🛢 📈 🔝 The price of Brent crude oil just hit an all-time high of $144.46 a barrel.
European and Asian refiners are paying record high prices of near $150 a barrel for some crude oil grades, far exceeding prices for paper futures, highlighting the worsening supply crisis from the U.S.-Israel war with Iran.
The Iran war has forced the shutdown of at least 12 million barrels per day - about 12% of world supply - from the Middle East due to Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. As a result, Brent oil futures reached $119.50 a barrel last month, the highest since 2022 although still short of the 2008 record high of $147.50. The nearby Brent contract is for June delivery.
Competition for supply from Asian and European refiners to replace disrupted Middle Eastern oil flows has helped to drive up the prices of replacement crudes for more immediate delivery, such as those in Europe and Africa.
As a result, some crudes are hitting records already. The outright price of North Sea Forties crude reached $146.09 a barrel on Tuesday, according to LSEG data, above the 2008 level and an all time high.
Oil price benchmark publisher S&P Global Energy Platts assessed the price of dated Brent on April 7 at $144.42, surpassing the previous record high of $144.22 reached in 2008, a Platts spokesperson said. Using the Platts dated Brent figure would put the price of Forties, and many other physical cargoes, well above $150.
Prices of refined products in Europe were close to record highs on Tuesday.
Jet fuel prices in Europe hovered at $226.40 a barrel, close to a record high hit in mid-March, LSEG data shows. Diesel prices were still shy of their record highs hit in 2022, standing at $203.59 a barrel on Tuesday.
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/physical-oil-prices-hit-record-highs-near-150-barrel-hormuz-crisis-worsens-2026-04-07/
European and Asian refiners are paying record high prices of near $150 a barrel for some crude oil grades, far exceeding prices for paper futures, highlighting the worsening supply crisis from the U.S.-Israel war with Iran.
The Iran war has forced the shutdown of at least 12 million barrels per day - about 12% of world supply - from the Middle East due to Iran's effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz. As a result, Brent oil futures reached $119.50 a barrel last month, the highest since 2022 although still short of the 2008 record high of $147.50. The nearby Brent contract is for June delivery.
Competition for supply from Asian and European refiners to replace disrupted Middle Eastern oil flows has helped to drive up the prices of replacement crudes for more immediate delivery, such as those in Europe and Africa.
As a result, some crudes are hitting records already. The outright price of North Sea Forties crude reached $146.09 a barrel on Tuesday, according to LSEG data, above the 2008 level and an all time high.
Oil price benchmark publisher S&P Global Energy Platts assessed the price of dated Brent on April 7 at $144.42, surpassing the previous record high of $144.22 reached in 2008, a Platts spokesperson said. Using the Platts dated Brent figure would put the price of Forties, and many other physical cargoes, well above $150.
Prices of refined products in Europe were close to record highs on Tuesday.
Jet fuel prices in Europe hovered at $226.40 a barrel, close to a record high hit in mid-March, LSEG data shows. Diesel prices were still shy of their record highs hit in 2022, standing at $203.59 a barrel on Tuesday.
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/physical-oil-prices-hit-record-highs-near-150-barrel-hormuz-crisis-worsens-2026-04-07/
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Reuters
Physical oil prices hit record highs near $150 a barrel as Hormuz crisis worsens
European and Asian refiners are paying record high prices of near $150 a barrel for some crude oil grades, far exceeding prices for paper futures, highlighting the worsening supply crisis from the U.S.-Israel war with Iran.
Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
🌐🏦 - While the world is distracted by the Iran war, private credit is blowing up - BlackRock limits withdrawals - Blue Owl has restricted withdrawals - Morgan Stanley limits withdrawals This is a ~$2T market... With an expected surge in inflation due to…
The stock fell -1.4% to $8.45 on Monday, slipping below its previous low from late 2022, and is now down -68% from its all-time high.
Blue Owl has posted 8 consecutive months of losses and just came out of its steepest quarterly decline on record.
Furthermore, short interest on the stock hit a record high in early March, as investors increasingly use Blue Owl as a proxy to bet against the $1.8-$2.0 trillion private credit market.
The selloff intensified after the firm capped redemptions at 5% on two of its funds following a surge in withdrawal requests, with its technology-focused fund alone seeing requests exceed 15% last quarter.
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
Redemption requests at Blue Owl Credit Income have EXPLODED from ~1% of outstanding volume in Q1 2025 to a RECORD 21.9% in Q1 2026.
Blue Owl capped withdrawals at 5%, meaning investors received LESS THAN A QUARTER of the money they requested.
The problem goes deeper than one fund, as Cliffwater's $31.6 billion flagship fund holds stakes in both Blue Owl and Ares funds that are also limiting redemptions, creating a domino effect.
