🇺🇸 🇮🇶 🏳️🌈 The US is evacuating personnel from Iraq, but the State Department's DEI bureaucracy still thought it was important to send them guidance on "proper pronoun [usage]" to provide "a safe environment for transgender and/or non-binary colleagues." Dangerous and delusional.
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🇵🇱🇩🇪🇫🇷 Why Poland’s Donald Tusk is mending EU ties
After years of feuding between Warsaw and its EU partners, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk sought to press the reset button yesterday with a visit to both Paris and Berlin.
Tusk promised that his coalition’s landmark victory in October would put Poland back at the heart of EU policymaking, after he had also warned voters that re-electing the Law and Justice (PiS) party after eight years of government could pave the way for a “Polexit”.
Yesterday, following a visit to French President Emmanuel Macron in Paris, Tusk evoked the battle cry of The Three Musketeers — “All for one, one for all” — calling for European unity on defence and in dealing with Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
But rebuilding relations with Germany may prove harder for Tusk after years of nationalist rule by PiS, and given that the opposition in Warsaw accuses him of being a German stooge.
🗄 Archive
🔗 https://www.ft.com/content/1d1dc84b-13da-4008-aaab-6848ccdeac6a
After years of feuding between Warsaw and its EU partners, Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk sought to press the reset button yesterday with a visit to both Paris and Berlin.
Tusk promised that his coalition’s landmark victory in October would put Poland back at the heart of EU policymaking, after he had also warned voters that re-electing the Law and Justice (PiS) party after eight years of government could pave the way for a “Polexit”.
Yesterday, following a visit to French President Emmanuel Macron in Paris, Tusk evoked the battle cry of The Three Musketeers — “All for one, one for all” — calling for European unity on defence and in dealing with Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine.
But rebuilding relations with Germany may prove harder for Tusk after years of nationalist rule by PiS, and given that the opposition in Warsaw accuses him of being a German stooge.
🗄 Archive
🔗 https://www.ft.com/content/1d1dc84b-13da-4008-aaab-6848ccdeac6a
📖 🇺🇦 🇷🇺 Olga Bazova: Kiev may lose even more: the Rand analytical corporation, the same one that came up with the strategy to weaken Russia, called on the US authorities to quickly end the war in Ukraine
▪️Otherwise, the country could lose even more territory, and the risk of a direct war between Russia and NATO will increase, according to a report by Rand, which also conducts analysis for the Pentagon.
▪️Although it has become difficult for US politicians to go beyond military solutions, they should abandon the concept of a “long and brutal” war between Ukraine and the Russian Federation. It "will have long-term and likely irreversible adverse consequences for the United States."
▪️We are talking about the economic consequences for the West and Ukraine, which will be negative, no matter what post-war strategy the United States chooses.
▪️But US efforts to end the war as soon as possible “will provide Ukraine with better opportunities to deter a future Russian invasion.”
▪️“The United States can promote a stricter ceasefire, which could reduce the risk of escalation and new war. Washington could also encourage Kiev to adopt a defensive military posture rather than focusing on retaking Russian-held territory. This could limit Kiev's ability to liberate occupied territories, but will make it more difficult for Russia to seize new territories,” the report says.
▪️Also, a protracted war of attrition increases the risk that China will begin to supply Russia with weapons and ammunition, which will cause a sharp deterioration in relations between Beijing and the United States, and therefore increase the risks of a war in Taiwan.
▪️In a protracted war, Ukraine will most likely lose even more territories than it does now.
▪️Rand also warns the US against a “hard” post-war strategy. “Conflict between the United States and Russia could result from Moscow’s assertive response to [the West’s] hardline policies.”
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA2510-2.html
▪️Otherwise, the country could lose even more territory, and the risk of a direct war between Russia and NATO will increase, according to a report by Rand, which also conducts analysis for the Pentagon.
▪️Although it has become difficult for US politicians to go beyond military solutions, they should abandon the concept of a “long and brutal” war between Ukraine and the Russian Federation. It "will have long-term and likely irreversible adverse consequences for the United States."
▪️We are talking about the economic consequences for the West and Ukraine, which will be negative, no matter what post-war strategy the United States chooses.
▪️But US efforts to end the war as soon as possible “will provide Ukraine with better opportunities to deter a future Russian invasion.”
▪️“The United States can promote a stricter ceasefire, which could reduce the risk of escalation and new war. Washington could also encourage Kiev to adopt a defensive military posture rather than focusing on retaking Russian-held territory. This could limit Kiev's ability to liberate occupied territories, but will make it more difficult for Russia to seize new territories,” the report says.
