Forwarded from Intel Slava
The stabilizer was cut off quite evenly, and no traces of impact elements from an anti-aircraft missile are visible yet. It is likely that the aircraft collided in the air for an unknown reason.
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (Levant)
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Two other servicemen are still missing. This puts the death toll at 12 and in the future it may rise to 14 casualties among American forces.
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (Levant)
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (Levant)
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Intel Slava
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This is exactly the Iranian plan. They have already shot down between 25 and 30 expensive US and Israeli drones, estimated at $700 million. By doing this, they are gradually reducing surveillance in several areas.
Since there is no air dominance over Iranian airspace, drones are the only surveillance option and a key asset for the US and Israel.
As I’ve been saying, despite being brutally bombarded, Iran is still dictating the game. They are in a favorable strategic position, controlling the strait while markets put pressure on the US.
Concerning UAV losses, CBS reported 11 MQ-9s lost as of March 11th. In the following 48 hours, Iran released footage of an additional 4 units. This brings the total to 15 MQ-9s, alongside 12 to 17 Heron and Hermes models
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
Satellite images released by the IRGC later showed two aircraft shelters and three drone shelters destroyed an a Kuwaiti fighter jet leaking fuel on the tarmac.
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
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@CIG_telegram
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Last year, only three cluster missiles hit Israel. In the current round, Iran has launched more than 100, carrying far more submunitions ■ Two Israelis were killed
The fireballs that have appeared in Israel's skies over the past 12 days have become the most striking visual symbol of the current war with Iran. Sometimes they are single fragments from an intercepted missile – an engine, a fuel tank, or burning pieces of metal falling to the ground. But when dozens of burning objects fly in an organized, steep trajectory, security officials immediately go on alert: this is a cluster missile carrying dozens of submunitions, designed to cause panic and spread destruction across a wide area.
The missile launched last Thursday night was likely a Khorramshahr model – an Iranian ballistic missile fitted with a warhead that disperses up to 80 bomblets, each containing only a few kilograms of explosives. The interception attempt failed, and the bomblets fell across the greater Tel Aviv area. Seven struck populated locations along a 27-kilometer stretch, from Peduel in the West Bank to Holon on the Mediterranean coast. The rest fell in open areas.
The bomblets are less lethal than a standard missile – as long as the public follows instructions and enters shelters. This week in Yehud provided a painful reminder: despite several precious minutes of early warning, two construction workers who remained in an open area during the siren were struck by cluster munitions and killed.
Two other Israelis who were outside shelters, in Tel Aviv and Or Yehuda, were seriously injured. Footage from the scene showed that one of the wounded did not lie down on the ground – as recommended if a siren catches someone in an open area. Lying flat on the ground would very likely have prevented serious injury.
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/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
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A building in the mostly Bedouin-Arab town of Zarzir suffered a direct hit by a missile, injuring 70+ people in and around the building, mostly due to glass shards from broken windows.
@CIG_telegram
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Top officials with the Trump Administration acknowledged to lawmakers during recent classified briefings that they did not plan for the possibility of Iran closing the Strait of Hormuz in response to strikes, because they believed that a closure would hurt Iran more than the United States.
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X (formerly Twitter)
Europa.com (@europa) on X
🇺🇸🇮🇷 U.S. war planners significantly underestimated Iran’s willingness to close the Strait of Hormuz in response to U.S. military strikes while planning for war, according to multiple sources familiar with the matter who spoke to CNN.
Top officials with…
Top officials with…
/CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
Wall Street analysts are warning that U.S. airlines could face a painful earnings squeeze as oil prices surge amid the escalating war with Iran. Crude prices jumped over 9% on Thursday as the conflict rattled energy markets and heightened fears of disruption around the Strait of Hormuz. Many U.S. carriers largely abandoned fuel hedging in recent years, leaving them far more exposed to sudden price spikes and raising the prospect that only a handful of airlines can remain profitable at current oil prices.
Airlines and oil producers typically rely on hedging strategies to manage extreme oil price volatility. Airlines seek predictable fuel costs, while producers aim to stabilize revenue. Fuel accounts for roughly 15% or more of airline operating expenses, making price swings particularly damaging. By using futures, swaps, or options, carriers can lock in prices and shield themselves from sudden spikes that can quickly erode profitability. Airlines often hedge up to two-thirds of expected fuel consumption about six months in advance, with European carriers generally taking a more aggressive approach.
According to UBS analyst Atul Maheswari, Delta Air Lines, United Airlines and Southwest Airlines are the only U.S. airlines that can generate even "meagre profits" if fuel prices remain at or above $4 a gallon.
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The U.S. keeps at least 50 tactical nuclear weapons at Incirlik, likely being B61 thermonuclear gravity bombs.
🔗 MenchOsint (@MenchOsint)
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