletype
Sitrep for January 30-31 (as of 2:00 p.m.)
South of Bakhmut, Russian forces are trying to advance northwest from the captured Klishchiivka towards the highway connecting Bakhmut...
Volunteer Mobilization brief Jan 30–31:
Prosecutor General of Russia reported on more than 9000 illegally mobilized citizens returned home; draft offices in Russia will identify those who want to fight in Ukraine; with no possibility to maintain personal hygiene draftees were infested with lice and itch mites.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-jan-30-31
Prosecutor General of Russia reported on more than 9000 illegally mobilized citizens returned home; draft offices in Russia will identify those who want to fight in Ukraine; with no possibility to maintain personal hygiene draftees were infested with lice and itch mites.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-jan-30-31
Teletype
Mobilization in Russia for Jan. 30–31, 2023, CIT volunteer summary
Vladimir Putin has met with Igor Krasnov, Prosecutor General of Russia. Krasnov reported that “because of due diligence efforts more...
Sitrep for January 31 – February 1:
– Vuhledar: the pace of Russian attacks slowed down.
– A new package of military aid from the US to Ukraine, including GLSDBs, and their potential impact;
– First “Terrorist Act” verdict for setting fire to a draft office.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-jan-31-feb-1
– Vuhledar: the pace of Russian attacks slowed down.
– A new package of military aid from the US to Ukraine, including GLSDBs, and their potential impact;
– First “Terrorist Act” verdict for setting fire to a draft office.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-jan-31-feb-1
Teletype
Sitrep for January 31 — February 1 (as of 2:00 p.m.)
In the Svatove direction, despite the absence of significant changes, OSINT analyst Def Mon noted that the line of contact is now...
Volunteer Mobilization brief Jan 30 – Feb 1:
The Saint Petersburg State University announced the check-up of military service register data of staff several months earlier than usual; a military commissar is suspected of providing illegal deferrals; Mongolia is ready to accept Russians fleeing mobilization.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-jan-31-feb-1
The Saint Petersburg State University announced the check-up of military service register data of staff several months earlier than usual; a military commissar is suspected of providing illegal deferrals; Mongolia is ready to accept Russians fleeing mobilization.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-jan-31-feb-1
Teletype
Mobilization in Russia for Jan. 31 — Feb. 1 CIT volunteer summary
Deputy Prime Minister of Russia Marat Khusnullin stated during the meeting with President Vladimir Putin that the residents of the...
Sitrep for February 1 – 2:
– Intense combat activities are going on in almost every sector of the frontline;
– Kramatorsk was hit twice in two days;
– Wagner Group faced the problem of removing bodies from the front line.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-feb-1-2
– Intense combat activities are going on in almost every sector of the frontline;
– Kramatorsk was hit twice in two days;
– Wagner Group faced the problem of removing bodies from the front line.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-feb-1-2
Teletype
Sitrep for February 1-2 (as of 2:00 p.m.)
Intense combat activities are going on in almost every sector of the frontline, excluding one in the Kherson region, but there are...
Volunteer Mobilization brief Feb 1 – 2:
State Duma members introduced a bill that would give commanders the authority to execute non-judicial disciplinary arrests; Russia’s Ministry of Defense started developing a psychological rehabilitation program for senior officers; soldiers from Chechnya attempted to take weapons from the front.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-feb-1-2
State Duma members introduced a bill that would give commanders the authority to execute non-judicial disciplinary arrests; Russia’s Ministry of Defense started developing a psychological rehabilitation program for senior officers; soldiers from Chechnya attempted to take weapons from the front.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-feb-1-2
Teletype
Mobilization in Russia for Feb. 1–2, 2023 CIT volunteer summary
State Duma [lower house of the Federal Assembly of Russia] members introduced a bill that would give commanders of military units and...