▪️Also, a protracted war of attrition increases the risk that China will begin to supply Russia with weapons and ammunition, which will cause a sharp deterioration in relations between Beijing and the United States, and therefore increase the risks of a war in Taiwan.
▪️In a protracted war, Ukraine will most likely lose even more territories than it does now.
▪️Rand also warns the US against a “hard” post-war strategy. “Conflict between the United States and Russia could result from Moscow’s assertive response to [the West’s] hardline policies.”
https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA2510-2.html
www.rand.org
Planning for the Aftermath: Assessing Options for U.S. Strategy Toward Russia After the Ukraine War
U.S. policy choices made at the conclusions of past wars have had enduring consequences. Although there is no end in sight to the Russia-Ukraine war, U.S. policymakers should begin considering a postwar Russia strategy now.
🇷🇺 🇪🇺 Philip Pilkington: Russian intelligence report finds that Europe has no chance of ramping up war production and are almost out of ammo. Report recommends that they tighten the economic screws and send the continent into meltdown.
Louis Duclos: The Russian SVR (equivalent to our DGSE) has released an in-depth analysis of European military capabilities.
Spoiler alert: the result is catastrophic.
Let me explain how they got there and why it's such a big deal for us.
First of all, the GU (Russian military intelligence) has the habit of observing factory production to draw up an inventory of our resources.
The SVR did it differently: they noted the figures for deliveries to Ukraine and the compared to those announced
They were thus able to determine the production of each national industry, and compare it with Ukrainian needs.
They were therefore able to see the delta between what Ukraine needs and what we can provide.
So much for the method, now for what their report says.
At the speed at which the Europeans are producing munitions, we will only be able to meet Ukraine's needs in 2025.
So 3 years late, which is already quite shameful and catastrophic strategically speaking, but it is not all...
Above all, SVR analysts predict that Europe will take 15 years to rebuild its own stocks, at least!
For more than a decade, Russia will therefore consider that Europe is vulnerable and it intends to take advantage of it.
The rest of the report encourages Kremlin decision-makers to capitalize on this weakness by taking “hybrid war measures” against Europe.
The objective being to divide the Europeans, disperse their attention and secure a victory in Ukraine for Russia.
The GU would have reached the same conclusion, except that it established a list of munitions factories to monitor and potentially sabotage.
We are very late, Russia knows it, it sees it, and it is organizing itself to hurt us as much as possible.
What does that mean exactly?
Already, this SVR analysis report is intended for the Kremlin and the National Security Council.
It is from this type of documents that political decision-makers (Putin) will make decisions. This shows the importance.
The recommendations that the Kremlin will receive from its foreign intelligence service are literally to harm us as much as possible.
Our weakness is identified, it is targeted and Russia just needs to press on the wound.
So we are only at the beginning.
Then, the observation drawn up by the SVR is even worse than I thought:
It will take us at least 15 years to replenish our own stocks?!
Realize the degree of Europe's unpreparedness for conflict after 2 years of war on its borders.
This report also comes at a time when the risk of Donald Trump being re-elected is growing every week.
And I remind you that Trump is ready to dynamite NATO, and it doesn't matter what Russia intends to do behind it.
At least that's what he says.
The source of this information is the excellent intelligence journal Intelligence Online.
It should therefore be taken very seriously and gives us a good idea of the possible evolution of Russian-European relations in the years to come.
This is another opportunity to sound the alarm and force Europe to wake up and stop taking peace for granted.
We are entering a new era where our naivety and our wait-and-see attitude will cost us enormously, at all levels.
We must not forget that during this time, Russian factories are running at full capacity and they are preparing for a direct confrontation
Without going into an arms race with Russia, we must invest massively and quickly in our common defense
https://www.intelligenceonline.com/government-intelligence/2024/02/12/russia-s-svr-delivers-damning-report-on-europe-s-munition-production-capacity,110158138-art
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1757131048784159071.html
Louis Duclos: The Russian SVR (equivalent to our DGSE) has released an in-depth analysis of European military capabilities.
Spoiler alert: the result is catastrophic.
Let me explain how they got there and why it's such a big deal for us.
First of all, the GU (Russian military intelligence) has the habit of observing factory production to draw up an inventory of our resources.
The SVR did it differently: they noted the figures for deliveries to Ukraine and the compared to those announced
They were thus able to determine the production of each national industry, and compare it with Ukrainian needs.
