Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
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The people of Iran—are we going to just leave them there? There's nothing we can do, and we're going to wash our hands over that? That to me is morally very difficult to accept.
What about the proxies, Hezbollah? Hezbollah has killed more Americans than Iran directly. Hezbollah is Iran.
The argument will be, "Well, they don't have control of this and control of that." If they don't have control of this and control of that, how do we even enter into an agreement?
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Middle East Spectator — MES
— So now we know what concessions the U.S. offered Iran: Iran owns the Strait of Hormuz from now on, like Egypt with the Suez Canal.
🌐📝 - Welcome to the Multipolar World, officially.
The world has been trending to this outcome for some time but it can no longer be denied. The United States and Israel have clearly suffered a strategic defeat even if only half of what has been reported is true about the ceasefire.
Welcome to the New World.
https://t.me/medmannews/38210
The world has been trending to this outcome for some time but it can no longer be denied. The United States and Israel have clearly suffered a strategic defeat even if only half of what has been reported is true about the ceasefire.
Welcome to the New World.
https://t.me/medmannews/38210
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Mediterranean Man
Can't sleep, groups of people are unironically celebrating in the street over the news about Iran, honestly, can't blame them.
Tabz - Alternative Media
📝 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 Noah Smith on X: Americans as a whole realize that Israel is not a good ally. 60% is a solid majority, and it's only going to grow. A breakup of some kind is coming.
📎 Noah Smith
📎 Noah Smith
📝 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 Richard Hanania on X: "I’m confused why Trump doesn’t dump Israel at this point. His base would be happy, so would the international community and the MSM. They’re not buying him like the Gulf Arabs. The only MAGAs who like Israel are the cultists who would go in any direction. What ties him to them?"
📎 Richard Hanania
📎 Richard Hanania
X (formerly Twitter)
Richard Hanania (@RichardHanania) on X
I’m confused why Trump doesn’t dump Israel at this point. His base would be happy, so would the international community and the MSM. They’re not buying him like the Gulf Arabs. The only MAGAs who like Israel are the cultists who would go in any direction.…
Addendum: Bibi Says Ceasefire doesn't apply to Lebanon contradicting Pakistan's statement on the ceasefire.
🔗AP
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇮🇷🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- BREAKING: Iran says excluding Lebanon from the ceasefire will lead to renewed fighting, according to Kan news.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇱🇧⚡- "No clear notification yet on ceasefire, Lebanese President Aoun holding contacts to ensure Lebanon included in agreement," - A senior Lebanese official tells Anadolu Agency.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- BREAKING: The IDF issued a warning to Lebanese citizens warning them not to return to their homes, stressing that the ceasefire with Iran does NOT include Lebanon.
Lapid called the deal "a political disaster never seen before in Israel's history".
@CIG_telegram
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The US/Israeli side made the opening move, and did so at time of their choosing. The Iranians will have plenty of recovering and regeneration to do, from digging out missile bases to moving assets around without the threat of air attack. More air defense interceptors aren't going to magically materialize in Israel within two weeks, either.
Another angle is the economic one. Further supply shocks are inevitable and will happen even if the war ends entirely today. Dragging out the conflict by another two weeks will allow some of them to land while costing the Iranians nothing. Markets are likely to react very negatively to the collapse of the ceasefire too.
In light of this it's plausible that this is a genuine capitulation by the US/Israeli side. What could they hope to get out of a fake two week ceasefire? It's not enough time to manufacture thousands of new JASSMs. The economic picture won't improve in two weeks.
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X (formerly Twitter)
Amerikanets 📉 (@ripplebrain) on X
One minor point here I haven't seen anyone else raise: I'm not sure that a short ceasefire before a resumption of hostilities is to Iran's disadvantage. The US/Israeli side made the opening move, and did so at time of their choosing. The Iranians will have…
Previously, other Iranian medias reported explosions on the island of Lavan to the northwest of Siri.
@CIG_telegram
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
🛢🇺🇸 📉 US oil prices extend losses to $97.50/barrel, now down -20% in 8 hours, after President Trump announces a 2-week ceasefire with Iran. 📎 KobeissiLetter
A few tankers may come in and load more oil and help drain the storages in the GCC countries that are already full but production will not resume any time soon as the pumping stations and other infrastructure were damaged.
Fuel shortages are an inescapable reality. It will take years until pre-war oil extraction levels return.
@CIG_telegram
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@CIG_telegram
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇦🇪🇮🇷⚡️- UAE authorities report an ongoing missile threat.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇮🇷🇦🇪 - BREAKING: Iranian media are accusing the UAE of attacking Siri Island.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇮🇷🇦🇪 - BREAKING: Iranian media are accusing the UAE of attacking Siri Island.
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🇮🇷 - Scenes from the Lavan Oil Refinery on Siri Island in the Persian Gulf, Iran.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇦🇪⚡️- Air defenses are active over Fujeirah, UAE.
Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch
@GeoPWatch
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Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇦🇪⚡️- Air defenses are active over Fujeirah, UAE.
@CIG_telegram
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