Sitrep for February 2 – 3:
– Fighting intensified on the eastern outskirts of Bakhmut;
– Russian forces shelled Barvenkove in the Kharkiv region;
– A picture of a cat confirmed the presence of the Tochka-U system in the Russian Armed Forces.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-feb-2-3
– Fighting intensified on the eastern outskirts of Bakhmut;
– Russian forces shelled Barvenkove in the Kharkiv region;
– A picture of a cat confirmed the presence of the Tochka-U system in the Russian Armed Forces.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-feb-2-3
Teletype
Sitrep for February 2-3 (as of 2:00 p.m.)
The Wagner Group announced the capture of Mykolaivka (a small village next door to the previously captured Sacco and Vanzetti village)...
Volunteer Mobilization brief Feb 2 – 3:
Deaths of 924 mobilized soldiers confirmed; a State Duma member proposes to mobilize unemployed citizens of Russia; according to the Ministry of Defense, a decree on the end of mobilization may "violate the rights of mobilized men" in the context of payments.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-feb-2-3
Deaths of 924 mobilized soldiers confirmed; a State Duma member proposes to mobilize unemployed citizens of Russia; according to the Ministry of Defense, a decree on the end of mobilization may "violate the rights of mobilized men" in the context of payments.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-feb-2-3
Teletype
Mobilization in Russia for Feb. 2–3, 2023 CIT volunteer summary
State Duma [lower house of the Federal Assembly of Russia] member from the United Russia party [ pro-Putin’s ruling party] Maxim Ivanov...
Sitrep for February 3 – 4:
– DoD announced a new package of security assistance;
– We make our estimates of RU AF casualties:
– We do not expect Bakhmut to be surrounded in the coming days.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-feb-3-4
– DoD announced a new package of security assistance;
– We make our estimates of RU AF casualties:
– We do not expect Bakhmut to be surrounded in the coming days.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-feb-3-4
Teletype
Sitrep for February 3-4 (as of 11:30 a.m.)
We cannot predict where a new offensive may begin and whether Russia has enough forces for this. We could analyze additional reserves...
Volunteer Mobilization brief Feb 3 – 4:
The government of the Stavropol region refuses to recognize draft deferrals for fathers of three; state-owned outpatient clinics in Moscow have been registering the receipt of draft notices in the patients’ medical records; State Duma member went to the war but changed his mind half way through.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-feb-3-4
The government of the Stavropol region refuses to recognize draft deferrals for fathers of three; state-owned outpatient clinics in Moscow have been registering the receipt of draft notices in the patients’ medical records; State Duma member went to the war but changed his mind half way through.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-feb-3-4
Teletype
Mobilization in Russia for Feb. 3–4, 2023, CIT volunteer summary
Military servicemen intending to enter a military university will be able to apply for participation in the Unified State Exam in the...
Volunteer Mobilization brief Feb 4 – 5:
Members of Penza regional Legislative Assembly propose to toughen the punishment for evading conscription for military service; six mobilized men fled in the Voronezh region; medical students from Kazan are being prepared for missions in Donbas.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-feb-4-5
Members of Penza regional Legislative Assembly propose to toughen the punishment for evading conscription for military service; six mobilized men fled in the Voronezh region; medical students from Kazan are being prepared for missions in Donbas.
https://notes.citeam.org/mobi-feb-4-5
Teletype
Mobilization in Russia for Feb. 4–5, 2023, CIT volunteer summary
Head of North Ossetia [constituent Russia’s republic] Sergei Menyailo had got under shelling in the occupied part of the Zaporizhzhia...
Sitrep for February 4 – 6:
– The incident with the potential of becoming “a second Makiivka”;
– @FinancialTimes: adviser to Ukrainian military says Russia may launch a large attack within 10 days;
– Pro-Russian forces progressed in the northern part of Bakhmut.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-feb-4-6
– The incident with the potential of becoming “a second Makiivka”;
– @FinancialTimes: adviser to Ukrainian military says Russia may launch a large attack within 10 days;
– Pro-Russian forces progressed in the northern part of Bakhmut.
https://notes.citeam.org/dispatch-feb-4-6
Teletype
Sitrep for February 4-6 (as of 3:00 p.m.)
In the previous sitrep, while talking about the strike on the residential building in Kramatorsk, we questioned the presence of any...
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