They were therefore able to see the delta between what Ukraine needs and what we can provide.
So much for the method, now for what their report says.
At the speed at which the Europeans are producing munitions, we will only be able to meet Ukraine's needs in 2025.
So 3 years late, which is already quite shameful and catastrophic strategically speaking, but it is not all...
Above all, SVR analysts predict that Europe will take 15 years to rebuild its own stocks, at least!
For more than a decade, Russia will therefore consider that Europe is vulnerable and it intends to take advantage of it.
The rest of the report encourages Kremlin decision-makers to capitalize on this weakness by taking “hybrid war measures” against Europe.
The objective being to divide the Europeans, disperse their attention and secure a victory in Ukraine for Russia.
The GU would have reached the same conclusion, except that it established a list of munitions factories to monitor and potentially sabotage.
We are very late, Russia knows it, it sees it, and it is organizing itself to hurt us as much as possible.
What does that mean exactly?
Already, this SVR analysis report is intended for the Kremlin and the National Security Council.
It is from this type of documents that political decision-makers (Putin) will make decisions. This shows the importance.
The recommendations that the Kremlin will receive from its foreign intelligence service are literally to harm us as much as possible.
Our weakness is identified, it is targeted and Russia just needs to press on the wound.
So we are only at the beginning.
Then, the observation drawn up by the SVR is even worse than I thought:
It will take us at least 15 years to replenish our own stocks?!
Realize the degree of Europe's unpreparedness for conflict after 2 years of war on its borders.
This report also comes at a time when the risk of Donald Trump being re-elected is growing every week.
And I remind you that Trump is ready to dynamite NATO, and it doesn't matter what Russia intends to do behind it.
At least that's what he says.
The source of this information is the excellent intelligence journal Intelligence Online.
It should therefore be taken very seriously and gives us a good idea of the possible evolution of Russian-European relations in the years to come.
This is another opportunity to sound the alarm and force Europe to wake up and stop taking peace for granted.
We are entering a new era where our naivety and our wait-and-see attitude will cost us enormously, at all levels.
We must not forget that during this time, Russian factories are running at full capacity and they are preparing for a direct confrontation
Without going into an arms race with Russia, we must invest massively and quickly in our common defense
https://www.intelligenceonline.com/government-intelligence/2024/02/12/russia-s-svr-delivers-damning-report-on-europe-s-munition-production-capacity,110158138-art
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/1757131048784159071.html
Intelligence Online
Europe/Russia/United States : Russia's SVR delivers damning report on Europe's munition production capacity - 12/02/2024 - Intelligence…
Like their colleagues in military intelligence, Russian foreign intelligence analysts have been looking into the question of Ukraine's munition needs - and concluded that Europe is vulnerable. - 2/12/2024
📖 🇷🇺 🇺🇦 Kupiansk sector and the disposition of the Russian 1st Guards Tank Army (1GTA). Between 19-28JAN24 Russian forces from the 1GTA managed to capture the villages of Krokhmal'ne and Tabaivka.
🔶️ The 1st Guards Tank Army seems to be concentrating bulk of its forces along roughly 30 km wide area of the front between Verkhnia-Duvanka and Svatove.
🔶️ As the battle for Avdiivka now approaches its climax, Ukr high command has to make difficult decisions whether to commit significant reserves there or not. This may in turn serve to signal RuAF to commit 1GTA into general offensive
📎 Pasi Paroinen
🔶️ The 1st Guards Tank Army seems to be concentrating bulk of its forces along roughly 30 km wide area of the front between Verkhnia-Duvanka and Svatove.
🔶️ As the battle for Avdiivka now approaches its climax, Ukr high command has to make difficult decisions whether to commit significant reserves there or not. This may in turn serve to signal RuAF to commit 1GTA into general offensive
📎 Pasi Paroinen
📖 🇷🇺 🇺🇦 The Russian army cut Avdeevka in half, cutting off the south of the city
▪️Now the supply of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the southern part of the city is under enormous threat. Resources working for the Armed Forces of Ukraine write about this in panic, publishing maps of the changed situation.
▪️Also before this, the Ukrainian military correspondent reported that the “Road of Life” was cut by Russian soldiers.
▪️Now on the maps of the enemy, the Russian Armed Forces occupied the fortified area of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the motor depot and reached the edge of Avdeevka - Industrial Avenue, now advancing in both directions against the Armed Forces of Ukraine grouping divided into 2 parts.
