Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇮🇷/🇮🇱/🇱🇧 BREAKING: ‘Lebanon is included in the 2-week ceasefire at Iran’s request’ – Ynet
@Middle_East_Spectator
@Middle_East_Spectator
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 Iran’s Supreme National Security Council:
‘The negotiations during these two weeks do not mean the end of the war, unless our conditions are agreed to, and our finger remains on the trigger.’
@Middle_East_Spectator
‘The negotiations during these two weeks do not mean the end of the war, unless our conditions are agreed to, and our finger remains on the trigger.’
@Middle_East_Spectator
Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (Geopolitics Watch)
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Forwarded from Amir Tsarfati
Not only Israel - Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Bahrain and Oman are deeply dissatisfied.
President Trump has effectively elevated Iran to the status of owning what was once an open shipping route. They are now controlling the flow of 20% of the world’s energy - with the tacit approval of the world’s only superpower.
President Trump has effectively elevated Iran to the status of owning what was once an open shipping route. They are now controlling the flow of 20% of the world’s energy - with the tacit approval of the world’s only superpower.
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
It would be really funny if all the IRGC units that are currently in communications isolation are implening a pre-approved plan to destroy Gulf energy infrastructure under the assumption that Trump’s deadline has expired.
Geopolitics Watch
> Middle East Spectator returns
> Iranian strategic victory happens
> Iranian strategic victory happens
Forwarded from Fotros Resistance
🇺🇸🇮🇷| Trump attacks CNN after they aired the full statement of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, which said Iran had achieved a "great victory" and forced the US to accept its 10-point plan.
He called the network a fraud and said he would sue them.
@FotrosResistancee
He called the network a fraud and said he would sue them.
@FotrosResistancee
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷/🇴🇲 BREAKING: Iran and Oman will charge tolls from all ships passing the Strait of Hormuz during the 2-week ceasefire – AP
This cements Iran’s de-facto control over the Strait, and enshrines a new legal framework for passage.
@Middle_East_Spectator
This cements Iran’s de-facto control over the Strait, and enshrines a new legal framework for passage.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
— So now we know what concessions the U.S. offered Iran:
Iran owns the Strait of Hormuz from now on, like Egypt with the Suez Canal.
Iran owns the Strait of Hormuz from now on, like Egypt with the Suez Canal.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇮🇷⚡️- Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has ordered the IRGC missile units to stop firing, according to Iranian state media.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇺🇸🇮🇷⚡- The U.S. negotiation team will consist of Vice President JD Vance and the two previous envoys, Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff, according to CNN.
Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
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The people of Iran—are we going to just leave them there? There's nothing we can do, and we're going to wash our hands over that? That to me is morally very difficult to accept.
What about the proxies, Hezbollah? Hezbollah has killed more Americans than Iran directly. Hezbollah is Iran.
The argument will be, "Well, they don't have control of this and control of that." If they don't have control of this and control of that, how do we even enter into an agreement?
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Middle East Spectator — MES
— So now we know what concessions the U.S. offered Iran: Iran owns the Strait of Hormuz from now on, like Egypt with the Suez Canal.
🌐📝 - Welcome to the Multipolar World, officially.
The world has been trending to this outcome for some time but it can no longer be denied. The United States and Israel have clearly suffered a strategic defeat even if only half of what has been reported is true about the ceasefire.
Welcome to the New World.
https://t.me/medmannews/38210
The world has been trending to this outcome for some time but it can no longer be denied. The United States and Israel have clearly suffered a strategic defeat even if only half of what has been reported is true about the ceasefire.
Welcome to the New World.
https://t.me/medmannews/38210
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Mediterranean Man
Can't sleep, groups of people are unironically celebrating in the street over the news about Iran, honestly, can't blame them.
Tabz - Alternative Media
📝 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 Noah Smith on X: Americans as a whole realize that Israel is not a good ally. 60% is a solid majority, and it's only going to grow. A breakup of some kind is coming.
📎 Noah Smith
📎 Noah Smith
📝 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 Richard Hanania on X: "I’m confused why Trump doesn’t dump Israel at this point. His base would be happy, so would the international community and the MSM. They’re not buying him like the Gulf Arabs. The only MAGAs who like Israel are the cultists who would go in any direction. What ties him to them?"
📎 Richard Hanania
📎 Richard Hanania
X (formerly Twitter)
Richard Hanania (@RichardHanania) on X
I’m confused why Trump doesn’t dump Israel at this point. His base would be happy, so would the international community and the MSM. They’re not buying him like the Gulf Arabs. The only MAGAs who like Israel are the cultists who would go in any direction.…
Addendum: Bibi Says Ceasefire doesn't apply to Lebanon contradicting Pakistan's statement on the ceasefire.
🔗AP
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇮🇷🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- BREAKING: Iran says excluding Lebanon from the ceasefire will lead to renewed fighting, according to Kan news.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇱🇧⚡- "No clear notification yet on ceasefire, Lebanese President Aoun holding contacts to ensure Lebanon included in agreement," - A senior Lebanese official tells Anadolu Agency.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇱🇧🇮🇱⚡️- BREAKING: The IDF issued a warning to Lebanese citizens warning them not to return to their homes, stressing that the ceasefire with Iran does NOT include Lebanon.
Lapid called the deal "a political disaster never seen before in Israel's history".
@CIG_telegram
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The US/Israeli side made the opening move, and did so at time of their choosing. The Iranians will have plenty of recovering and regeneration to do, from digging out missile bases to moving assets around without the threat of air attack. More air defense interceptors aren't going to magically materialize in Israel within two weeks, either.
Another angle is the economic one. Further supply shocks are inevitable and will happen even if the war ends entirely today. Dragging out the conflict by another two weeks will allow some of them to land while costing the Iranians nothing. Markets are likely to react very negatively to the collapse of the ceasefire too.
In light of this it's plausible that this is a genuine capitulation by the US/Israeli side. What could they hope to get out of a fake two week ceasefire? It's not enough time to manufacture thousands of new JASSMs. The economic picture won't improve in two weeks.
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X (formerly Twitter)
Amerikanets 📉 (@ripplebrain) on X
One minor point here I haven't seen anyone else raise: I'm not sure that a short ceasefire before a resumption of hostilities is to Iran's disadvantage. The US/Israeli side made the opening move, and did so at time of their choosing. The Iranians will have…