📎 OSINTdefender
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
Considering that today's oil crisis is bigger and it affects a lot more commodities than in 1973, the markets may catch on quicker.
@CIG_telegram
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Seven weeks ago, based on the figures from the 12-day war, I estimated that a new large-scale conflict against Iran would cost in the order of $360 billion just in the first three months.
Today, after 40 days of fighting and with a possible ceasefire agreement on the horizon, the numbers suggest that my estimate could be surpassed well before the 90-day mark.
Each day of coalition air operations costs around $1 billion. That alone adds up to approximately $40 billion in operational costs so far.
According to the Payne Institute for Public Policy, the war with Iran is facing a serious crisis due to unsustainable ammunition consumption rates and exorbitant replenishment costs, which have already exceeded $50 billion.
When we look at material losses, the situation becomes even worse. Reports show that several of the 13 American bases struck have become practically uninhabitable.
Housing blocks were destroyed, communication facilities, power plants, and water systems were pulverized. Just the high-complexity radars confirmed as damaged or destroyed by satellite imagery and intelligence reports up to early April already exceed $4 billion.
On top of that, damage to intelligence and command aircraft, such as the two E-3 Sentry and the E-7 Wedgetail, pushes the bill to around $2 billion. When we add losses of KC-135 tankers, C-130, F-15s, F-16s, A-10s, helicopters and drones, the total easily climbs by another $2 billion.
On the Israeli side, although the government tries to downplay the figures, it is estimated that at least two F-35I Adir units suffered severe damage or total loss in attacks on Nevatim base.
When combined with the F-16I Sufa and F-15I Ra’am hit during interception missions, the damage to Israeli aircraft approaches $1 billion.
However, nothing compares to the material and economic destruction inflicted on the region, especially in energy infrastructure and aluminum smelters.
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Patricia Marins (@pati_marins64) on X
A War That Has Already Cost Over $280 Billion and Achieved None of Its Objectives
Seven weeks ago, based on the figures from the 12-day war, I estimated that a new large-scale conflict against Iran would cost in the order of $360 billion just in the first…
Seven weeks ago, based on the figures from the 12-day war, I estimated that a new large-scale conflict against Iran would cost in the order of $360 billion just in the first…
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
Under Secretary of War for Policy Elbridge Colby had a substantive, respectful, and professional meeting with Cardinal Pierre, the then-Papal Nuncio, and his team on January 22, 2026.
During the cordial meeting, they discussed a range of topics, including issues of morality in foreign policy, the logic of the U.S. National Security Strategy, Europe, Africa, Latin America, and other topics.
Cardinal Pierre expressed his appreciation for the outreach and both sides looked forward to continued open and respectful dialogue.
In light of grossly false and distorted recent reporting, the Department of War repeats its statement: Recent reporting of the meeting is highly exaggerated and distorted. The meeting between Pentagon and Vatican officials was a respectful and reasonable discussion. We have nothing but the highest regard and welcome continued dialogue with the Holy See.
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An informed source, in an interview with Fars reporter following up on the negotiation axes, stated: Tehran considers the option of negotiating with Washington off the table until a complete ceasefire is established in Lebanon, and it has strongly asserted this position.
According to this informed source, one of the operational options on the table is keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed. He added: "According to statistics and field monitoring since this morning, it is clear that this strategic maritime route remains closed, and this situation will continue until a full ceasefire with Lebanon is achieved."
It is worth mentioning that following Iran's decisive positions, clear signs of Netanyahu's retreat are becoming evident.
Vitkoff's remarks this afternoon recommending Netanyahu to accept the field realities, as well as Netanyahu's recent statements which, though veiled threats, clearly indicate compliance with the Lebanon ceasefire, are signs of a shift in the American-Zionist stance.