Meanwhile, accounting rules allow these funds to value their holdings at the official net asset value, even when investors cannot actually sell at that price, raising questions about whether stated values reflect reality.
Cliffwater itself saw redemption requests surge to 14% in Q1 2026 and agreed to repurchase 7%, above its usual 5% cap.
Put simply, investors cannot get their money out, and at the same time, fund valuations do not reflect what holdings can actually be sold for.
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NORSI is Russia’s second-largest producer of gasoline. And is capable of processing 320k BPD
@CIG_telegram
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Deal with Iran's demands granted = Iran won the War
Simple
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
A senior Iranian official told me that this proposal floated by the Pakistani PM for a temporary ceasefire is essentially the same as previous Trump attempts, which Iran has rejected. Iran has already delivered its terms for negotiating an end to the war.
“A balanced proposal, endorsed by all mediators, has already been conveyed to the American side,” the official said. “Washington now has at its disposal all the elements required to reach a decision that will bring an end to the war.”
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Forwarded from Demographics Now and Then
Japanese fertility rate has been higher than South Korea’s continuously since early 2000s, & the gap had widened dramatically in recent years (with a 0.48-0.49 TFR difference from 2020-2023). The gap narrowed significantly in 2024 & 2025 & TFRs may converge at ~1.05 before 2030.
Forwarded from Demographics Now and Then
Many lessons to draw from the below fertility map of Nigeria. Fertility can & will fall fast in smartphone penetrated, changing values societies. Ghana, Kenya,South Nigeria etc will likely be below local replacement before 2040. Muslim Sub Saharan nations maybe not until 2050.
Does not take much economic development to reach a high level of mobile internet/smart phone penetration. But once a society gets to that point & former values are displaced, many see large families as holding them back so fertility plummets in the near total majority of cases.
Does not take much economic development to reach a high level of mobile internet/smart phone penetration. But once a society gets to that point & former values are displaced, many see large families as holding them back so fertility plummets in the near total majority of cases.
Forwarded from Demographics Now and Then
Congressional Budget Office predicts natural decline is right around the corner for the United States. ~2030 deaths expected to outpace births for the first time in American history. The population is only expected to ⬆️ to ~364M by 2056 from 343M today.
This is a far cry from the estimates of almost 400 million Americans ~2050 we say just a decade ago. There are many perspectives on whether or not this is a bad thing. From my point of view the greatest concern is falling births (especially amongst the Middle Class).
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61994
This is a far cry from the estimates of almost 400 million Americans ~2050 we say just a decade ago. There are many perspectives on whether or not this is a bad thing. From my point of view the greatest concern is falling births (especially amongst the Middle Class).
https://www.cbo.gov/publication/61994
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇺🇸🇮🇷🇵🇰⚡️- BREAKING: President Trump announces a suspension to the bombing tonight, and a two week ceasefire.
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
— NOTE: Trump has agreed to a two week ceasefire without Iran agreeing to open the Strait of Hormuz.
While I still disagree with the decision of a temporary ceasefire, this is a MAJOR concession from the U.S.
While I still disagree with the decision of a temporary ceasefire, this is a MAJOR concession from the U.S.
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇱/🇮🇷 WHAT HAPPENED, BASED ON CURRENT INFORMATION:
– The U.S. has agreed to stop all attacks against Iran for a period of two weeks.
– In return, Iran will not strike U.S. assets or other targets in the Persian Gulf during that time period.
– The Strait of Hormuz remains CLOSED during these two weeks, but if Iran doesn’t open it, the war will resume (according to Trump)
– Israel is NOT part of the ceasefire and Iran will continue targeting it.
@Middle_East_Spectator
– The U.S. has agreed to stop all attacks against Iran for a period of two weeks.
– In return, Iran will not strike U.S. assets or other targets in the Persian Gulf during that time period.
– The Strait of Hormuz remains CLOSED during these two weeks, but if Iran doesn’t open it, the war will resume (according to Trump)
– Israel is NOT part of the ceasefire and Iran will continue targeting it.
@Middle_East_Spectator
Forwarded from Tabz - Alternative Media (Tabz)
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇮🇷🇮🇱⚡️- BREAKING: Israel has also agreed to the temporary ceasefire, a White House official tells CNN.
Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
🇮🇷🇨🇳🇵🇰⚡️- A last-minute intervention by China helped lead to Iran accepting Pakistan's two-week ceasefire proposal, three Iranian officials tell the New York Times.
China asked Iran to show flexibility and defuse tensions amid growing economic uncertainty caused by damages to Iranian infrastructure.
China asked Iran to show flexibility and defuse tensions amid growing economic uncertainty caused by damages to Iranian infrastructure.
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: ‘Iran has not yet agreed to the conditions of the ceasefire’ – NYT
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@Middle_East_Spectator