Forwarded from The Pakistan News — پاکستان 🇵🇰
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⚡🇵🇰🇺🇸🇮🇷 — Situation from Islamabad as Protestors tried reaching the red zone due to the martyrdom of Syed Ali Khamanei.
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Their targets remain unknown.
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According to one source, an American official conveyed an even more immediate proposal. Through a mediator, apparently Italy, he suggested reaching a ceasefire agreement today or tomorrow. Iran rejected the idea outright.
To the dismay of the White House, the Islamic Republic of Iran is still standing and is fighting back, refusing to surrender, putting the Trump Admin in uncharted waters, not knowing how to proceed, as their entire plan was Iran surrendering the moment Sayyed Khamenei and a few generals and politicians were assassinated.
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ynetglobal
Trump seeks swift end to Iran operation
Opinion: The killing of Iran’s supreme leader is a major intelligence and military feat, but Tehran’s regime has not collapsed; US official, via a mediator, proposed an immediate ceasefire; Iran rejected it outright, as Trump looks for a quick exit
Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇮🇷/🇦🇪/🇫🇷 CONFIRMED: Iran struck the French Naval Base in Abu Dhabi, located at Zayed Port
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There are now at least two vessels on fire near the Strait of Hormuz.
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Intel Slava
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Images were posted yesterday showing smoke coming from a warship inside an Iranian port.
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch (Angry Iowan ✞)
🇮🇷❌ 🇺🇸 — Iran launches ballistic missiles towards northern Israel.
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Forwarded from Middle East Spectator — MES
—❗️🇺🇸/🇮🇷 BREAKING: U.S. CENTCOM announces that 3 American soldiers have been killed so far by Iranian ballistic missiles
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Forwarded from Rerum Novarum // Intel, Breaking News, and Alerts 🇺🇸
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🇺🇸🇰🇼🇮🇷⚡- Iranian Shahed drone impact Ali Al Salem Air Base, Kuwait.
According to Reuters, even though stocks are currently closed, WTI Crude over the counter price spiked to 80$ from 67$ on Friday.
Prolonged closure of the Hormuz Strait could see the oil price reach astronomical levels in some doomsday scenarios.
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Reuters
Oil jumps 10% on Iran conflict and could spike to $100 a barrel, analysts say
Most tanker owners, big oil companies and trading houses suspended crude oil, fuel and liquefied natural gas shipments via the Strait of Hormuz after Tehran warned ships against moving through the waterway.
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Almost all the munitions used in Gaza last year, against Iran last year, and again now have been supplied by the United States, more than 1,500 airlift sorties and at least 300 cargo ships full.
Last year the Pentagon issued a statement saying stockpiles were low and that this was already limiting supplies to several allies.
There are already sufficient short-range bombs, as these can be manufactured relatively quickly, but the same does not apply to long-range munitions, interceptors, or Tomahawks, which take much longer to produce.
It means that US-Israel must get air superiority to next few days and be able to short range strikes.
Although Israel has resolved the tanker issue, several other bottlenecks remain and will soon start to weigh heavily on operations.
I would say that if, within the next 3-4 days, the number of Iranian missile launches is not substantially reduced, the munitions situation will begin to seriously concern the US–Israel coalition.
There is no American operation against Iran today. Israel remains the protagonist in the action, employing far more aircraft and intelligence assets and getting support from US.
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Impact at an oil terminal and some warehouses.
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While Bolton praised Trump’s strikes on Iran as the “most consequential decision” of his presidency, he warned that Trump and his administration could have acted impulsively without any appreciation for the complex aftermath of what is now a power vacuum.
“There could be a lot of turmoil, a lot of bloodshed,” Bolton said.
Notably, he added, there could be chaos in the Straits of Hormuz, which Iran has threatened to shut down in order to block the twenty percent of global oil supply that flows through it every day.
And while Trump frequently talks about taking the oil of countries that clash with the U.S., Bolton said he is less worried about that happening now. Bringing Iranian oil back online is in the interest of U.S. allies in the region, who will be less worried about market competition and more relieved that Ayatollah Khamenei is dead since many of them saw Iran as an “existential” threat.
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POLITICO
John Bolton Sounds the Alarm on Trump’s Iran Gamble
In an exclusive, Trump’s onetime national security adviser warns the strike on Iran may deepen conflict, create a dangerous power vacuum — and plunge the region into turmoil.
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