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خبرگزاری فارس
همزمان با بسته ماندن تنگه هرمز؛ نشانههای عقبنشینی نتانیاهو از موضع لجوجانه در قبال لبنان آشکار شد
🔹یک منبع آگاه در گفتوگو با خبرنگار فارس در ادامه پیگیری محورهای مذاکراتی اعلام کرد: تهران تا لحظه برقراری آتشبس کامل در لبنان، گزینه مذاکره با واشنگتن را…
🔹یک منبع آگاه در گفتوگو با خبرنگار فارس در ادامه پیگیری محورهای مذاکراتی اعلام کرد: تهران تا لحظه برقراری آتشبس کامل در لبنان، گزینه مذاکره با واشنگتن را…
Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
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The lies linking me with the disgraceful Jeffrey Epstein need to end today. The individuals lying about me are devoid of ethical standards, humility, and respect.
I do not object to their ignorance, but rather I reject their mean-spirited attempts to defame my reputation.
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Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
Tabz - Alternative Media
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I never been friends with Epstein.
Donald and I were invited to the same parties as Epstein from time to time, since overlapping in social circles is common in New York City and Palm Beach.
To be clear, I never had a relationship with Epstein or his accomplice, Maxwell.
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Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
Tabz - Alternative Media
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My email reply to Maxwell cannot be characterized as anything more than casual correspondence.
My polite reply to her email doesn't amount to anything more than a tribal note.
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I am not Epstein’s victim. Epstein did not introduce me to Donald Trump.
I met my husband by chance at a New York City party in 1998.
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (Doha)
@GeoPWatch
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📢 🇮🇱 🇱🇧 Netanyahu:
There is no ceasefire in Lebanon.
We continue to strike Hezbollah with full force, and we will not stop until we restore your security.
📎 Clash Report
There is no ceasefire in Lebanon.
We continue to strike Hezbollah with full force, and we will not stop until we restore your security.
📎 Clash Report
🇮🇱 ❌️ 🇵🇸 Israel approves record 34 new West Bank settlements
The Israeli cabinet quietly approved the establishment of an unprecedented 34 new settlements in the occupied West Bank in a meeting two weeks ago, according to the Times of Israel and i24 News—the largest single approval of settlements by any cabinet to date.
The decision brings the total number of new settlements established or retroactively legalized by the current government since it took office in 2022 to 103. By comparison, only six new settlements were formally approved by Israel in the three decades following the signing of the Oslo Accords in 1993.
The approval was kept under wraps during the war at the request of the United States according to two officials that spoke to Ynet.
All Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank remain illegal under international law.
📎 Drop Site
The Israeli cabinet quietly approved the establishment of an unprecedented 34 new settlements in the occupied West Bank in a meeting two weeks ago, according to the Times of Israel and i24 News—the largest single approval of settlements by any cabinet to date.
The decision brings the total number of new settlements established or retroactively legalized by the current government since it took office in 2022 to 103. By comparison, only six new settlements were formally approved by Israel in the three decades following the signing of the Oslo Accords in 1993.
The approval was kept under wraps during the war at the request of the United States according to two officials that spoke to Ynet.
All Israeli settlements in the occupied West Bank remain illegal under international law.
📎 Drop Site
🛢 🇸🇦 🇮🇷 Strike on Saudi Arabia’s East–West Pipeline has knocked out ~700,000 barrels per day – about 10% of its 7 million bpd maximum capacity – hitting the kingdom’s only bypass to the Strait of Hormuz.
▫️ Separately, attacks on upstream fields have cut about 600,000 bpd in production — roughly 7.5% of Saudi Arabia’s prewar output (~8 million bpd) and likely to fall primarily on exports, which were running at about 4.2–4.6 million bpd in early April.
🛢️Full Breakdown:
According to the Saudi Press Agency - the kingdom’s official state news outlet - recent attacks have caused widespread damage across the energy sector:
🔸 Pumping station on the East–West Pipeline hit, cutting ~700,000 bpd in throughput
▪️The Petroline had been ramped up to full capacity in mid-March to sustain exports during the Hormuz disruption, far above its typical peacetime flow of 1.2–2 million bpd.