▪️As early as this morning , Ukrainian analysts reported that “in the northern part of Avdeevka there are battles in the area of the western dachas, the motor depot, along Chistyakov Street and the 50th Anniversary AKHZ Lane.”
▪️ “In the south of Avdeevka, Russian troops continue assault operations along Sobornaya, Chernyshevsky streets and in the area of the Vinogradniki 2 gardening community.”
❗️Now much of this is under the control of the Russian army.
https://t.me/RVvoenkor/62024
📎 GEROMAN
▪️Now the supply of the Ukrainian Armed Forces in the southern part of the city is under enormous threat. Resources working for the Armed Forces of Ukraine write about this in panic, publishing maps of the changed situation.
▪️Also before this, the Ukrainian military correspondent reported that the “Road of Life” was cut by Russian soldiers.
▪️Now on the maps of the enemy, the Russian Armed Forces occupied the fortified area of the Armed Forces of Ukraine at the motor depot and reached the edge of Avdeevka - Industrial Avenue, now advancing in both directions against the Armed Forces of Ukraine grouping divided into 2 parts.
▪️As early as this morning , Ukrainian analysts reported that “in the northern part of Avdeevka there are battles in the area of the western dachas, the motor depot, along Chistyakov Street and the 50th Anniversary AKHZ Lane.”
▪️ “In the south of Avdeevka, Russian troops continue assault operations along Sobornaya, Chernyshevsky streets and in the area of the Vinogradniki 2 gardening community.”
❗️Now much of this is under the control of the Russian army.
https://t.me/RVvoenkor/62024
📎 GEROMAN
Forwarded from Rybar in English
❗️🇷🇺🇺🇦 Battle for Avdeevka: Russian Armed Forces advancing south of the quarry
the situation is expected to end on February 13, 2024
🔻The Russian Armed Forces are systematically making progress in the central part of Avdeevka. Fighting is occurring near the motor depot in the industrial zone on Industrial Avenue. The available information is still conflicting. The same uncertainty applies to access to the fortified area near the Brevno restaurant, which remains in question.
▪️ Various sources agree that Russian forces have managed to cross the railway along Chistyakova Street in a section at least from Sapronov Street to Zaliznichny Lane, with further advance towards the dachas all the way to the Avdeevskaya motor depot. However, control over the motor depot has not been confirmed yet, nor has progress on Timiryazev Street to the south.
▪️ At the same time, reports have emerged about progress to the southwest from the flooded quarry to Shestakova Street. There is even an extremely positive assessment of the breakthrough to the beach or the Quartz Sands plant, adjacent to the quarry from the south, which, due to the lack of any confirming footage, appears overly optimistic.
❗️Moreover, the enemy's withdrawal from the private sector is quite reasonable from a defensive standpoint: after all, there are no concrete multi-story buildings there, and the Russian Aerospace Forces are actively bombing with FABs. In such situations, retreating to the industrial zone in front of Khimik, in the area of the plant for reinforced concrete structures and building parts, does not seem unrealistic.
▪️ It is worth noting that there is very little footage from this area, as the enemy has no interest in showcasing territorial losses, and the Russian troops, based on the intensity of the offensive, are not currently inclined to do so. Consequently, little attention is given to the official media coverage of the operation.
High-resolution map
English version
#Avdeevka #digest #Donetsk #map #Russia #Ukraine
@rybar
Support us Original msg
the situation is expected to end on February 13, 2024
🔻The Russian Armed Forces are systematically making progress in the central part of Avdeevka. Fighting is occurring near the motor depot in the industrial zone on Industrial Avenue. The available information is still conflicting. The same uncertainty applies to access to the fortified area near the Brevno restaurant, which remains in question.
▪️ Various sources agree that Russian forces have managed to cross the railway along Chistyakova Street in a section at least from Sapronov Street to Zaliznichny Lane, with further advance towards the dachas all the way to the Avdeevskaya motor depot. However, control over the motor depot has not been confirmed yet, nor has progress on Timiryazev Street to the south.
▪️ At the same time, reports have emerged about progress to the southwest from the flooded quarry to Shestakova Street. There is even an extremely positive assessment of the breakthrough to the beach or the Quartz Sands plant, adjacent to the quarry from the south, which, due to the lack of any confirming footage, appears overly optimistic.