🔸 Upstream production hit:
▪️ Manifa field (major offshore heavy crude source) − ~300,000 bpd
▪️ Khurais field (one of Saudi Arabia’s largest onshore fields) − ~300,000 bpd
🔸 Major refineries hit, operations disrupted:
▪️ SATORP (Jubail) – ~400,000 bpd, one of the world’s largest export refineries
▪️ Ras Tanura – ~550,000 bpd + Saudi Arabia’s main export terminal
▪️ SAMREF (Yanbu) – ~400,000 bpd, key Red Sea export hub
▪️ Riyadh refinery – ~120,000 bpd, central domestic supply
🔸 Gas infrastructure hit:
▪️ Ju’aymah processing and export hub – hit by fires, disrupting LPG and NGL flows from one of the world’s largest facilities — with ~1.1 million bpd NGL processing capacity and LPG exports averaging ~450,000 tons per month, a key supply source for Asian markets
🔸 One worker was killed, seven injured in recent attacks (likely yesterday though unclear)
Saudi officials warned the attacks are tightening global supply, draining inventories, and increasing volatility in oil markets.
📎 Drop Site
▫️ Separately, attacks on upstream fields have cut about 600,000 bpd in production — roughly 7.5% of Saudi Arabia’s prewar output (~8 million bpd) and likely to fall primarily on exports, which were running at about 4.2–4.6 million bpd in early April.
🛢️Full Breakdown:
According to the Saudi Press Agency - the kingdom’s official state news outlet - recent attacks have caused widespread damage across the energy sector:
🔸 Pumping station on the East–West Pipeline hit, cutting ~700,000 bpd in throughput
▪️The Petroline had been ramped up to full capacity in mid-March to sustain exports during the Hormuz disruption, far above its typical peacetime flow of 1.2–2 million bpd.
🔸 Upstream production hit:
▪️ Manifa field (major offshore heavy crude source) − ~300,000 bpd
▪️ Khurais field (one of Saudi Arabia’s largest onshore fields) − ~300,000 bpd
🔸 Major refineries hit, operations disrupted:
▪️ SATORP (Jubail) – ~400,000 bpd, one of the world’s largest export refineries
▪️ Ras Tanura – ~550,000 bpd + Saudi Arabia’s main export terminal
▪️ SAMREF (Yanbu) – ~400,000 bpd, key Red Sea export hub
▪️ Riyadh refinery – ~120,000 bpd, central domestic supply
🔸 Gas infrastructure hit:
▪️ Ju’aymah processing and export hub – hit by fires, disrupting LPG and NGL flows from one of the world’s largest facilities — with ~1.1 million bpd NGL processing capacity and LPG exports averaging ~450,000 tons per month, a key supply source for Asian markets
🔸 One worker was killed, seven injured in recent attacks (likely yesterday though unclear)
Saudi officials warned the attacks are tightening global supply, draining inventories, and increasing volatility in oil markets.
📎 Drop Site
🧵 Thread • FxTwitter
Drop Site (@DropSiteNews)
💢CONFIRMED: Strike on Saudi Arabia’s East–West Pipeline has knocked out ~700,000 barrels per day – about 10% of its 7 million bpd maximum capacity – hitting the kingdom’s only bypass to the Strait of Hormuz.
▫️ Separately, attacks on upstream fields have…
▫️ Separately, attacks on upstream fields have…
📢 🇺🇸 🤬 Trump calls Alex Jones, Tucker Carlson, Candace Owens and Megyn Kelly, "Low IQ... stupid people... nobody cares about them, they’re NUT JOBS, TROUBLEMAKERS."
📎 Disclosetv
📎 Disclosetv
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡️- BREAKING: "There are reports that Iran is charging fees to tankers going through the Hormuz Strait — They better not be and, if they are, they better stop now! President DONALD J. TRUMP"