❗️Moreover, the enemy's withdrawal from the private sector is quite reasonable from a defensive standpoint: after all, there are no concrete multi-story buildings there, and the Russian Aerospace Forces are actively bombing with FABs. In such situations, retreating to the industrial zone in front of Khimik, in the area of the plant for reinforced concrete structures and building parts, does not seem unrealistic.
▪️ It is worth noting that there is very little footage from this area, as the enemy has no interest in showcasing territorial losses, and the Russian troops, based on the intensity of the offensive, are not currently inclined to do so. Consequently, little attention is given to the official media coverage of the operation.
High-resolution map
English version
#Avdeevka #digest #Donetsk #map #Russia #Ukraine
@rybar
Support us Original msg
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🕺 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 Dancing Israelis
🔶️ Mike Pompeo, the former US Secretary of State was received a short time ago by the soldiers of the 75th Battalion "Romach/Lance" of the 7th Brigade of the Armored Corps with cheers and dancing.
📝 Further context: This is reportedly near the Gaza Strip. Earlier, Mike Pompeo was touring damaged Kibbutzim sites in the area. The 7th Brigade is currently deployed both within Gaza itself and in proximity to the Strip.
👤 Yossi Yehoshua is the military commentator of Yedioth Ahronoth
📎 Yossi Yehoshua
🔶️ Mike Pompeo, the former US Secretary of State was received a short time ago by the soldiers of the 75th Battalion "Romach/Lance" of the 7th Brigade of the Armored Corps with cheers and dancing.
📝 Further context: This is reportedly near the Gaza Strip. Earlier, Mike Pompeo was touring damaged Kibbutzim sites in the area. The 7th Brigade is currently deployed both within Gaza itself and in proximity to the Strip.
👤 Yossi Yehoshua is the military commentator of Yedioth Ahronoth
📎 Yossi Yehoshua
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📢 🇺🇸 🇮🇱 White House: "[Israel] is a sovereign nation. They plan their military operations and they conduct their military operations and they make the choices. It's not like we give them a homework assignment and they have to then turn in their plan to us for grading."
📎 Ken Klippenstein
📎 Ken Klippenstein
Forwarded from Assyria News Network
Media is too big
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🇮🇶 — Al-Ghadeer TV outlet claims the General Command of the Iraqi Armed Forces conducted a comprehensive assessment of the security situation in Iraq in preparation to end the presence of International Coalition Forces in the country.
🏗 🇺🇸 🌎 After Free Trade
Trump’s Legacy and the Future of the Global Economy
🔶️ "Manufacturing drives 70 percent of American R&D investment; it employs as many scientists, engineers, and other so-called super-STEM workers as the much larger health-care industry and more than any other sector."
🔶️ "It is difficult to find an example of a great manufacturing economy that did not create much of its comparative advantage through state intervention."
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/responses/after-free-trade
https://archive.ph/QEvqL
Trump’s Legacy and the Future of the Global Economy
🔶️ "Manufacturing drives 70 percent of American R&D investment; it employs as many scientists, engineers, and other so-called super-STEM workers as the much larger health-care industry and more than any other sector."
🔶️ "It is difficult to find an example of a great manufacturing economy that did not create much of its comparative advantage through state intervention."
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/responses/after-free-trade
https://archive.ph/QEvqL
Foreign Affairs
After Free Trade
Trump’s legacy and the future of the global economy.
Forwarded from Keith Woods
After Media Matters for America published a hitpiece on me by the anti-white activist Alex Kaplan, Buy me a Coffee has suspended my account. This was my main source of donations.
Kaplan did not point to any way I violated terms of service, he just called me loads of scary sounding names.
Why is a Jewish journalist working for an American organisation trying to shut down an independent journalist in Ireland? This is an absurd state of affairs.
Kaplan did not point to any way I violated terms of service, he just called me loads of scary sounding names.
Why is a Jewish journalist working for an American organisation trying to shut down an independent journalist in Ireland? This is an absurd state of affairs.
Forwarded from Keith Woods
Keith Woods
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I am an independent activist. If you want to support my work, continue becoming a monthly supporter:
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Or send a one off donation:
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Or send a one off donation:
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Given this, he requested US President Biden "declassify all information relating to this threat so that Congress, the Administration, and our allies can openly discuss the actions necessary to respond to this threat"
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Bellum Acta - Intel, Urgent News and Archives ✝️ #FreeVenezuela
House members got this earlier: The House Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence has identified an urgent matter with regard to a destabilizing foreign military capability that should be known by all Congressional Policy Makers
🔗 Faytuks News Δ (@Faytuks)
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